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Gaussian processes (GPs) are becoming a standard tool to build terrain representations thanks to their capacity to model map uncertainty. This effectively yields a reliability measure of the areas of the map, which can be directly utilized…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-03-22 Ignacio Torroba , Christopher Illife Sprague , John Folkesson

This paper explores a federated learning approach that automatically selects the number of latent processes in multi-output Gaussian processes (MGPs). The MGP has seen great success as a transfer learning tool when data is generated from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-25 Jingyi Gao , Seokhyun Chung

Bayesian inference and Gaussian processes are widely used in applications ranging from robotics and control to biological systems. Many of these applications are safety-critical and require a characterization of the uncertainty associated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-26 Luca Cardelli , Marta Kwiatkowska , Luca Laurenti , Andrea Patane

This research proposes a flexible Bayesian extension of the composite Gaussian process (CGP) model of Ba and Joseph (2012) for predicting (stationary or) non-stationary $y(\mathbf{x})$. The CGP generalizes the regression plus stationary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-27 Casey B. Davis , Christopher M. Hans , Thomas J. Santner

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is widely used for inferring functions from noisy data. GPR crucially relies on the choice of a kernel, which might be specified in terms of a collection of hyperparameters that must be chosen or learned.…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-06-16 P. Michael Kielstra , Michael Lindsey

Machine learning algorithms frequently require careful tuning of model hyperparameters, regularization terms, and optimization parameters. Unfortunately, this tuning is often a "black art" that requires expert experience, unwritten rules of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-08-30 Jasper Snoek , Hugo Larochelle , Ryan P. Adams

We adopt Gaussian Processes (GPs) as latent functions for probabilistic forecasting of intermittent time series. The model is trained in a Bayesian framework that accounts for the uncertainty about the latent function. We couple the latent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-28 Stefano Damato , Dario Azzimonti , Giorgio Corani

To enable closed form conditioning, a common assumption in Gaussian process (GP) regression is independent and identically distributed Gaussian observation noise. This strong and simplistic assumption is often violated in practice, which…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-04 Matias Altamirano , François-Xavier Briol , Jeremias Knoblauch

Modeling sequential data has become more and more important in practice. Some applications are autonomous driving, virtual sensors and weather forecasting. To model such systems, so called recurrent models are frequently used. In this paper…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-01 Roman Föll , Bernard Haasdonk , Markus Hanselmann , Holger Ulmer

Gaussian graphical models (GGM) have been widely used in many high-dimensional applications ranging from biological and financial data to recommender systems. Sparsity in GGM plays a central role both statistically and computationally.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-06-12 Zhaoshi Meng , Brian Eriksson , Alfred O. Hero

Multi-fidelity approaches combine different models built on a scarce but accurate data-set (high-fidelity data-set), and a large but approximate one (low-fidelity data-set) in order to improve the prediction accuracy. Gaussian Processes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-30 Ali Hebbal , Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Nouredine Melab

We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for variable selection using Gaussian process regression, which is crucial for enhancing interpretability and model regularization. Our method employs nearest neighbor Gaussian processes, serving as…

We propose a dynamic factor model (DFM) where the latent factors are linked to observed variables with unknown and potentially nonlinear functions. The key novelty and source of flexibility of our approach is a nonparametric observation…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-08 Tony Chernis , Niko Hauzenberger , Haroon Mumtaz , Michael Pfarrhofer

Multi-task learning models using Gaussian processes (GP) have been developed and successfully applied in various applications. The main difficulty with this approach is the computational cost of inference using the union of examples from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-11-29 Yuyang Wang , Roni Khardon

Multi-Output Gaussian Processes (MOGPs) provide a principled probabilistic framework for modelling correlated outputs but face scalability bottlenecks when applied to datasets with high-dimensional output spaces. To maintain tractability,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Xiaoyu Jiang , Xinxing Shi , Sokratia Georgaka , Magnus Rattray , Mauricio A Álvarez

This paper presents an approach for constrained Gaussian Process (GP) regression where we assume that a set of linear transformations of the process are bounded. It is motivated by machine learning applications for high-consequence…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-12 Christian Agrell

In nonlinear latent variable models or dynamic models, if we consider the latent variables as confounders (common causes), the noise dependencies imply further relations between the observed variables. Such models are then closely related…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-03-19 Kun Zhang , Bernhard Schoelkopf , Dominik Janzing

We propose a new method for simplification of Gaussian process (GP) models by projecting the information contained in the full encompassing model and selecting a reduced number of variables based on their predictive relevance. Our results…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-18 Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

Bayesian synthetic likelihood (BSL) is now an established method for conducting approximate Bayesian inference in models where, due to the intractability of the likelihood function, exact Bayesian approaches are either infeasible or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-12 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi

Transformation-based methods have been an attractive approach in non-parametric inference for problems such as unconditional and conditional density estimation due to their unique hierarchical structure that models the data as flexible…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-06 Sean Plummer , Shuang Zhou , Anirban Bhattacharya , David Dunson , Debdeep Pati