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Causal inference is a critical task across fields such as healthcare, economics, and the social sciences. While recent advances in machine learning, especially those based on the deep-learning architectures, have shown potential in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Manqing Liu , David R. Bellamy , Andrew L. Beam

This paper is motivated by studies in neuroscience experiments to understand interactions between nodes in a brain network using different types of data modalities that capture different distinct facets of brain activity. To assess…

Granger causal modeling is an emerging topic that can uncover Granger causal relationship behind multivariate time series data. In many real-world systems, it is common to encounter a large amount of multivariate time series data collected…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-11 Yunfei Chu , Xiaowei Wang , Jianxin Ma , Kunyang Jia , Jingren Zhou , Hongxia Yang

With the advancement of deep learning technologies, various neural network-based Granger causality models have been proposed. Although these models have demonstrated notable improvements, several limitations remain. Most existing approaches…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Meiliang Liu , Huiwen Dong , Xiaoxiao Yang , Yunfang Xu , Zijin Li , Zhengye Si , Xinyue Yang , Zhiwen Zhao

A structural equation model (SEM) is an effective framework to reason over causal relationships represented via a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Recent advances have enabled effective maximum-likelihood point estimation of DAGs from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Chris Cundy , Aditya Grover , Stefano Ermon

Understanding causal relationships in time series is fundamental to many domains, including neuroscience, economics, and behavioral science. Granger causality is one of the well-known techniques for inferring causality in time series.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-04 Chakattrai Sookkongwaree , Tattep Lakmuang , Chainarong Amornbunchornvej

A central question in neuroscience is how self-organizing dynamic interactions in the brain emerge on their relatively static structural backbone. Due to the complexity of spatial and temporal dependencies between different brain areas,…

Assuming a directed acyclic graph (DAG) that represents prior knowledge of causal relationships between variables is a common starting point for cause-effect estimation. Existing literature typically invokes hypothetical domain expert…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-11 Kirtan Padh , Zhufeng Li , Cecilia Casolo , Niki Kilbertus

Wiener and Granger have introduced an intuitive concept of causality between two variables which is based on the idea that an effect never occurs before its cause. Later, Geweke has generalized this concept to a multivariate Granger…

Causal processes in biomedicine may contain cycles, evolve over time or differ between populations. However, many graphical models cannot accommodate these conditions. We propose to model causation using a mixture of directed cyclic graphs…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-08 Eric V. Strobl

Granger causality method analyzes the time series causalities without building a complex causality graph. However, the traditional Granger causality method assumes that the causalities lie between time series channels and remain constant,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Zhiheng Zhang , Wenbo Hu , Tian Tian , Jun Zhu

Granger causality is widely used for causal structure discovery in complex systems from multivariate time series data. Traditional Granger causality tests based on linear models often fail to detect even mild non-linear causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-23 Ziyi Zhang , Shaogang Ren , Xiaoning Qian , Nick Duffield

Granger Causality (GC) offers an elegant statistical framework to study the association between multivariate time series data. Vector autoregressive models (VAR) are simple and easy to fit, but have limited application because of their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Malik Shahid Sultan , Hernando Ombao , Maurizio Filippone

Granger causality is a commonly used method for uncovering information flow and dependencies in a time series. Here we introduce JGC (Jacobian Granger Causality), a neural network-based approach to Granger causality using the Jacobian as a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-20 Suryadi , Yew-Soon Ong , Lock Yue Chew

Granger causality, commonly used for inferring causal structures from time series data, has been adopted in widespread applications across various fields due to its intuitive explainability and high compatibility with emerging deep neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Ziyi Zhang , Shaogang Ren , Xiaoning Qian , Nick Duffield

Causal inference with observational data critically relies on untestable and extra-statistical assumptions that have (sometimes) testable implications. Well-known sets of assumptions that are sufficient to justify the causal interpretation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-20 Pablo Geraldo Bastías

Bayesian causal discovery aims to infer the posterior distribution over causal models from observed data, quantifying epistemic uncertainty and benefiting downstream tasks. However, computational challenges arise due to joint inference over…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-11 Yashas Annadani , Nick Pawlowski , Joel Jennings , Stefan Bauer , Cheng Zhang , Wenbo Gong

Learning a faithful directed acyclic graph (DAG) from samples of a joint distribution is a challenging combinatorial problem, owing to the intractable search space superexponential in the number of graph nodes. A recent breakthrough…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-24 Yue Yu , Jie Chen , Tian Gao , Mo Yu

While dynamic graph neural networks have shown promise in various applications, explaining their predictions on continuous-time dynamic graphs (CTDGs) is difficult. This paper investigates a new research task: self-interpretable GNNs for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-30 Lanting Fang , Yulian Yang , Kai Wang , Shanshan Feng , Kaiyu Feng , Jie Gui , Shuliang Wang , Yew-Soon Ong

Background: In epidemiology, causal inference and prediction modeling methodologies have been historically distinct. Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) are used to model a priori causal assumptions and inform variable selection strategies for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-03 Marco Piccininni , Stefan Konigorski , Jessica L Rohmann , Tobias Kurth