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Time-series forecasting increasingly demands not only accurate observational predictions but also causal forecasting under interventional and counterfactual queries in multivariate systems. We present DoFlow, a flow-based generative model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Dongze Wu , Feng Qiu , Yao Xie

Causal approaches to fairness have seen substantial recent interest, both from the machine learning community and from wider parties interested in ethical prediction algorithms. In no small part, this has been due to the fact that causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-17 Niki Kilbertus , Philip J. Ball , Matt J. Kusner , Adrian Weller , Ricardo Silva

Unobserved effect modifiers can induce bias when generalizing causal effect estimates to target populations. In this work, we extend a sensitivity analysis framework assessing the robustness of study results to unobserved effect…

Fair representation learning is an attractive approach that promises fairness of downstream predictors by encoding sensitive data. Unfortunately, recent work has shown that strong adversarial predictors can still exhibit unfairness by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-21 Mislav Balunović , Anian Ruoss , Martin Vechev

This paper studies causal inference with observational data from a single large network. We consider a nonparametric model with interference in both potential outcomes and selection into treatment. Specifically, both stages may be the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-30 Michael P. Leung , Pantelis Loupos

Sensitivity analysis for the unconfoundedness assumption is crucial in observational studies. For this purpose, the marginal sensitivity model (MSM) gained popularity recently due to its good interpretability and mathematical properties.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-27 Yao Zhang , Qingyuan Zhao

This paper introduces a generative model equivariant to Euclidean symmetries: E(n) Equivariant Normalizing Flows (E-NFs). To construct E-NFs, we take the discriminative E(n) graph neural networks and integrate them as a differential…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-17 Victor Garcia Satorras , Emiel Hoogeboom , Fabian B. Fuchs , Ingmar Posner , Max Welling

Unsupervised pathology detection can be implemented by training a model on healthy data only and measuring the deviation from the training set upon inference, for example with CNN-based feature extraction and one-class classifiers, or…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-28 Aissam Djahnine , Alexandre Popoff , Emilien Jupin-Delevaux , Vincent Cottin , Olivier Nempont , Loic Boussel

Explainability of graph neural networks (GNNs) aims to answer "Why the GNN made a certain prediction?", which is crucial to interpret the model prediction. The feature attribution framework distributes a GNN's prediction to its input…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-02 Ying-Xin Wu , Xiang Wang , An Zhang , Xia Hu , Fuli Feng , Xiangnan He , Tat-Seng Chua

Sensitivity analysis informs causal inference by assessing the sensitivity of conclusions to departures from assumptions. The consistency assumption states that there are no hidden versions of treatment and that the outcome arising…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-29 Brian Knaeble , Qinyun Lin , Erich Kummerfeld , Kenneth A. Frank

Causal inference methods for observational data are highly regarded due to their wide applicability. While there are already numerous methods available for de-confounding bias, these methods generally assume that covariates consist solely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Yonghe Zhao , Huiyan Sun

Uncovering rationales behind predictions of graph neural networks (GNNs) has received increasing attention over recent years. Instance-level GNN explanation aims to discover critical input elements, like nodes or edges, that the target GNN…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-20 Tianxiang Zhao , Dongsheng Luo , Xiang Zhang , Suhang Wang

Granger causality analysis, as one of the most popular time series causality methods, has been widely used in the economics, neuroscience. However, unobserved confounders is a fundamental problem in the observational studies, which is still…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-10 Yuan Meng

Heterophily is a prevalent property of real-world graphs and is well known to impair the performance of homophilic Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). Prior work has attempted to adapt GNNs to heterophilic graphs through non-local neighbor…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-22 Xiangmeng Wang , Qian Li , Haiyang Xia , Hao Miao , Qing Li , Guandong Xu

In observational studies, identification of ATEs is generally achieved by assuming that the correct set of confounders has been measured and properly included in the relevant models. Because this assumption is both strong and untestable, a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-18 Matteo Bonvini , Edward H Kennedy

Graph neural networks (GNNs), has been widely used for supervised learning tasks in graphs reaching state-of-the-art results. However, little work was dedicated to creating unbiased GNNs, i.e., where the classification is uncorrelated with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-20 Uriel Singer , Kira Radinsky

In causal inference with ordinal outcomes, several interpretable estimands are functions of the probability that the potential outcome under one treatment is larger than that under another treatment for the same unit. This probability…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Peiyu He , Fan Li

Normalizing Flows (NFs) are a class of generative models distinguished by a mathematically invertible architecture, where the forward pass transforms data into a latent space for density estimation, and the reverse pass generates new…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-05 Yang Chen , Xiaowei Xu , Shuai Wang , Chenhui Zhu , Ruxue Wen , Xubin Li , Tiezheng Ge , Limin Wang

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have become essential for learning from graph-structured data. However, existing GNNs do not consider the conservation law inherent in graphs associated with a flow of physical resources, such as electrical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-17 Pascal Plettenberg , Dominik Köhler , Bernhard Sick , Josephine M. Thomas

Causality analysis is an important problem lying at the heart of science, and is of particular importance in data science and machine learning. An endeavor during the past 16 years viewing causality as real physical notion so as to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-04-26 X. San Liang