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Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo (PMCMC) is a general computational approach to Bayesian inference for general state space models. Our article scales up PMCMC in terms of the number of observations and parameters by generating the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-04 David Gunawan , Chris Carter , Robert Kohn

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are specific probability distributions over clouds of points that are used as models and computational tools across physics, probability, statistics, and more recently machine learning. Sampling from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-22 Guillaume Gautier , Guillermo Polito , Rémi Bardenet , Michal Valko

We introduce and compare computational techniques for sharp extreme event probability estimates in stochastic differential equations with small additive Gaussian noise. In particular, we focus on strategies that are scalable, i.e. their…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-11-27 Timo Schorlepp , Shanyin Tong , Tobias Grafke , Georg Stadler

We consider piecewise deterministic Markov processes with degenerate transition kernels of the "house-of-cards"-type. We use a splitting scheme based on jump times to prove the absolute continuity, as well as some regularity, of the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-27 Eva Löcherbach

We propose a new framework for how to use sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms for inference in probabilistic graphical models (PGM). Via a sequential decomposition of the PGM we find a sequence of auxiliary distributions defined on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-07 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

This paper introduces methodology for performing Bayesian inference sequentially on a sequence of posteriors on spaces of different dimensions. We show how this may be achieved through the use of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers (Del…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-02 Richard G Everitt , Richard Culliford , Felipe Medina-Aguayo , Daniel J Wilson

This paper investigates the random horizon optimal stopping problem for measure-valued piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs). This is motivated by population dynamics applications, when one wants to monitor some characteristics…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-14 Bertrand Cloez , Benoîte de Saporta , Maud Joubaud

There is much interest in using partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) as a formal model for planning in stochastic domains. This paper is concerned with finding optimal policies for POMDPs. We propose several improvements…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-01 Nevin Lianwen Zhang , Stephen S. Lee

We propose a numerical method to approximate the value function for the optimal stopping problem of a piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP). Our approach is based on quantization of the post jump location---inter-arrival time Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-14 Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour , Karen Gonzalez

Markov decision processes (MDP) are useful to model optimisation problems in concurrent systems. To verify MDPs with efficient Monte Carlo techniques requires that their nondeterminism be resolved by a scheduler. Recent work has introduced…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2016-11-15 Pedro D'Argenio , Axel Legay , Sean Sedwards , Louis-Marie Traonouez

Variational Monte Carlo studies employing projected entangled-pair states (PEPS) have recently shown that they can provide answers on long-standing questions such as the nature of the phases in the two-dimensional $J_1 - J_2$ model. The…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2022-06-10 Tom Vieijra , Jutho Haegeman , Frank Verstraete , Laurens Vanderstraeten

We propose a multilevel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for the Bayesian inference of random field parameters in PDEs using high-resolution data. Compared to existing multilevel MCMC methods, we additionally consider level-dependent…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-08-19 Pieter Vanmechelen , Geert Lombaert , Giovanni Samaey

We propose a new class of structured methods for Monte Carlo (MC) sampling, called DPPMC, designed for high-dimensional nonisotropic distributions where samples are correlated to reduce the variance of the estimator via determinantal point…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-31 Krzysztof Choromanski , Aldo Pacchiano , Jack Parker-Holder , Yunhao Tang

In this paper we consider fully Bayesian inference in general state space models. Existing particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms use an augmented model that takes into account all the variable sampled in a sequential Monte…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-31 Christopher K. Carter , Eduardo F. Mendes , Robert Kohn

We present metrics for measuring state similarity in Markov decision processes (MDPs) with infinitely many states, including MDPs with continuous state spaces. Such metrics provide a stable quantitative analogue of the notion of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-09 Norman Ferns , Prakash Panangaden , Doina Precup

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo has emerged as a standard tool for posterior computation. In this article, we present an extension that can efficiently explore target distributions with discontinuous densities. Our extension in particular enables…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-09 Akihiko Nishimura , David Dunson , Jianfeng Lu

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are central in computational statistics, and typically rely on detailed balance to ensure invariance with respect to a target distribution. Although straightforward to construct by Metropolization, this can…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-14 Erik Jansson , Moritz Schauer , Ruben Seyer , Akash Sharma

We present here two irreversible Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for general discrete state systems, one of the algorithms is based on the random-scan Gibbs sampler for discrete states and the other on its improved version, the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-05-08 Fahim Faizi , George Deligiannidis , Edina Rosta

We introduce a Monte Carlo method, as a modification of existing cluster algorithms, which allows simulations directly on systems of infinite size, and for quantum models also at beta=infinity. All two-point functions can be obtained,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 H. G. Evertz , W. von der Linden

In this paper we propose a Monte Carlo method for generating finite-domain marginals of critical distributions of statistical models in infinite volume. The algorithm corrects the problem of the long-range effects of boundaries associated…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-11-09 Victor Herdeiro , Benjamin Doyon