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We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

We consider statistical inference for a class of dynamic mixed-effect models described by stochastic differential equations whose drift and diffusion coefficients simultaneously depend on fixed- and random-effect parameters. Assuming that…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-30 Maud Delattre , Hiroki Masuda

The stratified linear permutation statistic arises in various statistics problems, including stratified and post-stratified survey sampling, stratified and post-stratified experiments, conditional permutation tests, etc. Although we can…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-18 Pengfei Tian , Fan Yang , Peng Ding

We revisit the classical problem of estimating an unknown distribution from its samples by fitting a mixture model that minimizes cross-entropy loss. Framing the task as a stochastic convex optimization problem over the space of $ M…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Mohammadreza Ahmadypour , Tara Javidi , Farinaz Koushanfar

Using Stein's method techniques, we develop a framework which allows one to bound the error terms arising from approximation by the Laplace distribution and apply it to the study of random sums of mean zero random variables. As a corollary,…

概率论 · 数学 2014-10-29 John Pike , Haining Ren

The general relationship between an arbitrary frequency distribution and the expectation value of the frequency distributions of its samples is discussed. A wide set of measurable quantities ("invariant moments") whose expectation value…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-06-15 Paolo Rossi

This paper introduces a new approach to the study of rates of convergence for posterior distributions. It is a natural extension of a recent approach to the study of Bayesian consistency. In particular, we improve on current rates of…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-08-22 Stephen G. Walker , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

Nonparametric estimation of a mixing distribution based on data coming from a mixture model is a challenging problem. Beyond estimation, there is interest in uncertainty quantification, e.g., confidence intervals for features of the mixing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-14 Vaidehi Dixit , Ryan Martin

The Stieltjes (or sometimes called the Cauchy) transform is a fundamental object associated with probability measures, corresponding to the generating function of the moments. In certain applications such as free probability it is essential…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-10-22 James Chen , Sheehan Olver

To avoid specification of the error distribution in a regression model, we propose a general nonparametric scale mixture model for the error distribution. For fitting such mixtures, the predictive recursion method is a simple and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-03 Ryan Martin , Zhen Han

In this paper we study the problem of statistical inference on the parameters of the semiparametric variance-mean mixtures. This class of mixtures has recently become rather popular in statistical and financial modelling. We design a…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2017-05-23 Denis Belomestny , Vladimir Panov

Classical mixture models (MMs) are widely used tractable proposals for approximate inference settings such as variational inference (VI) and importance sampling (IS). Recently, mixture models with negative coefficients, called subtractive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Lena Zellinger , Nicola Branchini , Lennert De Smet , Víctor Elvira , Nikolay Malkin , Antonio Vergari

We obtain rates of convergence in limit theorems of partial sums $S_n$ for certain sequences of dependent, identically distributed random variables, which arise naturally in statistical mechanics, in particular, in the context of the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-08-14 Peter Eichelsbacher , Matthias Löwe

We consider a finite mixture model with varying mixing probabilities. Linear regression models are assumed for observed variables with coefficients depending on the mixture component the observed subject belongs to. A modification of the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Daryna Liubashenko , Rostyslav Maiboroda

Linear mixed-effects models are widely used in analyzing clustered or repeated measures data. We propose a quasi-likelihood approach for estimation and inference of the unknown parameters in linear mixed-effects models with high-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-10 Sai Li , Tony T. Cai , Hongzhe Li

Despite the versatility of generalized linear mixed models in handling complex experimental designs, they often suffer from misspecification and convergence problems. This makes inference on the values of coefficients problematic. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-31 Angela Andreella , Jelle Goeman , Jesse Hemerik , Livio Finos

In scientific inference problems, the underlying statistical modeling assumptions have a crucial impact on the end results. There exist, however, only a few automatic means for validating these fundamental modelling assumptions. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-21 Andreas Svensson , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica , Thomas B. Schön

In this paper we introduce a novel method to conduct inference with models defined through a continuous-time Markov process, and we apply these results to a classical stochastic SIR model as a case study. Using the inverse-size expansion of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-11-10 Marcos A. Capistrán , J. Andrés Christen , Jorge X. Velasco-Hernández

Selective inference aims at providing valid inference after a data-driven selection of models or hypotheses. It is essential to avoid overconfident results and replicability issues. While significant advances have been made in this area for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-14 Matteo D'Alessandro , Magne Thoresen

A spectral mixture (SM) kernel is a flexible kernel used to model any stationary covariance function. Although it is useful in modeling data, the learning of the SM kernel is generally difficult because optimizing a large number of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-15 Yohan Jung , Kyungwoo Song , Jinkyoo Park