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This paper concerns the central issues of model robustness and sample efficiency in offline reinforcement learning (RL), which aims to learn to perform decision making from history data without active exploration. Due to uncertainties and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-01 Laixi Shi , Yuejie Chi

In this paper, we consider learning scenarios where the learned model is evaluated under an unknown test distribution which potentially differs from the training distribution (i.e. distribution shift). The learner has access to a family of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-14 Alekh Agarwal , Tong Zhang

Linear regression models are useful statistical tools to analyze data sets in several different fields. There are several methods to estimate the parameters of a linear regression model. These methods usually perform under normally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-10 Şenay Özdemir , Yeşim Güney , Yetkin Tuaç , Olcay Arslan

This paper develops a unified estimation framework, the Maximum Ideal Likelihood Estimation (MILE), for general parametric models with latent variables. Unlike traditional approaches relying on the marginal likelihood of the observed data,…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-08 Yizhou Cai , Ting Fung Ma

As machine learning models are deployed ever more broadly, it becomes increasingly important that they are not only able to perform well on their training distribution, but also yield accurate predictions when confronted with distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-14 Paul Michel , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Graham Neubig

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a statistical method used to estimate the parameters of a probability distribution that best explain the observed data. In the context of text generation, MLE is often used to train generative language…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-10-27 Chenze Shao , Zhengrui Ma , Min Zhang , Yang Feng

Offline Reinforcement Learning (RL) aims to learn a near-optimal policy from a fixed dataset of transitions collected by another policy. This problem has attracted a lot of attention recently, but most existing methods with strong…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-23 Germano Gabbianelli , Gergely Neu , Nneka Okolo , Matteo Papini

We consider the problem of adaptive estimation of the regression function in a framework where we replace ergodicity assumptions (such as independence or mixing) by another structural assumption on the model. Namely, we propose adaptive…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-11-03 Sylvain Delattre , Stéphane Gaïffas

Regression analysis based on many covariates is becoming increasingly common. However, when the number of covariates $p$ is of the same order as the number of observations $n$, maximum likelihood regression becomes unreliable due to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-06 Emanuele Massa , Marianne Jonker , Kit Roes , Anthony Coolen

Distributional reinforcement learning algorithms have attempted to utilize estimated uncertainty for exploration, such as optimism in the face of uncertainty. However, using the estimated variance for optimistic exploration may cause biased…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-06 Taehyun Cho , Seungyub Han , Heesoo Lee , Kyungjae Lee , Jungwoo Lee

Maximum likelihood estimation in nonlinear models can exhibit substantial instability in finite samples when the data provide limited information about certain parameters. Such instability is driven by rare but extreme realizations of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Masamune Iwasawa

The recent success of neural networks in pattern recognition and classification problems suggests that neural networks possess qualities distinct from other more classical classifiers such as SVMs or boosting classifiers. This paper studies…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-27 Hyunouk Ko , Namjoon Suh , Xiaoming Huo

In this paper, different strands of literature are combined in order to obtain algorithms for semi-parametric estimation of discrete choice models that include the modelling of unobserved heterogeneity by using mixing distributions for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-12 Dietmar Bauer , Sebastian Büscher , Manuel Batram

Meta-learning methods have shown an impressive ability to train models that rapidly learn new tasks. However, these methods only aim to perform well in expectation over tasks coming from some particular distribution that is typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-22 Liam Collins , Aryan Mokhtari , Sanjay Shakkottai

We consider prediction with expert advice when data are generated from distributions varying arbitrarily within an unknown constraint set. This semi-adversarial setting includes (at the extremes) the classical i.i.d. setting, when the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-25 Blair Bilodeau , Jeffrey Negrea , Daniel M. Roy

We present a computational motivation for restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimation in linear mixed models using an expectation--maximization (EM) algorithm. At each iteration, maximum likelihood (ML) and REML solve the same…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-11 Andrew T. Karl

We study the regret guarantee for risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RSRL) via distributional reinforcement learning (DRL) methods. In particular, we consider finite episodic Markov decision processes whose objective is the entropic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-26 Hao Liang , Zhi-Quan Luo

This paper introduces a framework for capturing stochasticity of choice probabilities in neural networks, derived from and fully consistent with the Random Utility Maximization (RUM) theory, referred to as RUM-NN. Neural network models show…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-10 Niousha Bagheri , Milad Ghasri , Michael Barlow

For a multinomial distribution, suppose that we have prior knowledge of the sum of the probabilities of some categories. This allows us to construct a submodel in a full (i.e., no-restriction) model. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-07 Yo Sheena

In the framework of censored data modeling, the classical linear regression model that assumes normally distributed random errors has received increasing attention in recent years, mainly for mathematical and computational convenience.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-17 Mehrdad Naderi , Elham Mirfarah , Matthew Bernhardt , Ding-Geng Chen