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The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

We study generalisations of a simple, combinatorial proof of a Chernoff bound similar to the one by Impagliazzo and Kabanets (RANDOM, 2010). In particular, we prove a randomized version of the hitting property of expander random walks and…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2015-01-16 Jan Hązła , Thomas Holenstein

We establish upper and lower bounds with matching leading terms for tails of weighted sums of two-sided exponential random variables. This extends Janson's recent results for one-sided exponentials.

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-28 Jiawei Li , Tomasz Tkocz

We present a method for upper and lower bounding the right and the left tail probabilities of continuous random variables (RVs). For the right tail probability of RV $X$ with probability density function $f (x)$, this method requires first…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-07 Nikola Zlatanov

We provide the first tight bounds on the lower tail probability of the one point distribution of the KPZ equation with narrow wedge initial data. Our bounds hold for all sufficiently large times $T$ and demonstrates a crossover between…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-16 Ivan Corwin , Promit Ghosal

We derive exponential tail inequalities for sums of random matrices with no dependence on the explicit matrix dimensions. These are similar to the matrix versions of the Chernoff bound and Bernstein inequality except with the explicit…

概率论 · 数学 2011-05-16 Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade , Tong Zhang

We study the problem of computing the tightest upper and lower bounds on the probability that the sum of $n$ dependent Bernoulli random variables exceeds an integer $k$. Under knowledge of all pairs of bivariate distributions denoted by a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-16 Divya Padmanabhan , Karthik Natarajan

This paper presents new probability inequalities for sums of independent, random, self-adjoint matrices. These results place simple and easily verifiable hypotheses on the summands, and they deliver strong conclusions about the…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-29 Joel A. Tropp

While useful probability bounds for $n$ pairwise independent Bernoulli random variables adding up to at least an integer $k$ have been proposed in the literature, none of these bounds are tight in general. In this paper, we provide several…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-11-24 Arjun Ramachandra , Karthik Natarajan

This is Part II of our work about random tensor inequalities and tail bounds for bivariate random tensor means. After reviewing basic facts about random tensors, we first consider tail bounds with more general connection functions. Then, a…

概率论 · 数学 2023-05-08 Shih-Yu Chang

Chernoff's bound binds a tail probability (ie. $Pr(X \ge a)$, where $a \ge EX$). Assuming that the distribution of $X$ is $Q$, the logarithm of the bound is known to be equal to the value of relative entropy (or minus Kullback-Leibler…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-27 M. Grendar, , M. Grendar

We establish the first tight bound on the lower tail probability of the half-space KPZ equation with Neumann boundary parameter $A = -1/2$ and narrow-wedge initial data. When the tail depth is of order $T^{2/3}$, the lower bound…

概率论 · 数学 2021-09-28 Yujin H. Kim

Using terminologies of information geometry, we derive upper and lower bounds of the tail probability of the sample mean. Employing these bounds, we obtain upper and lower bounds of the minimum error probability of the 2nd kind of error…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-10 Shun Watanabe , Masahito Hayashi

We derive upper bounds for probabilities of the form $P(g(\mathbf{X})\geq t)$ using the southwest boundary (recently introduced in our previous work) $\partial_{\mathrm{SW}} Q(g^{-1}[t,\infty))$, where $Q$ is a reflection to the first…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-27 Stephen Jordan Harrison

This work introduces the minimax Laplace transform method, a modification of the cumulant-based matrix Laplace transform method developed in "User-friendly tail bounds for sums of random matrices" (arXiv:1004.4389v6) that yields both upper…

概率论 · 数学 2011-07-22 Alex Gittens , Joel A. Tropp

We derive sharp probability bounds on the tails of a product of symmetric non-negative random variables using only information about their first two moments. If the covariance matrix of the random variables is known exactly, these bounds…

概率论 · 数学 2016-05-19 Napat Rujeerapaiboon , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-25 Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier

We study the upper tail of the number of arithmetic progressions of a given length in a random subset of {1,...,n}, establishing exponential bounds which are best possible up to constant factors in the exponent. The proof also extends to…

组合数学 · 数学 2017-12-12 Lutz Warnke

The Chernoff bound is one of the most widely used tools in theoretical computer science. It's rare to find a randomized algorithm that doesn't employ a Chernoff bound in its analysis. The standard proofs of Chernoff bounds are beautiful but…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 William Kuszmaul

Known Bernstein-type upper bounds on the tail probabilities for sums of independent zero-mean sub-exponential random variables are improved in several ways at once. The new upper bounds have a certain optimality property.

概率论 · 数学 2022-08-15 Iosif Pinelis