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Projection predictive inference is a decision theoretic Bayesian approach that decouples model estimation from decision making. Given a reference model previously built including all variables present in the data, projection predictive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-15 Alejandro Catalina , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

Gaussian process (GP) based Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful method for optimizing black-box functions efficiently. The practical performance and theoretical guarantees of this approach depend on having the correct GP hyperparameter…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-07 Huong Ha , Vu Nguyen , Hung Tran-The , Hongyu Zhang , Xiuzhen Zhang , Anton van den Hengel

In many areas of the observational and experimental sciences data is scarce. Data observation in high-energy astrophysics is disrupted by celestial occlusions and limited telescope time while data derived from laboratory experiments in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-28 Ryan-Rhys Griffiths

Gaussian processes are flexible, probabilistic, non-parametric models widely used in machine learning and statistics. However, their scalability to large data sets is limited by computational constraints. To overcome these challenges, we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Tim Gyger , Reinhard Furrer , Fabio Sigrist

Intensive longitudinal studies are becoming progressively more prevalent across many social science areas, especially in psychology. New technologies like smart-phones, fitness trackers, and the Internet of Things make it much easier than…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-17 Yunxiao Chen , Siliang Zhang

Gaussian Process based Bayesian Optimization is a widely applied algorithm to learn and optimize under uncertainty, well-known for its sample efficiency. However, recently -- and more frequently -- research studies have empirically…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Antonio Candelieri , Andrea Ponti , Francesco Archetti

Solving Bayesian inference problems approximately with variational approaches can provide fast and accurate results. Capturing correlation within the approximation requires an explicit parametrization. This intrinsically limits this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-31 Jakob Knollmüller , Torsten A. Enßlin

Deep Gaussian process models typically employ discrete hierarchies, but recent advancements in differential Gaussian processes (DiffGPs) have extended these models to infinite depths. However, existing DiffGP approaches often overlook the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Jian Xu , Zhiqi Lin , Min Chen , Junmei Yang , Delu Zeng , John Paisley

Artificial intelligence and machine learning frameworks have served as computationally efficient mapping between inputs and outputs for engineering problems. These mappings have enabled optimization and analysis routines that have warranted…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-17 Yigitcan Comlek , Sandipp Krishnan Ravi , Piyush Pandita , Sayan Ghosh , Liping Wang , Wei Chen

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are powerful non-parametric Bayesian regression models that allow exact posterior inference, but exhibit high computational and memory costs. In order to improve scalability of GPs, approximate posterior inference…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-28 Martin Trapp , Robert Peharz , Franz Pernkopf , Carl E. Rasmussen

Gaussian processes provide a compact representation for modeling and estimating an unknown function, that can be updated as new measurements of the function are obtained. This paper extends this powerful framework to the case where the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-30 Jilles van Hulst , Roy van Zuijlen , Duarte Antunes , W. P. M. H. , Heemels

Gaussian process (GP) surrogate modeling for large computer experiments is limited by cubic runtimes, especially with data from stochastic simulations with input-dependent noise. A popular workaround to reduce computational complexity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-01 D Austin Cole , Robert B Gramacy , Mike Ludkovski

This paper explores several strategies for Forensic Voice Comparison (FVC), aimed at improving the performance of the LRs when using generative Gaussian score-to-LR models. First, different anchoring strategies are proposed, with the…

音频与语音处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-09-19 Daniel Ramos , Juan Maroñas , Alicia Lozano-Diez

Many computer simulations are stochastic and exhibit input dependent noise. In such situations, heteroskedastic Gaussian processes (hetGPs) make ideal surrogates as they estimate a latent, non-constant variance. However, existing hetGP…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Parul V. Patil , Robert B. Gramacy , Cayelan C. Carey , R. Quinn Thomas

We introduce a novel algorithm for controlling linear time invariant systems in a tracking problem. The controller is based on a Gaussian Process (GP) whose realizations satisfy a system of linear ordinary differential equations with…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-08-01 Jörn Tebbe , Andreas Besginow , Markus Lange-Hegermann

Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful non-parametric function estimators. However, their applications are largely limited by the expensive computational cost of the inference procedures. Existing stochastic or distributed synchronous…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-14 Hao Peng , Shandian Zhe , Yuan Qi

Multi-task regression attempts to exploit the task similarity in order to achieve knowledge transfer across related tasks for performance improvement. The application of Gaussian process (GP) in this scenario yields the non-parametric yet…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-21 Haitao Liu , Jiaqi Ding , Xinyu Xie , Xiaomo Jiang , Yusong Zhao , Xiaofang Wang

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a powerful probabilistic modeling technique with built-in uncertainty quantification. When one has access to multiple correlated simulations (tasks), it is common to fit a multitask GP (MTGP) surrogate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Pieterjan Robbe , Fred J. Hickernell

Bayesian model updating based on Gaussian Process (GP) models has received attention in recent years, which incorporates kernel-based GPs to provide enhanced fidelity response predictions. Although most kernel functions provide high fitting…

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani
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