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Many methods for machine learning rely on approximate inference from intractable probability distributions. Variational inference approximates such distributions by tractable models that can be subsequently used for approximate inference.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-08 Oleg Arenz , Mingjun Zhong , Gerhard Neumann

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs), a hierarchical composition of GP models, have successfully boosted the expressive power of their single-layer counterpart. However, it is impossible to perform exact inference in DGPs, which has motivated the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-27 Haibin Yu , Dapeng Liu , Yizhou Chen , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

Starting from the observation of an R^n-Gaussian vector of mean f and covariance matrix \sigma^2 I_n (I_n is the identity matrix), we propose a method for building a Euclidean confidence ball around f, with prescribed probability of…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Yannick Baraud

Bayesian statistical inference for Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) with parameters lying on a constrained space is of general interest (e.g., in monotonic or convex regression), but often constructing valid prior distributions supported on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-02 Rahul Ghosal , Sujit K. Ghosh

Circular and non-flat data distributions are prevalent across diverse domains of data science, yet their specific geometric structures often remain underutilized in machine learning frameworks. A principled approach to accounting for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-25 Thibault de Surrel , Fabien Lotte , Sylvain Chevallier , Florian Yger

Bayesian inference provides principled uncertainty quantification but is often limited by the challenges of prior and likelihood elicitation. The martingale posterior (MGP) (Fong et al., 2023) offers an alternative by replacing these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Kenyon Ng , Edwin Fong , David T. Frazier , Jeremias Knoblauch , Susan Wei

We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are widely used in financial fraud detection due to their excellent ability on handling graph-structured financial data and modeling multilayer connections by aggregating information of neighbors. However, these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-20 Jiaxun Liu , Yue Tian , Guanjun Liu

It is shown that the fiducial distribution in a group model, or more generally a quasigroup model, determines the optimal equivariant frequentist inference procedures. The proof does not rely on existence of invariant measures, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-09 Gunnar Taraldsen , Bo Henry Lindqvist

A method to perform unfolding with Gaussian processes (GPs) is presented. Using Bayesian regression, we define an estimator for the underlying truth distribution as the mode of the posterior. We show that in the case where the bin contents…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-11-07 Adam Bozson , Glen Cowan , Francesco Spanò

We propose an approach for capturing the signal variability in hyperspectral imagery using the framework of the Grassmann manifold. Labeled points from each class are sampled and used to form abstract points on the Grassmannian. The…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2015-02-04 Sofya Chepushtanova , Michael Kirby

In decision theoretic estimation of parameters in Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^p$, the action space is chosen to be the convex closure of the estimand space. In this paper, the concept has been extended to the estimation of circular…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-28 Kanika , Somesh Kumar

Gaussian processes are employed for non-parametric regression in a Bayesian setting. They generalize linear regression, embedding the inputs in a latent manifold inside an infinite-dimensional reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We can…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-07-13 Francesco Romor , Marco Tezzele , Gianluigi Rozza

We propose a likelihood ratio based inferential framework for high dimensional semiparametric generalized linear models. This framework addresses a variety of challenging problems in high dimensional data analysis, including incomplete…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-24 Yang Ning , Tianqi Zhao , Han Liu

An advantage of methods that base inference on a posterior distribution is that credible regions are readily obtained. Except in well-specified situations, however, there is no guarantee that such regions will achieve the nominal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-28 Nicholas Syring , Ryan Martin

Graphs are ubiquitous in social networks and biochemistry, where Graph Neural Networks (GNN) are the state-of-the-art models for prediction. Graphs can be evolving and it is vital to formally model and understand how a trained GNN responds…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-12 Yazheng Liu , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie

The shape of an object is an important characteristic for many vision problems such as segmentation, detection and tracking. Being independent of appearance, it is possible to generalize to a large range of objects from only small amounts…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-14 Alessandro Di Martino , Erik Bodin , Carl Henrik Ek , Neill D. F. Campbell

Estimation of spatially-varying parameters for computationally expensive forward models governed by partial differential equations is addressed. A novel multiscale Bayesian inference approach is introduced based on deep probabilistic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-02 Yingzhi Xia , Nicholas Zabaras

This paper considers the problem of regression over distributions, which is becoming increasingly important in machine learning. Existing approaches often ignore the geometry of the probability space or are computationally expensive. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-31 Maksim Maslov , Alexander Kugaevskikh , Matthew Ivanov

Machine learning holds tremendous promise for transforming the fundamental practice of scientific discovery by virtue of its data-driven nature. With the ever-increasing stream of research data collection, it would be appealing to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-06 Jianan Fan , Dongnan Liu , Hang Chang , Heng Huang , Mei Chen , Weidong Cai