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Every student in statistics or data science learns early on that when the sample size largely exceeds the number of variables, fitting a logistic model produces estimates that are approximately unbiased. Every student also learns that there…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-08 Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candes

Reward-biased maximum likelihood estimation (RBMLE) is a classic principle in the adaptive control literature for tackling explore-exploit trade-offs. This paper studies the stochastic contextual bandit problem with general bounded reward…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-31 Yu-Heng Hung , Ping-Chun Hsieh

Inspired by the connection between classical regret measures employed in universal prediction and R\'{e}nyi divergence, we introduce a new class of universal predictors that depend on a real parameter $\alpha\geq 1$. This class interpolates…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-12-20 Marco Bondaschi , Michael Gastpar

To avoid specification of the error distribution in a regression model, we propose a general nonparametric scale mixture model for the error distribution. For fitting such mixtures, the predictive recursion method is a simple and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-03 Ryan Martin , Zhen Han

Linear regression is a classical paradigm in statistics. A new look at it is provided via the lens of universal learning. In applying universal learning to linear regression the hypotheses class represents the label $y\in {\cal R}$ as a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-11 Koby Bibas , Yaniv Fogel , Meir Feder

Learning a transition model via Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) followed by planning inside the learned model is perhaps the most standard and simplest Model-based Reinforcement Learning (RL) framework. In this work, we show that such a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-30 Zhiyong Wang , Dongruo Zhou , John C. S. Lui , Wen Sun

We consider the parameter estimation problem of a probabilistic generative model prescribed using a natural exponential family of distributions. For this problem, the typical maximum likelihood estimator usually overfits under limited…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Angelos Georghiou

The linear regression model with a random variable (RV) measurement matrix, where the mean of the random measurement matrix has full column rank, has been extensively studied. In particular, the quasiconvexity of the maximum likelihood…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-16 Ruohai Guo , Jiang Zhu , Xing Jiang , Fengzhong Qu

Score matching is an alternative to maximum likelihood (ML) for estimating a probability distribution parametrized up to a constant of proportionality. By fitting the ''score'' of the distribution, it sidesteps the need to compute this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Chirag Pabbaraju , Dhruv Rohatgi , Anish Sevekari , Holden Lee , Ankur Moitra , Andrej Risteski

This study introduces the Misclassification Likelihood Matrix (MLM) as a novel tool for quantifying the reliability of neural network predictions under distribution shifts. The MLM is obtained by leveraging softmax outputs and clustering…

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

Linear regression is a fundamental and popular statistical method. There are various kinds of linear regression, such as mean regression and quantile regression. In this paper, we propose a new one called distribution regression, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-27 Xin Chen , Xuejun Ma , Wang Zhou

In a mixture of linear regression model, the regression coefficients are treated as random vectors that may follow either a continuous or discrete distribution. We propose two Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithms to estimate this prior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-17 Andrew Welbaum , Wanli Qiao

Introduced by Kiefer and Wolfowitz \cite{KW56}, the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) is a widely used methodology for learning mixture odels and empirical Bayes estimation. Sidestepping the non-convexity in mixture…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-08 Yury Polyanskiy , Yihong Wu

Missing data are inevitable in longitudinal studies. Traditional methods, such as the full information maximum likelihood (FIML), are commonly used to handle ignorable missing data. However, they may lead to biased model estimation due to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-01 Dandan Tang , Xin Tong

Ridge leverage scores provide a balance between low-rank approximation and regularization, and are ubiquitous in randomized linear algebra and machine learning. Deterministic algorithms are also of interest in the moderately big data…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-27 Shannon R. McCurdy

Maximum likelihood is the most widely used statistical estimation technique. Recent work by the authors introduced a general methodology for the construction of estimators for functionals in parametric models, and demonstrated improvements…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-09-29 Jiantao Jiao , Kartik Venkat , Yanjun Han , Tsachy Weissman

We consider a regression setting where observations are collected in different environments modeled by different data distributions. The field of out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization aims to design methods that generalize better to test…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-12 Francesco Freni , Anya Fries , Linus Kühne , Markus Reichstein , Jonas Peters

Model-based Reinforcement Learning (MBRL) has been widely adapted due to its sample efficiency. However, existing worst-case regret analysis typically requires optimistic planning, which is not realistic in general. In contrast, motivated…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-10 Lingxiao Wang , Ping Li

Model agnostic meta-learning (MAML) is a popular state-of-the-art meta-learning algorithm that provides good weight initialization of a model given a variety of learning tasks. The model initialized by provided weight can be fine-tuned to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-11 Thanh Nguyen , Tung Luu , Trung Pham , Sanzhar Rakhimkul , Chang D. Yoo