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We study statistical inference and distributionally robust solution methods for stochastic optimization problems, focusing on confidence intervals for optimal values and solutions that achieve exact coverage asymptotically. We develop a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-03 John Duchi , Peter Glynn , Hongseok Namkoong

In this paper we formulate a solution of the robust linear regression problem in a general framework of correntropy maximization. Our formulation yields a unified class of estimators which includes the Gaussian and Laplacian kernel-based…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-09-04 Laurent Bako

Robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs) extend standard Markov decision processes (MDPs) to account for uncertainty in the transition probabilities. RMDPs have an uncertainty set that defines a set of possible transition functions, each of…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2026-04-30 Marnix Suilen , Guillermo A. Pérez

We propose a novel distribution-free scheme to solve optimization problems where the goal is to minimize the expected value of a cost function subject to probabilistic constraints. Unlike standard sampling-based methods, our idea consists…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-28 Francesco Cordiano , Matin Jafarian , Bart De Schutter

Application of deep neural networks to medical imaging tasks has in some sense become commonplace. Still, a "thorn in the side" of the deep learning movement is the argument that deep networks are prone to overfitting and are thus unable to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-12 Anthony Sicilia , Xingchen Zhao , Anastasia Sosnovskikh , Seong Jae Hwang

We establish a collection of closed-loop guarantees and propose a scalable optimization algorithm for distributionally robust model predictive control (DRMPC) applied to linear systems, convex constraints, and quadratic costs. Via standard…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-11-13 Robert D. McAllister , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

Given the complexity of power systems, particularly the high-dimensional variability of net loads, accurately depicting the entire operational range of net loads poses a challenge. To address this, recent methodologies have sought to gauge…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-07-23 Xinyi Zhao , Lei Fan , Fei Ding , Weijia Liu , Chaoyue Zhao

A reliable representation of uncertainty is essential for the application of modern machine learning methods in safety-critical settings. In this regard, the use of credal sets (i.e., convex sets of probability distributions) has recently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Paul Hofman , Timo Löhr , Maximilian Muschalik , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

We consider Markov decision processes (MDPs) with unknown disturbance distribution and address this problem using the robust Markov decision process (RMDP) approach. We construct the empirical distribution of the unknown disturbance…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-11 Sivaramakrishnan Ramani

This paper presents an innovative approach, called credal wrapper, to formulating a credal set representation of model averaging for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) and deep ensembles (DEs), capable of improving uncertainty estimation in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-12 Kaizheng Wang , Fabio Cuzzolin , Keivan Shariatmadar , David Moens , Hans Hallez

A robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) algorithm is presented for linear, time invariant systems with unknown dynamics and subject to bounded measurement noise. The system is characterized by an impulse response model, which is…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-11-21 Anilkumar Parsi , Andrea Iannelli , Mingzhou Yin , Mohammad Khosravi , Roy S. Smith

We consider the problem of approximating the reachability probabilities in Markov decision processes (MDP) with uncountable (continuous) state and action spaces. While there are algorithms that, for special classes of such MDP, provide a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-07-13 Kush Grover , Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer , Maximilian Weininger

We apply the principle of maximum entropy to select a unique joint probability distribution from the set of all joint probability distributions specified by a credal network. In detail, we start by showing that the unique joint distribution…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Thomas Lukasiewicz

In this paper, we introduce a method for approximating the solution to inference and optimization tasks in uncertain and deterministic reasoning. Such tasks are in general intractable for exact algorithms because of the large number of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-12-12 David Ephraim Larkin

Many of the successes of machine learning are based on minimizing an averaged loss function. However, it is well-known that this paradigm suffers from robustness issues that hinder its applicability in safety-critical domains. These issues…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-09 Alexander Robey , Luiz F. O. Chamon , George J. Pappas , Hamed Hassani

We consider the problem of learning from training data obtained in different contexts, where the underlying context distribution is unknown and is estimated empirically. We develop a robust method that takes into account the uncertainty of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-18 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

Under data distributions which may be heavy-tailed, many stochastic gradient-based learning algorithms are driven by feedback queried at points with almost no performance guarantees on their own. Here we explore a modified "anytime…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-01 Matthew J. Holland

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

Uncertainty often plays an important role in dynamic flow problems. In this paper, we consider both, a stationary and a dynamic flow model with uncertain boundary data on networks. We introduce two different ways how to compute the…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-04-28 Michael Schuster , Elisa Strauch , Martin Gugat , Jens Lang

We investigate the problem of synthesizing distributionally robust control policies for stochastic systems under safety and reach-avoid specifications. Using a game-theoretical framework, we consider the setting where the probability…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-04 Yu Chen , Yuda Li , Shaoyuan Li , Xiang Yin