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We provide a theoretical framework to understand how widely used measures of choice difficulty relate. In a binary-option Bayesian expected-utility framework, we show that three measures of difficulty, (i) understanding (ex-ante value),…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-30 Chris Chambers , Yusufcan Masatolioglu , Paulo Natenzon , Collin Raymond

Algorithmic recommendation based on noisy preference measurement is prevalent in recommendation systems. This paper discusses the consequences of such recommendation on market concentration and inequality. Binary types denoting a…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-21 Andreas Haupt

Behavioral scientists have classically documented aversion to algorithmic decision aids, from simple linear models to AI. Sentiment, however, is changing and possibly accelerating AI helper usage. AI assistance is, arguably, most valuable…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-07-28 Nikolos Gurney , John H. Miller , David V. Pynadath

In many economically relevant contexts where machine learning is deployed, multiple platforms obtain data from the same pool of users, each of whom selects the platform that best serves them. Prior work in this setting focuses exclusively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-02 Adhyyan Narang , Sarah Dean , Lillian J Ratliff , Maryam Fazel

We propose an empirical likelihood ratio test for nonparametric model selection, where the competing models may be nested, nonnested, overlapping, misspecified, or correctly specified. It compares the squared prediction errors of models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-21 Jiancheng Jiang , Jiang Xuejun , Wang Haofeng

Fairness metrics are used to assess discrimination and bias in decision-making processes across various domains, including machine learning models and human decision-makers in real-world applications. This involves calculating the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Manh Khoi Duong , Stefan Conrad

Multiple Instance Learning (MIL) is a sub-domain of classification problems with positive and negative labels and a "bag" of inputs, where the label is positive if and only if a positive element is contained within the bag, and otherwise is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-30 Edward Raff , James Holt

This paper extends my research applying statistical decision theory to treatment choice with sample data, using maximum regret to evaluate the performance of treatment rules. The specific new contribution is to study as-if optimization…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-05 Charles F. Manski

When does society eventually learn the truth, or take the correct action, via observational learning? In a general model of sequential learning over social networks, we identify a simple condition for learning dubbed excludability.…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-04-05 Navin Kartik , SangMok Lee , Tianhao Liu , Daniel Rappoport

The Random Utility Model (RUM) is the leading model to represent the aggregate choices of a heterogeneous population of preference maximizers. We show that if (and only if) preferences are sufficiently uncorrelated, RUM choices can also be…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-29 Daniele Caliari , Henrik Petri

We investigate inferring individual preferences and the contradiction of individual preferences with group preferences through direct measurement of the brain. We report an experiment where brain activity collected from 31 participants…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2023-12-18 Keith M. Davis , Michiel Spapé , Tuukka Ruotsalo

The standard A/B testing approaches are mostly based on t-test in large scale industry applications. These standard approaches however suffers from low statistical power in business settings, due to nature of small sample-size or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-30 Changshuai Wei , Phuc Nguyen , Benjamin Zelditch , Joyce Chen

We show that many bounded rationality patterns of choice can be alternatively represented as testable models of limited consideration, and we elicit the features of the associated unobserved consideration sets from the observed choice.…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-08 Davide Carpentiere , Angelo Petralia

Subjective expected utility theory assumes that decision-makers possess unlimited computational resources to reason about their choices; however, virtually all decisions in everyday life are made under resource constraints - i.e.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-07 Pedro A. Ortega , Alan A. Stocker

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly utilized in autonomous decision-making, where they sample options from vast action spaces. However, the heuristics that guide this sampling process remain under explored. We study this sampling…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-07-11 Sarath Sivaprasad , Pramod Kaushik , Sahar Abdelnabi , Mario Fritz

Reinforcement learning (RL) requires access to a reward function that incentivizes the right behavior, but these are notoriously hard to specify for complex tasks. Preference-based RL provides an alternative: learning policies using a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-05 Kimin Lee , Laura Smith , Anca Dragan , Pieter Abbeel

Counterfactual reasoning, a cornerstone of human cognition and decision-making, is often seen as the 'holy grail' of causal learning, with applications ranging from interpreting machine learning models to promoting algorithmic fairness.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-11 Yahya Aalaila , Gerrit Großmann , Sumantrak Mukherjee , Jonas Wahl , Sebastian Vollmer

The task of learning to pick a single preferred example out a finite set of examples, an "optimal choice problem", is a supervised machine learning problem with complex, structured input. Problems of optimal choice emerge often in various…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-07-07 Marina Sapir

A principal and an agent can launch a project under unanimous consent. Their individual payoffs from the project depend on an underlying state, and the agent privately knows his own preference. The principal can conduct a test to learn…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-06 Yingkai Li , Boli Xu

In the theory of voting, the Plurality rule for preferences that come in the form of linear orders selects the alternatives most frequently appearing in the first position of those orders, while the Anti-Plurality rule selects the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Ulle Endriss , Federico Fioravanti