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As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

This paper proposes a new Bayesian approach for analysing moment condition models in the situation where the data may be contaminated by outliers. The approach builds upon the foundations developed by Schennach (2005) who proposed the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-03 Zhichao Liu , Catherine S. Forbes , Heather M. Anderson

In fixed-confidence best arm identification (BAI), the objective is to quickly identify the optimal option while controlling the probability of error below a desired threshold. Despite the plethora of BAI algorithms, existing methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-05 Brian M. Cho , Nathan Kallus

Testing for association or dependence between pairs of random variables is a fundamental problem in statistics. In some applications, data are subject to selection bias that causes dependence between observations even when it is absent from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-13 Yaniv Tenzer , Micha Mandel , Or Zuk

Let $T$ be the Student one- or two-sample $t$-, $F$-, or Welch statistic. Now release the underlying assumptions of normality, independence and identical distribution and consider a more general case where one only assumes that the vector…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-23 Dmitrii Zholud

Addressing the reproducibility crisis in artificial intelligence through the validation of reported experimental results is a challenging task. It necessitates either the reimplementation of techniques or a meticulous assessment of papers…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-14 György Kovács , Attila Fazekas

When do nonparametric Bayesian procedures ``overfit''? To shed light on this question, we consider a binary regression problem in detail and establish frequentist consistency for a certain class of Bayes procedures based on hierarchical…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Marc Coram , Steven P. Lalley

We study a novel class of affine invariant and consistent tests for multivariate normality. The tests are based on a characterization of the standard $d$-variate normal distribution by means of the unique solution of an initial value…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-07 Bruno Ebner , Norbert Henze , David Strieder

Linear models are foundational tools in statistics and ubiquitous across the applied sciences. However, conventional statistical inference -- such as $t$-tests and $F$-tests -- are only valid at fixed sample sizes, making them unsuitable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 Michael Lindon , Dae Woong Ham , Martin Tingley , Iavor Bojinov

We consider the problem of testing a null hypothesis defined by equality and inequality constraints on a statistical parameter. Testing such hypotheses can be challenging because the number of relevant constraints may be on the same order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-19 Nils Sturma , Mathias Drton , Dennis Leung

The problem of f-divergence estimation is important in the fields of machine learning, information theory, and statistics. While several nonparametric divergence estimators exist, relatively few have known convergence properties. In…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-03-16 Kevin R. Moon , Alfred O. Hero

Many recently developed Bayesian methods have focused on sparse signal detection. However, much less work has been done addressing the natural follow-up question: how to make valid inferences for the magnitude of those signals after…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-02 Spencer Woody , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , James G. Scott

We consider the fixed-budget best arm identification problem with rewards following normal distributions. In this problem, the forecaster is given $K$ arms (or treatments) and $T$ time steps. The forecaster attempts to find the arm with the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-16 Junpei Komiyama

Size distortion can occur if an asymptotic testing procedure requiring diverging sample sizes, is implemented to data with very small sample sizes. In this paper, we consider one-sample and two-sample tests for mean vectors when data are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-17 Jun Li

Two active hypothesis testing problems are formulated. In these problems, the agent can perform a fixed number of experiments and then decide on one of the hypotheses. The agent is also allowed to declare its experiments inconclusive if…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-11-19 Dhruva Kartik , Ashutosh Nayyar , Urbashi Mitra

Count outcomes in longitudinal studies are frequent in clinical and engineering studies. In frequentist and Bayesian statistical analysis, methods such as Mixed linear models allow the variability or correlation within individuals to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-15 Alejandra Estefanía Patiño Hoyos , Johnatan Cardona Jiménez

We propose a general semi-supervised inference framework focused on the estimation of the population mean. As usual in semi-supervised settings, there exists an unlabeled sample of covariate vectors and a labeled sample consisting of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-15 Anru Zhang , Lawrence D. Brown , T. Tony Cai

Two-sample testing is a fundamental problem in statistics, and many famous two-sample tests are designed to be fully non-parametric. These existing methods perform well with location and scale shifts but are less robust when faced with more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-12 Benjamin Brown , Kai Zhang

A Bell test can rule out local realistic models, and has potential applications in communications and information tasks. For example, a Bell inequality violation can certify the presence of intrinsic randomness in measurement outcomes,…

In randomized experiments, treatment and control groups should be roughly the same--balanced--in their distributions of pretreatment variables. But how nearly so? Can descriptive comparisons meaningfully be paired with significance tests?…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-08-29 Ben B. Hansen , Jake Bowers