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Causality has gained popularity in recent years. It has helped improve the performance, reliability, and interpretability of machine learning models. However, recent literature on explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) has faced…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-07-11 Samuel Reyd , Ada Diaconescu , Jean-Louis Dessalles

Due to the complexity of the human body, most diseases present a high inter-personal variability in the way they manifest, i.e. in their phenotype, which has important clinical repercussions - as for instance the difficulty in defining…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-06-06 Massimiliano Zanin , Juan Manuel Tuñas , Ernestina Menasalvas

Evidence-informed policy on infections requires estimates of their effects on health. However, pathogenic variation, whereby occurrence of adverse outcomes depends on the infecting strain, might complicate the study of many infectious…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Bronner P. Gonçalves

We provide an inferential framework to assess variable importance for heterogeneous treatment effects. This assessment is especially useful in high-risk domains such as medicine, where decision makers hesitate to rely on black-box treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Pawel Morzywolek , Peter B. Gilbert , Alex Luedtke

Behavioral science researchers have shown strong interest in disaggregating within-person relations from between-person differences (stable traits) using longitudinal data. In this paper, we propose a method of within-person variability…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-08 Satoshi Usami

Causal systems often exhibit variations of the underlying causal mechanisms between the variables of the system. Often, these changes are driven by different environments or internal states in which the system operates, and we refer to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-28 Wiebke Günther , Oana-Iuliana Popescu , Martin Rabel , Urmi Ninad , Andreas Gerhardus , Jakob Runge

This study addresses a critical gap in the healthcare system by developing a clinically meaningful, practical, and explainable disease surveillance system for multiple chronic diseases, utilizing routine EHR data from multiple U.S.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-28 Shaheer Ahmad Khan , Muhammad Usamah Shahid , Ahmad Abdullah , Ibrahim Hashmat , Muddassar Farooq

Detecting anomalies and the corresponding root causes in multivariate time series plays an important role in monitoring the behaviors of various real-world systems, e.g., IT system operations or manufacturing industry. Previous anomaly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-30 Wenzhuo Yang , Kun Zhang , Steven C. H. Hoi

We propose a novel machine learning approach for inferring causal variables of a target variable from observations. Our focus is on directly inferring a set of causal factors without requiring full causal graph reconstruction, which is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-01 Jang-Hyun Kim , Claudia Skok Gibbs , Sangdoo Yun , Hyun Oh Song , Kyunghyun Cho

Unobserved confounding is a key challenge when estimating causal effects from a treatment on an outcome in scientific applications. In this work, we assume that we observe a single, potentially multi-dimensional proxy variable of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-13 Silvan Vollmer , Niklas Pfister , Sebastian Weichwald

Causal analyses of longitudinal data generally assume that the qualitative causal structure relating variables remains invariant over time. In structured systems that transition between qualitatively different states in discrete time steps,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-11 Ranjani Srinivasan , Jaron Lee , Rohit Bhattacharya , Narges Ahmidi , Ilya Shpitser

To capture the dependences of a disease on several risk factors, a challenge is to combine model-based estimation with evidence-based arguments. Standard case-control methods allow estimation of the dependences of a rare disease on several…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-09 Nanny Wermuth , Giovanni M. Marchetti

Chronic diseases are long-term, manageable, yet typically incurable conditions, highlighting the need for effective preventive strategies. Machine learning has been widely used to assess individual risk for chronic diseases. However, many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-24 Minh Le , Khoi Ton

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques hold significant potential for enhancing the causal discovery process, which is crucial for understanding complex systems in areas like healthcare, economics, and artificial intelligence.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-20 Jesus Renero , Idoia Ochoa , Roberto Maestre

The identification of patient subgroups with differential treatment effects is the first step towards individualised treatments. A current draft guideline by the EMA discusses potentials and problems in subgroup analyses and formulated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-22 Heidi Seibold , Achim Zeileis , Torsten Hothorn

We introduce an approach which allows detecting causal relationships between variables for which the time evolution is available. Causality is assessed by a variational scheme based on the Information Imbalance of distance ranks, a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-07 Vittorio Del Tatto , Gianfranco Fortunato , Domenica Bueti , Alessandro Laio

Causal inference deals with identifying which random variables "cause" or control other random variables. Recent advances on the topic of causal inference based on tools from statistical estimation and machine learning have resulted in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-08-23 Matt J. Kusner , Yu Sun , Karthik Sridharan , Kilian Q. Weinberger

The goal of Root Cause Analysis (RCA) is to explain why an anomaly occurred by identifying where the fault originated. Several recent works model the anomalous event as resulting from a change in the causal mechanism at the root cause,…

Diagnosing problems in Internet-scale services remains particularly difficult and costly for both content providers and ISPs. Because the Internet is decentralized, the cause of such problems might lie anywhere between an end-user's device…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-04-08 Loïck Bonniot , Christoph Neumann , François Taïani

In causal inference, confounders are variables that influence both treatment decisions and outcomes. However, unlike as in randomized clinical trials, the treatment assignment mechanism in observational studies is not known, and it is thus…