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Dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) are sequences of decision rules designed to tailor treatment based on patients' treatment history and evolving disease status. Ordinal outcomes frequently serve as primary endpoints in clinical trials and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-11 Xinru Wang , Tanujit Chakraborty , Bibhas Chakraborty

The authors propose robust adaptive strategies based on stochastic minimax optimization for a series of simulated treatments on a one-dimensional patient phantom. The plan applied during the first fractions should be able to handle…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-10-01 Michelle Böck , Anders Forsgren , Kjell Eriksson , Björn Hårdemark

Only about one-third of the deaths worldwide are assigned a medically-certified cause, and understanding the causes of deaths occurring outside of medical facilities is logistically and financially challenging. Verbal autopsy (VA) is a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-05-01 Toshiya Yoshida , Trinity Shuxian Fan , Tyler McCormick , Zhenke Wu , Zehang Richard Li

In this paper, we study sequential decision-making for maximizing the Sharpe ratio (SR) in a stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) setting. Unlike standard bandit formulations that maximize cumulative reward, SR optimization requires…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Mohammad Taha Shah , Sabrina Khurshid , Gourab Ghatak

Targeted therapies on the basis of genomic aberrations analysis of the tumor have shown promising results in cancer prognosis and treatment. Regardless of tumor type, trials that match patients to targeted therapies for their particular…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-04-18 Yanxun Xu , Peter Mueller , Apostolia M Tsimberidou , Donald Berry

Randomized discontinuation design (RDD) is an enrichment strategy commonly used to address limitations of traditional placebo-controlled trials, particularly the ethical concern of prolonged placebo exposure. RDD consists of two phases: an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Ayon Mukherjee , Oleksandr Sverdlov , Ngoc-Thuy Ha , Yu Deng

Adaptive approaches, allowing for more flexible trial design, have been proposed for individually randomized trials to save time or reduce sample size. However, adaptive designs for cluster-randomized trials in which groups of participants…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-10 Junwei Shen , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie , David Benrimoh

Machine learning has been making great success in many application areas. However, for the non-expert practitioners, it is always very challenging to address a machine learning task successfully and efficiently. Finding the optimal machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Guanghui Zhu , Xin Fang , Feng Cheng , Lei Wang , Wenzhong Chen , Chunfeng Yuan , Yihua Huang

Radar Automated Target Recognition (RATR) for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) involves transmitting Electromagnetic Waves (EMWs) and performing target type recognition on the received radar echo, crucial for defense and aerospace…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-19 Michael Potter , Murat Akcakaya , Marius Necsoiu , Gunar Schirner , Deniz Erdogmus , Tales Imbiriba

We consider a class of restless multi-armed bandit (RMAB) problems with unknown arm dynamics. At each time, a player chooses an arm out of N arms to play, referred to as an active arm, and receives a random reward from a finite set of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-20 Tomer Gafni , Kobi Cohen

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) launched Project Optimus to shift the objective of dose selection from the maximum tolerated dose to the optimal biological dose (OBD), optimizing the benefit-risk tradeoff. One approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-22 Shuqi Wang , Ying Yuan , Suyu Liu

In the context of precision medicine, covariate-adjusted response-adaptive randomization (CARA) has garnered much attention from both academia and industry due to its benefits in providing ethical and tailored treatment assignments based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Jiahui Xin , Wei Ma

In oncology, phase II or multiple expansion cohort trials are crucial for clinical development plans. This is because they aid in identifying potent agents with sufficient activity to continue development and confirm the proof of concept.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Takuya Yoshimoto , Satoru Shinoda , Kouji Yamamoto , Kouji Tahata

There is currently a dearth of appropriate methods to estimate the causal effects of multiple treatments when the outcome is binary. For such settings, we propose the use of nonparametric Bayesian modeling, Bayesian Additive Regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-02 Chenyang Gu , Michael J. Lopez , Liangyuan Hu

Randomized clinical trials are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. Nevertheless, in studies that are aimed at examining adverse effects of interventions, such trials are often impractical because of ethical and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-20 Anthony D. Scotina , Andrew R. Zullo , Robert J. Smith , Roee Gutman

The win ratio (WR) statistic is increasingly used to evaluate treatment effects based on prioritized composite endpoints, yet existing Bayesian adaptive designs are not directly applicable because the WR is a summary statistic derived from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-20 Di Zhu , Yong Zang

We consider the utilization of a computational model to guide the optimal acquisition of experimental data to inform the stochastic description of model input parameters. Our formulation is based on the recently developed consistent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-05-04 Scott N. Walsh , Tim M. Wildey , John D. Jakeman

We consider robust optimal experimental design (ROED) for nonlinear Bayesian inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). An optimal design is one that maximizes some utility quantifying the quality of the solution of…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-01 Abhijit Chowdhary , Ahmed Attia , Alen Alexanderian

Platform trials evaluate multiple experimental treatments against a common control group (and/or against each other), which often reduces the trial duration and sample size. Bayesian platform designs offer several practical advantages,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-18 Luke Hagar , Lara Maleyeff , Shirin Golchi , Dick Menzies

In a sequential multiple-assignment randomized trial (SMART), a sequence of treatments is given to a patient over multiple stages. In each stage, randomization may be done to allocate patients to different treatment groups. Even though…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-09 Rik Ghosh , Bibhas Chakraborty , Inbal Nahum-Shani , Megan E. Patrick , Palash Ghosh