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In this work, we present methodologies for the quantification of confidence in bottom-up coarse-grained models for molecular and macromolecular systems. Coarse-graining methods have been extensively used in the past decades in order to…

In machine learning, uncertainty quantification helps assess the reliability of model predictions, which is important in high-stakes scenarios. Traditional approaches often emphasize predictive accuracy, but there is a growing focus on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Jake S. Rhodes , Scott D. Brown , J. Riley Wilkinson

In this paper we introduce concepts from uncertainty quantification (UQ) and numerical analysis for the efficient evaluation of stochastic high dimensional Newton iterates. In particular, we develop complex analytic regularity theory of the…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-05-23 Julio Enrique Castrillon-Candas , Mark Kon

In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is commonly used for optimization in large-scale machine learning problems. Langford et al. (2009) introduce a sparse online learning method to induce sparsity via truncated gradient. With high-dimensional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-10 Yuting Ma , Tian Zheng

Stochastic spectral methods have achieved great success in the uncertainty quantification of many engineering problems, including electronic and photonic integrated circuits influenced by fabrication process variations. Existing techniques…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-12-06 Chunfeng Cui , Zheng Zhang

Computer vision leveraging deep learning has achieved significant success in the last decade. Despite the promising performance of the existing deep models in the recent literature, the extent of models' reliability remains unknown.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-04-13 Seyed Omid Sajedi , Xiao Liang

We consider a model of an electric circuit, where differential algebraic equations for a circuit part are coupled to partial differential equations for an electromagnetic field part. An uncertainty quantification is performed by changing…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-03-11 Roland Pulch , Sebastian Schöps

In many fields of science, comprehensive and realistic computational models are available nowadays. Often, the respective numerical calculations call for the use of powerful supercomputers, and therefore only a limited number of cases can…

计算物理 · 物理学 2022-11-22 Ionut-Gabriel Farcas , Gabriele Merlo , Frank Jenko

The sparse linear regression problem is difficult to handle with usual sparse optimization models when both predictors and measurements are either quantized or represented in low-precision, due to non-convexity. In this paper, we provide a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-03-22 Vito Cerone , Sophie M. Fosson , Diego Regruto

We present a simple comparative framework for testing and developing uncertainty modeling in uncertain marching cubes implementations. The selection of a model to represent the probability distribution of uncertain values directly…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-09-16 Robert Sisneros , Tushar M. Athawale , David Pugmire , Kenneth Moreland

The presence of uncertainty in material properties and geometry of a structure is ubiquitous. The design of robust engineering structures, therefore, needs to incorporate uncertainty in the optimization process. Stochastic gradient descent…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-11-26 Subhayan De , Kurt Maute , Alireza Doostan

Ensembles of decision trees are a useful tool for obtaining for obtaining flexible estimates of regression functions. Examples of these methods include gradient boosted decision trees, random forests, and Bayesian CART. Two potential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-18 Antonio Ricardo Linero , Yun Yang

Isogeometric Analysis (IGA) typically adopts tensor-product splines and NURBS as a basis for the approximation of the solution of PDEs. In this work, we investigate to which extent IGA solvers can benefit from the so-called sparse-grids…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-04-04 Joakim Beck , Giancarlo Sangalli , Lorenzo Tamellini

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

We develop and analyse numerical schemes for uncertainty quantification in neural field equations subject to random parametric data in the synaptic kernel, firing rate, external stimulus, and initial conditions. The schemes combine a…

Quantification of the impact of uncertainty in material properties as well as the input ground motion on structural responses is an important step in implementing a performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework. Among various…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2020-08-12 Mohammad Amin Hariri-Ardebili , Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Siamak Sattar

Many real-world systems are characterized by stochastic dynamical rules where a complex network of interactions among individual elements probabilistically determines their state. Even with full knowledge of the network structure and of the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-05-15 Filippo Radicchi , Claudio Castellano

In stochastic simulation, input uncertainty refers to the propagation of the statistical noise in calibrating input models to impact output accuracy, in addition to the Monte Carlo simulation noise. The vast majority of the input…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-18 Motong Chen , Henry Lam , Zhenyuan Liu

Structural equation models are commonly used to capture the relationship between sets of observed and unobservable variables. Traditionally these models are fitted using frequentist approaches but recently researchers and practitioners have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-22 Khue-Dung Dang , Luca Maestrini