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This article proposes a novel framework that integrates Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) into a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) model to forecast macro-financial variables and examine asymmetries in the transmission…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-16 Sofia Velasco

The multinomial probit Bayesian additive regression trees (MPBART) framework was proposed by Kindo et al. (KD), approximating the latent utilities in the multinomial probit (MNP) model with BART (Chipman et al. 2010). Compared to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-16 Yizhen Xu , Joseph W. Hogan , Michael J. Daniels , Rami Kantor , Ann Mwangi

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) has gained widespread popularity, inspiring numerous extensions across diverse applications. However, relatively little attention has been given to modeling dependent data. To fill this gap, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-17 Xuetao Lu a , Robert E. McCulloch

Individualized treatment rules (ITR) can improve health outcomes by recognizing that patients may respond differently to treatment and assigning therapy with the most desirable predicted outcome for each individual. Flexible and efficient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-25 Brent R. Logan , Rodney Sparapani , Robert E. McCulloch , Purushottam W. Laud

BCART (Bayesian Classification and Regression Trees) and BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) are popular Bayesian regression models widely applicable in modern regression problems. Their popularity is intimately tied to the ability to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-19 Matthew T. Pratola , Edward I. George , Robert E. McCulloch

This paper introduces a generalized ps-BART model for the estimation of Average Treatment Effect (ATE) and Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) in continuous treatments, addressing limitations of the Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-11 Hugo Gobato Souto , Francisco Louzada Neto

In light of widespread evidence of parameter instability in macroeconomic models, many time-varying parameter (TVP) models have been proposed. This paper proposes a nonparametric TVP-VAR model using Bayesian additive regression trees (BART)…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-05-08 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Gary Koop , James Mitchell

Frequentist and Bayesian methods differ in many aspects, but share some basic optimal properties. In real-life classification and regression problems, situations exist in which a model based on one of the methods is preferable based on some…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-29 Tanujit Chakraborty , Gauri Kamat , Ashis Kumar Chakraborty

There is growing interest in estimating and analyzing heterogeneous treatment effects in experimental and observational studies. We describe a number of meta-algorithms that can take advantage of any supervised learning or regression method…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-18 Sören R. Künzel , Jasjeet S. Sekhon , Peter J. Bickel , Bin Yu

Motivated by the Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Network (ARDSNetwork) ARDS respiratory management (ARMA) trial, we developed a flexible Bayesian machine learning approach to estimate the average causal effect and heterogeneous causal…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Xinyuan Chen , Michael O. Harhay , Guangyu Tong , Fan Li

To achieve the goal of providing the best possible care to each patient, physicians need to customize treatments for patients with the same diagnosis, especially when treating diseases that can progress further and require additional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-25 Xiao Li , Brent R Logan , S M Ferdous Hossain , Erica E M Moodie

Few methods in Bayesian non-parametric statistics/ machine learning have received as much attention as Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART). While BART is now routinely performed for prediction tasks, its theoretical properties began…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-10 Veronika Rockova

We show how to construct the implied copula process of response values from a Bayesian additive regression tree (BART) model with prior on the leaf node variances. This copula process, defined on the covariate space, can be paired with any…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Jan Martin Wenkel , Michael Stanley Smith , Nadja Klein

Alcohol Use Disorder (AUD) treatment presents high individual-level heterogeneity, with outcomes ranging from complete abstinence to persistent heavy drinking. This variability-driven by complex behavioral, social, and environmental…

Bayesian regression trees are flexible non-parametric models that are well suited to many modern statistical regression problems. Many such tree models have been proposed, from the simple single- tree model to more complex tree ensembles.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-12-09 M. T. Pratola

This research aims to propose and evaluate a novel model named K-Fold Causal Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (K-Fold Causal BART) for improved estimation of Average Treatment Effects (ATE) and Conditional Average Treatment Effects…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-10 Hugo Gobato Souto , Francisco Louzada Neto

The recently developed variational autoencoders (VAEs) have proved to be an effective confluence of the rich representational power of neural networks with Bayesian methods. However, most work on VAEs use a rather simple prior over the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-29 Prasoon Goyal , Zhiting Hu , Xiaodan Liang , Chenyu Wang , Eric Xing

This paper presents a novel approach to enhance the Binary-Addition-Tree algorithm (BAT) by integrating incremental learning techniques. BAT, known for its simplicity in development, implementation, and application, is a powerful implicit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-25 Wei-Chang Yeh

Using data collected on almost every 9-12 years old student in Uruguay, we show how to apply Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) with random effects to study performance association with Learning Managment System (LMS) activity and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-09 Natalia da Silva , Bruno Tancredi , Ignacio Alvarez-Castro

Flow network models can capture the underlying physics and operational constraints of many networked systems including the power grid and transportation and water networks. However, analyzing reliability of systems using computationally…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-14 Nariman L. Dehghani , Soroush Zamanian , Abdollah Shafieezadeh