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We present an overview of the decision-theoretic framework of statistical causality, which is well-suited for formulating and solving problems of determining the effects of applied causes. The approach is described in detail, and is related…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-28 A. Philip Dawid

In competing event settings, a counterfactual contrast of cause-specific cumulative incidences quantifies the total causal effect of a treatment on the event of interest. However, effects of treatment on the competing event may indirectly…

Positivity violations, which occur when some subgroups either always or never receive a treatment of interest, pose significant challenges for causal effect estimation with observational data. Recent balancing weight methods have proved to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Martha Barnard , Jared D. Huling , Julian Wolfson

This paper extends my research applying statistical decision theory to treatment choice with sample data, using maximum regret to evaluate the performance of treatment rules. The specific new contribution is to study as-if optimization…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-05 Charles F. Manski

Recent advances in the capacity of large language models to generate human-like text have resulted in their increased adoption in user-facing settings. In parallel, these improvements have prompted a heated discourse around the risks of…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-02-23 Sachin Kumar , Vidhisha Balachandran , Lucille Njoo , Antonios Anastasopoulos , Yulia Tsvetkov

Addressing the problem of fairness is crucial to safely use machine learning algorithms to support decisions with a critical impact on people's lives such as job hiring, child maltreatment, disease diagnosis, loan granting, etc. Several…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-08 Karima Makhlouf , Sami Zhioua , Catuscia Palamidessi

As artificial intelligence systems increasingly permeate processes of cultural and epistemic production, there are growing concerns about how their outputs may confine individuals and groups to static or restricted narratives about who or…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-04-23 Sina Fazelpour , Meica Magnani

Classical planning asks for a sequence of operators reaching a given goal. While the most common case is to compute a plan, many scenarios require more than that. However, quantitative reasoning on the plan space remains mostly unexplored.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-02-04 David Speck , Markus Hecher , Daniel Gnad , Johannes K. Fichte , Augusto B. Corrêa

Collaborative information serves as the cornerstone of recommender systems which typically focus on capturing it from user-item interactions to deliver personalized services. However, current understanding of this crucial resource remains…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Xiaokun Zhang , Zhaochun Ren , Bowei He , Ziqiang Cui , Chen Ma

Causal identification of treatment effects for infectious disease outcomes in interconnected populations is challenging because infection outcomes may be transmissible to others, and treatment given to one individual may affect others'…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-11 Xiaoxuan Cai , Eben Kenah , Forrest W. Crawford

Estimating, understanding, and communicating uncertainty is fundamental to statistical epidemiology, where model-based estimates regularly inform real-world decisions. However, sources of uncertainty are rarely formalised, and existing…

The study of biases, such as gender or racial biases, is an important topic in the social and behavioural sciences. However, the literature does not always clearly define the concept. Definitions of bias are often ambiguous or not provided…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2024-07-22 V. A. Traag , L. Waltman

Among the various forms of reasoning studied in the context of artificial intelligence, qualitative reasoning makes it possible to infer new knowledge in the context of imprecise, incomplete information without numerical values. In this…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Quentin Cohen-Solal , Alexandre Niveau , Maroua Bouzid

Recent work has made important contributions in the development of causally-interpretable meta-analysis. These methods transport treatment effects estimated in a collection of randomized trials to a target population of interest. Ideally,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-08 Justin M. Clark , Kollin W. Rott , James S. Hodges , Jared D. Huling

While harms of allocation have been increasingly studied as part of the subfield of algorithmic fairness, harms of representation have received considerably less attention. In this paper, we formalize two notions of stereotyping and show…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-29 Mohsen Abbasi , Sorelle A. Friedler , Carlos Scheidegger , Suresh Venkatasubramanian

This paper discusses the fundamental principles of causal inference - the area of statistics that estimates the effect of specific occurrences, treatments, interventions, and exposures on a given outcome from experimental and observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-03 Francesca Dominici , Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Fabrizia Mealli

In this paper, we introduce a unified estimator to analyze various treatment effects in causal inference, including but not limited to the average treatment effect (ATE) and the quantile treatment effect (QTE). The proposed estimator is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-31 Kuan-Hsun Wu , Li-Pang Chen

Risk management often plays an important role in decision making under uncertainty. In quantitative risk management, assessing and optimizing risk metrics requires efficient computing techniques and reliable theoretical guarantees. In this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-01-01 Zhaolin Hu

Social media is nearly ubiquitous in modern life, raising concerns about its societal impacts -- from mental health and polarization to violence and democratic disruption. Yet research on its causal effects is still inconclusive: Various…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-04-24 Joseph B. Bak-Coleman , Stephan Lewandowsky , Philipp Lorenz-Spreen , Arvind Narayanan , Amy Orben , Lisa Oswald

This paper builds on an existing notion of group responsibility and proposes two ways to define the degree of group responsibility: structural and functional degrees of responsibility. These notions measure the potential responsibilities of…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2018-01-25 Vahid Yazdanpanah , Mehdi Dastani