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Undertaking causal inference with observational data is incredibly useful across a wide range of tasks including the development of medical treatments, advertisements and marketing, and policy making. There are two significant challenges…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-19 Matthew James Vowels , Necati Cihan Camgoz , Richard Bowden

One of the desired key properties of deep learning models is the ability to generalise to unseen samples. When provided with new samples that are (perceptually) similar to one or more training samples, deep learning models are expected to…

声音 · 计算机科学 2025-08-07 Katharina Hoedt , Arthur Flexer , Gerhard Widmer

Causal mediation analysis examines causal pathways linking exposures to disease. The estimation of interventional effects, which are mediation estimands that overcome certain identifiability problems of natural effects, has been advanced…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-23 Tong Chen , Stijn Vansteelandt , David Burgner , Toby Mansell , Margarita Moreno-Betancur

With the increasing adoption of predictive models trained using machine learning across a wide range of high-stakes applications, e.g., health care, security, criminal justice, finance, and education, there is a growing need for effective…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-04 Aria Khademi , Vasant Honavar

We suggest double/debiased machine learning estimators of direct and indirect quantile treatment effects under a selection-on-observables assumption. This permits disentangling the causal effect of a binary treatment at a specific outcome…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-07-04 Yu-Chin Hsu , Martin Huber , Yu-Min Yen

In application domains such as healthcare, we want accurate predictive models that are also causally interpretable. In pursuit of such models, we propose a causal regularizer to steer predictive models towards causally-interpretable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-24 Mohammad Taha Bahadori , Krzysztof Chalupka , Edward Choi , Robert Chen , Walter F. Stewart , Jimeng Sun

Causal machine learning tools are beginning to see use in real-world policy evaluation tasks to flexibly estimate treatment effects. One issue with these methods is that the machine learning models used are generally black boxes, i.e.,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-01 Patrick Rehill , Nicholas Biddle

We propose a novel approach for inferring the individualized causal effects of a treatment (intervention) from observational data. Our approach conceptualizes causal inference as a multitask learning problem; we model a subject's potential…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-06-20 Ahmed M. Alaa , Michael Weisz , Mihaela van der Schaar

Treatment effect estimation is essential for informed decision-making in many fields such as healthcare, economics, and public policy. While flexible machine learning models have been widely applied for estimating heterogeneous treatment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-29 Pascal Memmesheimer , Vincent Heuveline , Jürgen Hesser

In human-centric settings like education or healthcare, model accuracy and model explainability are key factors for user adoption. Towards these two goals, intrinsically interpretable deep learning models have gained popularity, focusing on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-29 Vinitra Swamy , Syrielle Montariol , Julian Blackwell , Jibril Frej , Martin Jaggi , Tanja Käser

Causal effect estimation under networked interference is an important but challenging problem. Available parametric methods are limited in their model space, while previous semiparametric methods, e.g., leveraging neural networks to fit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-27 Weilin Chen , Ruichu Cai , Zeqin Yang , Jie Qiao , Yuguang Yan , Zijian Li , Zhifeng Hao

The combination of deep neural nets and theory-driven models, which we call deep grey-box modeling, can be inherently interpretable to some extent thanks to the theory backbone. Deep grey-box models are usually learned with a regularized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-25 Naoya Takeishi , Alexandros Kalousis

Estimating causal treatment effects in observational settings is frequently compromised by selection bias arising from unobserved confounders. While traditional econometric methods struggle when these confounders are orthogonal to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Ahmed Dawoud , Osama El-Shamy

To investigate causal mechanisms, causal mediation analysis decomposes the total treatment effect into the natural direct and indirect effects. This paper examines the estimation of the direct and indirect effects in a general treatment…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-24 Lukang Huang , Wei Huang , Oliver Linton , Zheng Zhang

We study the problem of learning conditional average treatment effects (CATE) from observational data with unobserved confounders. The CATE function maps baseline covariates to individual causal effect predictions and is key for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-09 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Angela Zhou

Causal inference and model interpretability research are gaining increasing attention, especially in the domains of healthcare and bioinformatics. Despite recent successes in this field, decorrelating features under nonlinear environments…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-30 Junda Wang , Weijian Li , Han Wang , Hanjia Lyu , Caroline Thirukumaran , Addisu Mesfin , Jiebo Luo

Inferring causal effects of continuous-valued treatments from observational data is a crucial task promising to better inform policy- and decision-makers. A critical assumption needed to identify these effects is that all confounding…

Model interpretability has become an important problem in machine learning (ML) due to the increased effect that algorithmic decisions have on humans. Counterfactual explanations can help users understand not only why ML models make certain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-20 Ana Lucic , Harrie Oosterhuis , Hinda Haned , Maarten de Rijke

Causal machine learning (ML) methods hold great promise for advancing precision medicine by estimating personalized treatment effects. However, their reliability remains largely unvalidated in empirical settings. In this study, we assessed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-10 Hongruyu Chen , Helena Aebersold , Milo Alan Puhan , Miquel Serra-Burriel

Interpreting the inner function of neural networks is crucial for the trustworthy development and deployment of these black-box models. Prior interpretability methods focus on correlation-based measures to attribute model decisions to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Ola Ahmad , Nicolas Bereux , Loïc Baret , Vahid Hashemi , Freddy Lecue