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Cyber threats affect all kinds of organisations. Risk analysis is an essential methodology for cybersecurity as it allows organisations to deal with the cyber threats potentially affecting them, prioritise the defence of their assets and…

Risk assessment is an inevitable step in implementation of a cyber-defense strategy. An important part of this assessment is to reason about the impact of possible attacks. In this paper, we propose a framework for estimating the impact of…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-11-26 Jezdimir Milosevic , Henrik Sandberg , Karl Henrik Johansson

The escalating frequency of cyber-attacks poses significant challenges for organisations, particularly small enterprises constrained by limited in-house expertise, insufficient knowledge, and financial resources. This research presents a…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-03-16 Emad Sherif , Iryna Yevseyeva , Vitor Basto-Fernandes , Allan Cook

Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) integrate physical and embedded systems with information and communication technology systems, monitoring and controlling physical processes with minimal human intervention. The connection to information and…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Asila AlHarmali , Saqib Ali , Waqas Aman , Omar Hussain

Latest research revealed a considerable lack of reliability within user feedback and discussed striking impacts for the assessment of adaptive web systems and content personalisation approaches, e.g. ranking errors, systematic biases to…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2018-02-19 Kevin Jasberg , Sergej Sizov

Quantifying cyber risks is essential for organizations to grasp their vulnerability to threats and make informed decisions. However, current approaches still need to work on blending economic viewpoints to provide insightful analysis. To…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-05-07 Muriel Figueredo Franco , Aiatur Rahaman Mullick , Santosh Jha

In this paper we present a study on using novel data types to perform cyber risk quantification by estimating the likelihood of a data breach. We demonstrate that it is feasible to build a highly accurate cyber risk assessment model using…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Armin Sarabi , Manish Karir , Mingyan Liu

Intrusion Detection and Prevention Systems (IDS/IPS) in large enterprises can generate hundreds of thousands of alerts per hour, overwhelming analysts with logs requiring rapidly evolving expertise. Conventional machine-learning detectors…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Francesco Blefari , Cristian Cosentino , Francesco Aurelio Pironti , Angelo Furfaro , Fabrizio Marozzo

When undertaking cyber security risk assessments, we must assign numeric values to metrics to compute the final expected loss that represents the risk that an organization is exposed to due to cyber threats. Even if risk assessment is…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2017-12-19 Andrew Fielder , Sandra Konig , Emmanouil Panaousis , Stefan Schauer , Stefan Rass

Municipalities are vulnerable to cyberattacks with devastating consequences, but they lack key information to evaluate their own risk and compare their security posture to peers. Using data from 83 municipalities collected via a…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Avital Baral , Taylor Reynolds , Lawrence Susskind , Daniel J. Weitzner , Angelina Wu

This paper introduces a two-pillar cyber risk management framework to address the pervasive challenges in managing cyber risk. The first pillar, cyber risk assessment, combines insurance frequency-severity models with cybersecurity cascade…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-01-13 Wing Fung Chong , Runhuan Feng , Hins Hu , Linfeng Zhang

Although general-purpose AI systems offer transformational opportunities in science and industry, they simultaneously raise critical concerns about safety, misuse, and potential loss of control. Despite these risks, methods for assessing…

In this paper, we introduce a probabilistic approach to risk assessment of robot systems by focusing on the impact of uncertainties. While various approaches to identifying systematic hazards (e.g., bugs, design flaws, etc.) can be found in…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Woo-Jeong Baek , Tom P. Huck , Joschka Haas , Jonas Lewandrowski , Tamim Asfour , Torsten Kröger

Cyber incident response is critical to business continuity -- we describe a new exercise that challenges professionals to play the role of Chief Information Security Officer (CISO) for a major financial organisation. Teams must decide how…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-06-22 Benjamin Shreeve , Joseph Gardiner , Joseph Hallett , David Humphries , Awais Rashid

The lack of high-quality public cyber incident data limits empirical research and predictive modeling for cyber risk assessment. This challenge persists due to the reluctance of companies to disclose incidents that could damage their…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-03-20 Jiayi Guo , Zhiyu Quan , Linfeng Zhang

The cyber risk insurance market is at a nascent stage of its development, even as the magnitude of cyber losses is significant and the rate of cyber loss events is increasing. Existing cyber risk insurance products as well as academic…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-10-09 Qikun Xiang , Ariel Neufeld , Gareth W. Peters , Ido Nevat , Anwitaman Datta

Digital monitoring studies collect real-time high frequency data via mobile sensors in the subjects' natural environment. This data can be used to model the impact of changes in physiology on recurrent event outcomes such as smoking, drug…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-15 Walter Dempsey

Cyber risk refers to the risk of defacing reputation, monetary losses, or disruption of an organization or individuals, and this situation usually occurs by the unconscious use of cyber systems. The cyber risk is unhurriedly increasing day…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-04-02 Fatama Tuz Johora , Md Shahedul Islam Khan , Esrath Kanon , Mohammad Abu Tareq Rony , Md Zubair , Iqbal H. Sarker

The goal of predictive data attribution is to estimate how adding or removing a given set of training datapoints will affect model predictions. In convex settings, this goal is straightforward (i.e., via the infinitesimal jackknife). In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-24 Andrew Ilyas , Logan Engstrom

Advance Persistent Threats (APTs), adopted by most delicate attackers, are becoming increasing common and pose great threat to various enterprises and institutions. Data provenance analysis on provenance graphs has emerged as a common…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-10-17 Zian Jia , Yun Xiong , Yuhong Nan , Yao Zhang , Jinjing Zhao , Mi Wen