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As power systems become more complex with the continuous integration of intelligent distributed energy resources (DERs), new risks and uncertainties arise. Consequently, to enhance system resiliency, it is essential to account for various…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-12-30 Md Isfakul Anam , Tuyen Vu , Jianhua Zhang

We develop a risk-averse safety analysis method for stochastic systems on discrete infinite time horizons. Our method quantifies the notion of risk for a control system in terms of the severity of a harmful random outcome in a fraction of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-03-14 Chuanning Wei , Michael Fauss , Margaret P. Chapman

We consider continuous-time stochastic optimal control problems featuring Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) in the objective. The major difficulty in these problems arises from time-inconsistency, which prevents us from directly using…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-05-27 Christopher W. Miller , Insoon Yang

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a central tail-risk measure in stochastic structural mechanics, yet its accurate evaluation under high-dimensional, spatially correlated material uncertainty remains computationally prohibitive for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-11 Alireza Tabarraei

Conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) precisely characterizes the influence that rare, catastrophic events can exert over decisions. Such characterizations are important for both normal decision-making and for psychiatric conditions such as…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-11-15 Chris Gagne , Peter Dayan

The conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a useful risk measure in fields such as machine learning, finance, insurance, energy, etc. When measuring very extreme risk, the commonly used CVaR estimation method of sample averaging does not work…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-10 Dylan Troop , Frédéric Godin , Jia Yuan Yu

This paper presents a methodology for optimizing the planning and scheduling aspects of a community energy storage (CES) system in the presence of solar photovoltaic (SPV) power in low voltage (LV) distribution networks. To this end, we…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-09 K. B. J. Anuradha , Chathurika P. Mediwaththe , Masoume Mahmoodi

Enforcing safety in the presence of stochastic uncertainty is a challenging problem. Traditionally, researchers have proposed safety in the statistical mean as a safety measure in this case. However, ensuring safety in the statistical mean…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-03-09 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Xiaobin Xiong , Aaron D. Ames

Incremental capacity analysis (ICA) and differential voltage analysis (DVA) are two effective approaches for battery degradation monitoring. One limiting factor for their real-world application is that they require constant-current (CC)…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-01-12 Qinan Zhou , Gabrielle Vuylsteke , R. Dyche Anderson , Jing Sun

This paper proposes a framework for fairly curtailing photovoltaic (PV) plants in response to the over-voltage problem in PV-rich distribution networks. The framework imposes PV generation limits to avoid overvoltages. These limits are…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-01-17 Rahul K. Gupta , Paprapee Buason , Daniel K. Molzahn

High renewable energy penetration into power distribution systems causes a substantial risk of exceeding voltage security limits, which needs to be accurately assessed and properly managed. However, the existing methods usually rely on the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-08 Yuanhai Gao , Xiaoyuan Xu , Zheng Yan , Mohammad Shahidehpour , Bo Yang , Xinping Guan

When a threat is observed, one of the most important challenges is to choose the most appropriate and adequate timely decisions in response to the current and near future situation in order to have the least consequences and costs. Making…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-05-01 Mahdieh Safarzadehvahed , Farzaneh Abazari , Afsaneh Madani , Fatemeh Shabani

Conformal prediction provides rigorous distribution-free finite-sample guarantees for marginal coverage under the assumption of exchangeability, but may exhibit systematic undercoverage or overcoverage for specific subpopulations. Assessing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Zheng Zhou , Xiangfei Zhang , Chongguang Tao , Yuhong Yang

Ensuring the safety of neural networks under input uncertainty is a fundamental challenge in safety-critical applications. This paper builds on and expands Fazlyab's quadratic-constraint (QC) and semidefinite-programming (SDP) framework for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Masako Kishida

Optimal portfolio allocation is often formulated as a constrained risk problem, where one aims to minimize a risk measure subject to some performance constraints. This paper presents new Bayesian Optimization algorithms for such constrained…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-03-25 Robert Millar , Jinglai Li

We study a risk-constrained version of the stochastic shortest path (SSP) problem, where the risk measure considered is Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). We propose two algorithms that obtain a locally risk-optimal policy by employing four…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-23 Prashanth L. A.

For market-based procurement of low voltage (LV) flexibility, DSOs identify the amount of flexibility needed for resolving probable distribution network (DN) voltage and thermal congestion. A framework is required to avoid over or under…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-07-22 Md Umar Hashmi , Arpan Koirala , Hakan Ergun , Dirk Van Hertem

In power systems, the distribution network is pivotal for consumers because it is the final stage in the delivery of electricity from the generation plants to the end users. Reactive power demand from consumers can result in challenges like…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-25 Stephen W. Mathenge , Edwell. T. Mharakurwa , Lucas Mogaka

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a leading tail-risk measure in finance, central to both regulatory and portfolio optimization frameworks. Classical estimation of CVaR and its gradients relies on Monte Carlo simulation, incurring…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-05-19 Vasilis Skarlatos , Nikos Konofaos

The optimal operation problem of electric vehicle aggregator (EVA) is considered. An EVA can participate in energy and regulation markets with its current and upcoming EVs, thus reducing its total cost of purchasing energy to fulfill EVs'…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-11-10 Liling Gong , Ye Guo , Hongbin Sun