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Experimenters often collect baseline data to study heterogeneity. I propose the first valid confidence intervals for the VCATE, the treatment effect variance explained by observables. Conventional approaches yield incorrect coverage when…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-06-07 Alejandro Sanchez-Becerra

Data-driven societal event forecasting methods exploit relevant historical information to predict future events. These methods rely on historical labeled data and cannot accurately predict events when data are limited or of poor quality.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-13 Songgaojun Deng , Huzefa Rangwala , Yue Ning

Methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effect in observational data have largely focused on continuous or binary outcomes, and have been relatively less vetted with survival outcomes. Using flexible machine learning methods in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-09 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Fan Li

In the real world, data tends to follow long-tailed distributions w.r.t. class or attribution, motivating the challenging Long-Tailed Recognition (LTR) problem. In this paper, we revisit recent LTR methods with promising Vision Transformers…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-04-18 Zhengzhuo Xu , Shuo Yang , Xingjun Wang , Chun Yuan

In the following short article we adapt a new and popular machine learning model for inference on medical data sets. Our method is based on the Variational AutoEncoder (VAE) framework that we adapt to survival analysis on small data sets…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-06 Cédric Beaulac , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal , David Hodgson

Estimating the Individual Treatment Effect from observational data, defined as the difference between outcomes with and without treatment or intervention, while observing just one of both, is a challenging problems in causal learning. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-07 Céline Beji , Michaël Bon , Florian Yger , Jamal Atif

Standard imitation learning can fail when the expert demonstrators have different sensory inputs than the imitating agent. This is because partial observability gives rise to hidden confounders in the causal graph. In previous work, to work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-27 Risto Vuorio , Pim de Haan , Johann Brehmer , Hanno Ackermann , Daniel Dijkman , Taco Cohen

Estimating causal effects from observational data is not always possible due to confounding. Identifying a set of appropriate covariates (adjustment set) and adjusting for their influence can remove confounding bias; however, such a set is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-19 Sofia Triantafillou , Gregory Cooper

Adjusting for latent covariates is crucial for estimating causal effects from observational textual data. Most existing methods only account for confounding covariates that affect both treatment and outcome, potentially leading to biased…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Yuxiang Zhou , Yulan He

Many studies exploit variation in the timing of policy adoption across units as an instrument for treatment. This paper formalizes the underlying identification strategy as an instrumented difference-in-differences (DID-IV). In this design,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-13 Sho Miyaji

Latent traversal is a popular approach to visualize the disentangled latent representations. Given a bunch of variations in a single unit of the latent representation, it is expected that there is a change in a single factor of variation of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-07-28 Xinqi Zhu , Chang Xu , Dacheng Tao

Continuous treatment effect estimation holds significant practical importance across various decision-making and assessment domains, such as healthcare and the military. However, current methods for estimating dose-response curves hinge on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Ruijing Cui , Jianbin Sun , Bingyu He , Kewei Yang , Bingfeng Ge

Models of discrete-valued outcomes are easily misspecified if the data exhibit zero-inflation, overdispersion or contamination. Without additional knowledge about the existence and nature of this misspecification, model inference and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-27 Jeremias Knoblauch , Lara Vomfell

Motivated by applications in precision medicine and treatment effect heterogeneity, recent research has focused on estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) using machine learning (ML). CATE estimates may represent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-30 Oliver J. Hines , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt

We study the identification of heterogeneous, intertemporal treatment effects (TE) when potential outcomes depend on past treatments. First, applying a dynamic panel data model to observed outcomes, we show that an instrumental variable…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-09 Philip Marx , Elie Tamer , Xun Tang

An individualized treatment rule (ITR) is a decision rule that aims to improve individual patients health outcomes by recommending optimal treatments according to patients specific information. In observational studies, collected data may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-03 Zeyu Bian , Erica EM Moodie , Susan M Shortreed , Sylvie D Lambert , Sahir Bhatnagar

Unobserved spatial confounding variables are prevalent in environmental and ecological applications where the system under study is complex and the data are often observational. Instrumental variables (IVs) are a common way to address…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-02 Andrew Giffin , Brian J. Reich , Shu Yang , Ana G. Rappold

In this paper, we discuss causal inference on the efficacy of a treatment or medication on a time-to-event outcome with competing risks. Although the treatment group can be randomized, there can be confoundings between the compliance and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-06 Cheng Zheng , Ran Dai , Parameswaran Hari , Mei-Jie Zhang

The empirical literature on program evaluation limits its scope almost exclusively to models where treatment effects are homogenous for observationally identical individuals. This paper considers a treatment effect model in which treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-20 Jason Abrevaya , Haiqing Xu

Treatment effect heterogeneity plays an important role in many areas of causal inference and within recent years, estimation of the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) has received much attention in the statistical community. While…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Simon Christoffer Ziersen , Torben Martinussen