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We consider methods for transporting a prediction model and assessing its performance for use in a new target population, when outcome and covariate information for model development is available from a simple random sample from the source…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-04-15 Jon A. Steingrimsson , Constantine Gatsonis , Issa J. Dahabreh

We consider the estimation of measures of model performance in a target population when covariate and outcome data are available on a sample from some source population and covariate data, but not outcome data, are available on a simple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-16 Jon A. Steingrimsson , Sarah E. Robertson , Issa J. Dahabreh

Educational policymakers often lack data on student outcomes where standardized tests were not administered. Machine learning can predict unobserved outcomes in target populations using source population data. However, covariate…

Conventional meta analysis of model performance conducted using datasources from different underlying populations often result in estimates that cannot be interpreted in the context of a well defined target population. In this manuscript we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-23 Jon A. Steingrimsson , Lan Wen , Sarah Voter , Issa J. Dahabreh

Surveys are commonly used to facilitate research in epidemiology, health, and the social and behavioral sciences. Often, these surveys are not simple random samples, and respondents are given weights reflecting their probability of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Adway S. Wadekar , Jerome P. Reiter

In clinical settings, we often face the challenge of building prediction models based on small observational data sets. For example, such a data set might be from a medical center in a multi-center study. Differences between centers might…

Estimating causal effects from observational data informs us about which factors are important in an autonomous system, and enables us to take better decisions. This is important because it has applications in selecting a treatment in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-29 Plabon Shaha , Talha Islam Zadid , Ismat Rahman , Md. Mosaddek Khan

In this paper the accuracy and robustness of quality measures for the assessment of machine learning models are investigated. The prediction quality of a machine learning model is evaluated model-independent based on a cross-validation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-07 Thomas Most , Lars Gräning , Sebastian Wolff

Machine learning models trained on real-world data may inadvertently make biased predictions that negatively impact marginalized communities. Reweighting, which assigns a weight to each data point used during model training, can mitigate…

Consider a scenario where we have access to train data with both covariates and outcomes while test data only contains covariates. In this scenario, our primary aim is to predict the missing outcomes of the test data. With this objective in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Masahiro Kato , Kota Matsui , Ryo Inokuchi

Causally interpretable meta-analysis combines information from a collection of randomized controlled trials to estimate treatment effects in a target population in which experimentation may not be possible but covariate information can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-03 Jon A. Steingrimsson , David H. Barker , Ruofan Bie , Issa J. Dahabreh

Consider sensitivity analysis for estimating average treatment effects under unmeasured confounding, assumed to satisfy a marginal sensitivity model. At the population level, we provide new representations for the sharp population bounds…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-26 Zhiqiang Tan

When outcomes are missing for reasons beyond an investigator's control, there are two different ways to adjust a parameter estimate for covariates that may be related both to the outcome and to missingness. One approach is to model the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-12-18 Joseph D. Y. Kang , Joseph L. Schafer

Analyses of randomised trials are often based on regression models which adjust for baseline covariates, in addition to randomised group. Based on such models, one can obtain estimates of the marginal mean outcome for the population under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-17 Jonathan W. Bartlett

Interest in targeted disease prevention has stimulated development of models that assign risks to individuals, using their personal covariates. We need to evaluate these models, and to quantify the gains achieved by expanding a model with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-06-16 Alice S. Whittemore

The density ratio is an important metric for evaluating the relative likelihood of two probability distributions, with extensive applications in statistics and machine learning. However, existing estimation theories for density ratios often…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-03 Shuntuo Xu , Zhou Yu , Jian Huang

In prevalent cohort studies where subjects are recruited at a cross-section, the time to an event may be subject to length-biased sampling, with the observed data being either the forward recurrence time, or the backward recurrence time, or…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-05 Pourab Roy , Jason P. Fine , Michael R. Kosorok

Linear transformation model provides a general framework for analyzing censored survival data with covariates. The proportional hazards and proportional odds models are special cases of the linear transformation model. In biomedical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-11 Sudheesh K. K. , Deemat C. Mathew , Litty Mathew , Min Xie

In many learning problems, the training and testing data follow different distributions and a particularly common situation is the \textit{covariate shift}. To correct for sampling biases, most approaches, including the popular kernel mean…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-13 Henry Lam , Fengpei Li , Siddharth Prusty

We study a linear statistical model where outcomes depend on regressors with fixed population coefficients and observation-specific latent coefficients, along with measurement errors. A decision-maker estimates population coefficients and…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-15 Junnan He , Lin Hu , Matthew Kovach , Anqi Li
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