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Conformal prediction (CP) was developed to provide finite-sample probabilistic prediction guarantees. While CP algorithms are a relatively general-purpose approach to uncertainty quantification, with finite-sample guarantees, they lack…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-08 Jonathan P Williams

Generative Bayesian Filtering (GBF) provides a powerful and flexible framework for performing posterior inference in complex nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. Our approach extends Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-07 Edoardo Marcelli , Sean O'Hagan , Veronika Rockova

This article presents a novel approach to construct Intrinsic Gaussian Processes for regression on unknown manifolds with probabilistic metrics (GPUM) in point clouds. In many real world applications, one often encounters high dimensional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-18 Mu Niu , Zhenwen Dai , Pokman Cheung , Yizhu Wang

This work proposes $\mu$GUIDE: a general Bayesian framework to estimate posterior distributions of tissue microstructure parameters from any given biophysical model or MRI signal representation, with exemplar demonstration in…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-05 Maëliss Jallais , Marco Palombo

A generalized Gaussian process model (GGPM) is a unifying framework that encompasses many existing Gaussian process (GP) models, such as GP regression, classification, and counting. In the GGPM framework, the observation likelihood of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-11-28 Lifeng Shang , Antoni B. Chan

This paper proposes a unified framework to quantify local and global inferential uncertainty for high dimensional nonparanormal graphical models. In particular, we consider the problems of testing the presence of a single edge and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-01 Quanquan Gu , Yuan Cao , Yang Ning , Han Liu

Although Bayesian methods are robust and principled, their application in practice could be limited since they typically rely on computationally intensive Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms for their implementation. One possible solution…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-10-06 Tian Chen , Jeffrey Streets , Babak Shahbaba

Riemannian diffusion models draw inspiration from standard Euclidean space diffusion models to learn distributions on general manifolds. Unfortunately, the additional geometric complexity renders the diffusion transition term inexpressible…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-01 Aaron Lou , Minkai Xu , Stefano Ermon

We use spectral theory to produce embeddings of distributions in the algebras of generalized functions on a closed Riemannian manifold. These embeddings are invariant under isometries and preserve the singularity structure of the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2007-09-14 Shantanu Dave

The notion of confidence distributions is applied to inference about the parameter in a simple autoregressive model, allowing the parameter to take the value one. This makes it possible to compare to asymptotic approximations in both the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-28 Rolf Larsson

This paper is concerned with the study of a circular random distribution called geodesic Normal distribution recently proposed for general manifolds. This distribution, parameterized by two real numbers associated to some specific location…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-02-27 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Nicolas Le Bihan

Estimating the difference between two binomial proportions will be investigated, where Bayesian, frequentist and fiducial (BFF) methods will be considered. Three vague priors will be used, the Jeffreys prior, a divergence prior and the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-11-17 Lizanne Raubenheimer

One formulation of forensic identification of source problems is to determine the source of trace evidence, for instance, glass fragments found on a suspect for a crime. The current state of the science is to compute a Bayes factor (BF)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-14 Jonathan P Williams , Danica M Ommen , Jan Hannig

Recently, studies on machine learning have focused on methods that use symmetry implicit in a specific manifold as an inductive bias. Grassmann manifolds provide the ability to handle fundamental shapes represented as shape spaces, enabling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-06 Ryoma Yataka , Kazuki Hirashima , Masashi Shiraishi

We introduce the notion of multiscale covariance tensor fields (CTF) associated with Euclidean random variables as a gateway to the shape of their distributions. Multiscale CTFs quantify variation of the data about every point in the data…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-03-01 Diego Hernán Díaz Martínez , Facundo Mémoli , Washington Mio

Regression on manifolds, and, more broadly, statistics on manifolds, has garnered significant importance in recent years due to the vast number of applications for non Euclidean data. Circular data is a classic example, but so is data in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-18 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Fabrice Gamboa , Leonardo Moreno

Reacting against the limitation of statistics to decision procedures, R. A. Fisher proposed for inductive reasoning the use of the fiducial distribution, a parameter-space distribution of epistemological probability transferred directly…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-01 David R. Bickel

Gaussian process regression is widely used because of its ability to provide well-calibrated uncertainty estimates and handle small or sparse datasets. However, it struggles with high-dimensional data. One possible way to scale this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-02 Bernardo Fichera , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Andreas Krause , Aude Billard

Gradient-based approximate inference methods, such as Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD), provide simple and general-purpose inference engines for differentiable continuous distributions. However, existing forms of SVGD cannot be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-03 Jun Han , Fan Ding , Xianglong Liu , Lorenzo Torresani , Jian Peng , Qiang Liu

Consensus algorithms are popular distributed algorithms for computing aggregate quantities, such as averages, in ad-hoc wireless networks. However, existing algorithms mostly address the case where the measurements lie in a Euclidean space.…

动力系统 · 数学 2012-02-02 Roberto Tron , Bijan Afsari , René Vidal