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The duration, type and structure of connections between individuals in real-world populations play a crucial role in how diseases invade and spread. Here, we incorporate the aforementioned heterogeneities into a model by considering a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-04-05 Rosanna C Barnard , Istvan Z Kiss , Luc Berthouze , Joel C Miller

Traditional studies about disease dynamics have focused on global stability issues, due to their epidemiological importance. We study a classical SIR-SI model for arboviruses in two different directions: we begin by describing an…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-08-28 Max O. Souza

We study the phase transition from the persistence phase to the extinction phase for the SIRS (susceptible/ infected/ refractory/ susceptible) model of diseases spreading on the networks. We derive an analytical expression of the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-11-18 M. Ali Saif

We study the classic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for the spread of an infectious disease. In this stochastic process, there are two competing mechanism: infection and recovery. Susceptible individuals may contract the disease…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-05-08 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

We numerically study the dynamics of the SIR disease model on small-world networks by using a large-deviation approach. This allows us to obtain the probability density function of the total fraction of infected nodes and of the maximum…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-09-01 Yannick Feld , Alexander K. Hartmann

We study the spread of discrete-time epidemics over arbitrary networks for well-known propagation models, namely SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible), SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered), SIRS (susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible)…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-10-03 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Hyoung Jun Ahn , Babak Hassibi

We study the spread of multi-competitive viruses over a (possibly) time-varying network of individuals accounting for the presence of shared infrastructure networks that further enables transmission of the virus. We establish a sufficient…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-17 Sebin Gracy , Yuan Wang , Philip E. Pare , Cesar A Uribe

Contagious processes, such as spread of infectious diseases, social behaviors, or computer viruses, affect biological, social, and technological systems. Epidemic models for large populations and finite populations on networks have been…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-04-14 Renato Pagliara , Naomi E. Leonard

Recent years have seen a large amount of interest in epidemics on networks as a way of representing the complex structure of contacts capable of spreading infections through the modern human population. The configuration model is a popular…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-01-23 Frank Ball , Thomas House

The problems of observability and identifiability have been of great interest as previous steps to estimating parameters and initial conditions of dynamical systems to which some known data (observations) are associated. While most works…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-06-16 Alicja B Kubik , Benjamin Ivorra , Alain Rapaport , Ángel M Ramos

Fitting Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) models to incidence data is problematic when not all infected individuals are reported. Assuming an underlying SIR model with general but known distribution for the time to recovery, this paper…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-08-16 Imelda Trejo , Nicolas Hengartner

This paper studies the problem of detecting the information source in a network in which the spread of information follows the popular Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model. We assume all nodes in the network are in the susceptible…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-02-20 Kai Zhu , Lei Ying

Motivated by our intention to use SIR-type epidemiological models in the context of dynamic networks as provided by large-scale highly interacting inhomogeneous human crowds, we investigate in this framework possibilities to reduce the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-03-16 Matteo Colangeli , Adrian Muntean

Compartmental models like the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR)\cite{Kermack1927} and its extensions such as the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIRS)\cite{Ottar2020,Ignazio2021,Grimm2021,Paoluzzi2021} are commonly used to model…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-07-14 Kasturi Banerjee , Subhankar Ray , Jayalakshmi Shamanna

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is the cornerstone of epidemiological models. However, this specification depends on two parameters only, which implies a lack of flexibility and the difficulty to replicate the volatile…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-17 Christian Gourieroux , Yang Lu

A stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a social network is analysed. The underlying social network is described by an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but, during the course of the epidemic,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-17 Frank Ball , Tom Britton

We consider the problem of distributed state estimation of a linear time-invariant (LTI) system by a network of sensors. We develop a distributed observer that guarantees asymptotic reconstruction of the state for the most general class of…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-04-27 Aritra Mitra , Shreyas Sundaram

We investigate SIR models with vital dynamics, reinfection, and randomness at the transmission coefficient and recruitment rate. Initially, we conduct an extensive analysis of the autonomous scenario, covering aspects such as local and…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-04-22 Javier López-de-la-Cruz , Alexandre N. Oliveira-Sousa

In this paper we present the discrete-time networked SIR and SEIR models and present assumptions under which they are well defined. We analyze the limiting behavior of the models and present necessary and sufficient conditions for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-11-25 Damir Vrabac , Raphael Stern , Philip E. Paré

We have designed a computational model of a virus spread near the outbreak threshold. Using computer simulation we studied the Susceptible - Infected - Recovered (SIR) process where in consequence of a force of habit that is manifested by…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-12-23 Jozef Černák