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In this paper we study the susceptible-infectious (SI) epidemiological model using dynamical graphs. Dynamical structures have been recently applied in many areas including complex systems. Dynamical structures include the mutual…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2011-10-19 Jose L. Herrera , Gilberto Gonzalez-Parra

Monitoring health resource disparities during public health crises is critical, yet traditional methods, like surveys, lack the requisite speed and spatial granularity. This study introduces a novel framework that leverages: 1) crowdsourced…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Zhaoqian Xue , Guanhong Liu , Chong Zhang , Kai Wei , Qingcheng Zeng , Songhua Hu , Wenyue Hua , Lizhou Fan , Yongfeng Zhang , Lingyao Li

Among the realistic ingredients to be considered in the computational modeling of infectious diseases, human mobility represents a crucial challenge both on the theoretical side and in view of the limited availability of empirical data. In…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2010-02-04 Duygu Balcan , Vittoria Colizza , Bruno Goncalves , Hao Hu , Jose J. Ramasco , Alessandro Vespignani

Over the past decade, researchers have focused increasing levels of attention on the use of survey and non-survey data to inform decision-making by multiple stakeholders. Work with such data generally requires extensive exploration before a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-04 Randall Powers , Darcy Steeg Morris , John Eltinge , Wendy Martinez

This research presents an advanced fractional-order compartmental model designed to delve into the complexities of COVID-19 transmission dynamics, specifically accounting for the influence of environmental pathogens on disease spread. By…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-07-09 Moein Khalighi , Faïçal Ndaïrou , Leo Lahti

We study the problem of containing epidemic spreading processes in temporal networks. We specifically focus on the problem of finding a resource allocation to suppress epidemic infection, provided that an empirical time-series data of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-04-16 Masaki Ogura , Junichi Harada

Contacts' temporal ordering and dynamics are crucial for understanding the transmission of infectious diseases. We introduce an interaction-driven model of an airborne disease over contact networks. We demonstrate our interaction-driven…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-08-11 Alex Abbey , Yanir Marmor , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need to upgrade systems for infectious disease surveillance and forecasting and modeling of the spread of infection, both of which inform evidence-based public health guidance and policies. Here, we…

Over the past decades, improvements in data collection hardware coupled with novel artificial intelligence algorithms have made it possible for researchers to understand urban environments at an unprecedented scale. From local interactions…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-10-30 Joao Rulff , Giancarlo Pereira , Maryam Hosseini , Marcos Lage , Claudio Silva

The primary tool for predicting infectious disease spread and intervention effectiveness is the mass action Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model of Kermack and McKendrick. Its usefulness derives largely from its conceptual and mathematical…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-09-03 Joel C. Miller , Anja C. Slim , Erik M. Volz

Contacts between individuals serve as pathways where infections may propagate. These contact patterns can be represented by network structures. Static structures have been the common modeling paradigm but recent results suggest that…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-04-25 Luis Enrique Correa Rocha , Adeline Decuyper , Vincent D Blondel

Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

Spatial small area estimation models have become very popular in some contexts, such as disease mapping. Data in disease mapping studies are exhaustive, that is, the available data are supposed to be a complete register of all the…

The spread of viruses in biological networks, computer networks, and human contact networks can have devastating effects; developing and analyzing mathematical models of these systems can be insightful and lead to societal benefits. Prior…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-09-19 Philip E. Paré , Angelia Nedić , Carolyn L. Beck

One of the elements that have popularized and facilitated the use of geographical information on a variety of computational applications has been the use of Web maps; this has opened new research challenges on different subjects, from…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2009-11-05 Rafael Ponce-Medellin , Gabriel Gonzalez-Serna , Rocio Vargas , Lirio Ruiz

The proliferation of consumer health devices such as smart watches, sleep monitors, smart scales, etc, in many countries, has not only led to growing interest in health monitoring, but also to the development of a countless number of…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2023-08-21 Saturnino Luz , Masood Masoodian

A key problem in modelling the evolution dynamics of infectious diseases is the mathematical representation of the mechanism of transmission of the contagion. Models with a finite number of subpopulations can be described via systems of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-09 Sebastian Anita , Vincenzo Capasso

Temporal graphs represent interactions between entities over time. Deciding whether entities can reach each other through temporal paths is useful for various applications such as in communication networks and epidemiology. Previous works…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-08-24 Luiz Fernando Afra Brito , Marcelo Keese Albertini , Bruno Augusto Nassif Travençolo , Gonzalo Navarro

During 2020, the infection rate of COVID-19 has been investigated by many scholars from different research fields. In this context, reliable and interpretable forecasts of disease incidents are a vital tool for policymakers to manage…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-05 Cornelius Fritz , Emilio Dorigatti , David Rügamer

Social interactions are stratified in multiple contexts and are subject to complex temporal dynamics. The systematic study of these two features of social systems has started only very recently mainly thanks to the development of multiplex…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-12-12 Quan-Hui Liu , Xinyue Xiong , Qian Zhang , Nicola Perra