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This paper addresses the challenging computational problem of estimating intractable expectations over discrete domains. Existing approaches, including Monte Carlo and Russian Roulette estimators, are consistent but often require a large…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-19 Sophia Seulkee Kang , François-Xavier Briol , Toni Karvonen , Zonghao Chen

On the basis of Nelson-Aalen nonparametric estimator of the cumulative distribution function, we provide a weak approximation to tail product-limit process for randomly right-censored heavy-tailed data. In this context, a new consistent…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-25 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

In this paper, we establish an exponential inequality for U-statistics of i.i.d. data, varying kernel and taking values in a separable Hilbert space. The bound are expressed as a sum of an exponential term plus an other one involving the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-19 Davide Giraudo

Determining the strength of non-linear statistical dependencies between two variables is a crucial matter in many research fields. The established measure for quantifying such relations is the mutual information. However, estimating mutual…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2019-07-24 Damián G. Hernández , Inés Samengo

We study nonparametric estimation of univariate cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) pertaining to data missing at random. The proposed estimators smooth the inverse probability weighted (IPW) empirical CDF with the Bernstein operator,…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-30 Rihab Gharbi , Wissem Jedidi , Salah Khardani , Frédéric Ouimet

We propose a general semi-supervised inference framework focused on the estimation of the population mean. As usual in semi-supervised settings, there exists an unlabeled sample of covariate vectors and a labeled sample consisting of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-15 Anru Zhang , Lawrence D. Brown , T. Tony Cai

An efficient monotone data augmentation (MDA) algorithm is proposed for missing data imputation for incomplete multivariate nonnormal data that may contain variables of different types, and are modeled by a sequence of regression models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-21 Yongqiang Tang

Uncertainty quantification is essential in decision-making, especially when joint distributions of random variables are involved. While conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees, it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

Count-compositional data arise in many different fields, including high-throughput sequencing experiments, ecological surveys, and palaeoclimate studies, where a common, important goal is to understand how covariates relate to the observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-10 André F. B. Menezes , Andrew C. Parnell , Keefe Murphy

Recommender systems often suffer from selection bias as users tend to rate their preferred items. The datasets collected under such conditions exhibit entries missing not at random and thus are not randomized-controlled trials representing…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-03-05 Wonbin Kweon , Hwanjo Yu

Hiary [3] has presented an algorithm which allows to evaluate the truncated theta function $\sum_{k=0}^n \exp(2\pi \i (zk+\tau k^2))$ to within $\pm \epsilon$ in $O(\ln(\tfrac{n}{\epsilon})^{\kappa})$ arithmetic operations for any real $z$…

数论 · 数学 2014-03-25 Alexey Kuznetsov

We present a new method for estimating the frontier of a sample. The estimator is based on a local polynomial regression on the power-transformed data. We assume that the exponent of the transformation goes to infinity while the bandwidth…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-04-04 Stéphane Girard , Pierre Jacob

Worst-case bounds on the expected shortfall risk given only limited information on the distribution of the random variables has been studied extensively in the literature. In this paper, we develop a new worst-case bound on the expected…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-02-12 Anulekha Dhara , Bikramjit Das , Karthik Natarajan

Randomized controlled trials generate experimental variation that can credibly identify causal effects, but often suffer from limited scale, while observational datasets are large, but often violate desired identification assumptions. To…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-27 George Z. Gui

The Negative Binomial distribution becomes highly skewed under extreme dispersion. Even at moderately large sample sizes, the sample mean exhibits a heavy right tail. The standard Normal approximation often does not provide adequate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-13 David Shilane , Derek Bean

Niederreiter [H.Niederreiter, Error bounds for quasi-Monte Carlo integration with uniform point sets, Journal of computational and applied mathematics 150 (2003), 283-292] established new bounds for quasi-Monte Carlo integration for nodes…

数论 · 数学 2010-12-01 Su Hu , Yan Li

We study tail estimation in Pareto-like settings for datasets with a high percentage of randomly right-censored data, and where some expert information on the tail index is available for the censored observations. This setting arises for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-13 Martin Bladt , Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jan Beirlant

The Tweedie generalized linear models are commonly applied in the insurance industry to analyze semicontinuous claim data. For better prediction of the aggregated claim size, the mean and dispersion of the Tweedie model are often estimated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-27 Yuwen Gu

In this paper, we develop a general theory of truncated inverse binomial sampling. In this theory, the fixed-size sampling and inverse binomial sampling are accommodated as special cases. In particular, the classical Chernoff-Hoeffding…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-08-20 Xinjia Chen

Surveys usually suffer from non-response, which decreases the effective sample size. Item non-response is typically handled by means of some form of random imputation if we wish to preserve the distribution of the imputed variable. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-04 Guillaume Chauvet , Wilfried Do Paco