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Robustness of decision rules to shifts in the data-generating process is crucial to the successful deployment of decision-making systems. Such shifts can be viewed as interventions on a causal graph, which capture (possibly hypothetical)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-20 Benjie Wang , Clare Lyle , Marta Kwiatkowska

This paper develops a quantitative framework to assess the robustness of Bayes-optimal decisions in finite decision problems under model uncertainty. We introduce two complementary stability notions for acts: the robustness radius,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Christoph Jansen , Georg Schollmeyer

Robust Bayesian inference is the calculation of posterior probability bounds given perturbations in a probabilistic model. This paper focuses on perturbations that can be expressed locally in Bayesian networks through convex sets of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-08 Fabio Gagliardi Cozman

In this paper, we develop efficient randomized algorithms for estimating probabilistic robustness margin and constructing robustness degradation curve for uncertain dynamic systems. One remarkable feature of these algorithms is their…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

Uncertainties influencing the dynamical systems pose a significant challenge in estimating the achievable performance of a controller aiming to control such uncertain systems. When the uncertainties are of stochastic nature, obtaining hard…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-22 Venkatraman Renganathan

It is becoming increasingly apparent that probabilistic approaches can overcome conservatism and computational complexity of the classical worst-case deterministic framework and may lead to designs that are actually safer. In this paper we…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-11-01 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

Bayesian inference and Gaussian processes are widely used in applications ranging from robotics and control to biological systems. Many of these applications are safety-critical and require a characterization of the uncertainty associated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-26 Luca Cardelli , Marta Kwiatkowska , Luca Laurenti , Andrea Patane

Adversarial examples pose a security threat to many critical systems built on neural networks. Given that deterministic robustness often comes with significantly reduced accuracy, probabilistic robustness (i.e., the probability of having…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-27 Ruihan Zhang , Jun Sun

Bayesian optimization based on the Gaussian process upper confidence bound (GP-UCB) offers a theoretical guarantee for optimizing black-box functions. In practice, however, black-box functions often involve input uncertainty. To handle such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-24 Yu Inatsu

Methods to certify the robustness of neural networks in the presence of input uncertainty are vital in safety-critical settings. Most certification methods in the literature are designed for adversarial input uncertainty, but researchers…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-26 Brendon G. Anderson , Somayeh Sojoudi

Traditional approaches to outage-constrained beamforming optimization rely on statistical assumptions about channel distributions and estimation errors. However, the resulting outage probability guarantees are only valid when these…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-05-27 Xin Su , Qiushuo Hou , Ruisi He , Osvaldo Simeone

Neural networks have become increasingly popular in controller design due to their versatility and efficiency. However, their integration into feedback systems can pose stability challenges, particularly in the presence of uncertainties.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-03-04 Yuhao Zhang , Xiangru Xu

Methods to certify the robustness of neural networks in the presence of input uncertainty are vital in safety-critical settings. Most certification methods in the literature are designed for adversarial or worst-case inputs, but researchers…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-26 Brendon G. Anderson , Somayeh Sojoudi

Addressing uncertainty is critical for autonomous systems to robustly adapt to the real world. We formulate the problem of model uncertainty as a continuous Bayes-Adaptive Markov Decision Process (BAMDP), where an agent maintains a…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2019-05-09 Gilwoo Lee , Brian Hou , Aditya Mandalika , Jeongseok Lee , Sanjiban Choudhury , Siddhartha S. Srinivasa

This paper addresses the integration of additional information sources into a Bayesian optimization framework while ensuring that safety constraints are satisfied. The interdependencies between these information sources are modeled using an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Jannis O. Luebsen , Annika Eichler

Influence maximization in networks is a central problem in machine learning and causal inference, where an intervention on a subset of individuals triggers a diffusion process through the network. Existing approaches typically optimize…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Renjie Cao , Zhuoxin Yan , Xinyan Su , Zhiheng Zhang

We propose and investigate probabilistic guarantees for the adversarial robustness of classification algorithms. While traditional formal verification approaches for robustness are intractable and sampling-based approaches do not provide…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Peter Blohm , Patrick Indri , Thomas Gärtner , Sagar Malhotra

Neural networks are becoming increasingly prevalent in software, and it is therefore important to be able to verify their behavior. Because verifying the correctness of neural networks is extremely challenging, it is common to focus on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-19 Ravi Mangal , Aditya V. Nori , Alessandro Orso

The non-convexity and intractability of distributionally robust chance constraints make them challenging to cope with. From a data-driven perspective, we propose formulating it as a robust optimization problem to ensure that the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-06-23 Zhiping Chen , Wentao Ma , Bingbing Ji

We investigate the probabilistic feasibility of randomized solutions to two distinct classes of uncertain multi-agent optimization programs. We first assume that only the constraints of the program are affected by uncertainty, while the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-09-29 George Pantazis , Filiberto Fele , Kostas Margellos
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