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The idea of covariate balance is at the core of causal inference. Inverse propensity weights play a central role because they are the unique set of weights that balance the covariate distributions of different treatment groups. We discuss…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-29 Eli Ben-Michael , Avi Feller , David A. Hirshberg , José R. Zubizarreta

Consider a scenario where we have access to train data with both covariates and outcomes while test data only contains covariates. In this scenario, our primary aim is to predict the missing outcomes of the test data. With this objective in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Masahiro Kato , Kota Matsui , Ryo Inokuchi

Personalized medicine has received increasing attention among statisticians, computer scientists, and clinical practitioners. A major component of personalized medicine is the estimation of individualized treatment rules (ITRs). Recently,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-14 Xin Zhou , Nicole Mayer-Hamblett , Umer Khan , Michael R. Kosorok

We study two-way-fixed-effects regressions (TWFE) with several treatment variables. Under a parallel trends assumption, we show that the coefficient on each treatment identifies a weighted sum of that treatment's effect, with possibly…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-18 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille

The ratio of two densities provides a direct characterization of their differences. We consider the two-sample comparison problem by estimating this ratio given i.i.d. observations from two distributions. To this end, we propose additive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-23 Naoki Awaya , Yuliang Xu , Li Ma

Fairness in machine learning has attracted increasing attention in recent years. The fairness methods improving algorithmic fairness for in-distribution data may not perform well under distribution shifts. In this paper, we first…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-24 Zhimeng Jiang , Xiaotian Han , Hongye Jin , Guanchu Wang , Rui Chen , Na Zou , Xia Hu

Restricted kernel machines (RKMs) have considerably improved generalization in machine learning. Recent advancements explored various techniques within the RKM framework, integrating kernel functions with least squares support vector…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-15 A. Quadir , M. Tanveer

Functional regression is very crucial in functional data analysis and a linear relationship between scalar response and functional predictor is often assumed. However, the linear assumption may not hold in practice, which makes the methods…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-18 Rou Zhong , Dongxue Wang , Jingxiao Zhang

Variational Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) perform variational inference over weights, but it is difficult to specify meaningful priors and approximate posteriors in a high-dimensional weight space. We introduce functional variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-15 Shengyang Sun , Guodong Zhang , Jiaxin Shi , Roger Grosse

Time series forecasting (TSF) is an essential branch of machine learning with various applications. Most methods for TSF focus on constructing different networks to extract better information and improve performance. However, practical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Haoyu Xing , Hualong Yu , Qinghua Hu

Estimators that weight observed outcomes to form effect estimates have a long tradition. Their outcome weights are widely used in established procedures, such as checking covariate balance, characterizing target populations, or detecting…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-13 Michael C. Knaus

In machine learning applications, distribution shifts between training and target environments can lead to significant drops in model performance. This study investigates the impact of such shifts on binary classification models within the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Minji Kim , Seong Jin Lee , Bumsik Kim

This paper studies the prediction task of tensor-on-tensor regression in which both covariates and responses are multi-dimensional arrays (a.k.a., tensors) across time with arbitrary tensor order and data dimension. Existing methods either…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-23 Guanhao Zhou , Yuefeng Han , Xiufan Yu

The linear regression model is widely used in the biomedical and social sciences as well as in policy and business research to adjust for covariates and estimate the average effects of treatments. Behind every causal inference endeavor…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-23 Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Noah Greifer , Jose R. Zubizarreta

In comparative studies of progressive diseases, such as randomized controlled trials (RCTs), the mean Change From Baseline (CFB) of a continuous outcome at a pre-specified follow-up time across subjects in the target population is a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-15 Changyu Shen , Menglan Pang , Ling Zhu , Lu Tian

Estimating individual and average treatment effects from observational data is an important problem in many domains such as healthcare and e-commerce. In this paper, we advocate balance regularization of multi-head neural network…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-24 Mehrdad Farajtabar , Andrew Lee , Yuanjian Feng , Vishal Gupta , Peter Dolan , Harish Chandran , Martin Szummer

It is valuable for any decision maker to know the impact of decisions (treatments) on average and for subgroups. The causal machine learning literature has recently provided tools for estimating group average treatment effects (GATE) to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-10 Nora Bearth , Michael Lechner

The linear varying coefficient models posits a linear relationship between an outcome and covariates in which the covariate effects are modeled as functions of additional effect modifiers. Despite a long history of study and use in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-26 Sameer K. Deshpande , Ray Bai , Cecilia Balocchi , Jennifer E. Starling , Jordan Weiss

We provide a MATLAB toolbox, BFDA, that implements a Bayesian hierarchical model to smooth multiple functional data with the assumptions of the same underlying Gaussian process distribution, a Gaussian process prior for the mean function,…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2017-02-06 Jingjing Yang , Peng Ren

Federated learning is a decentralized collaborative training paradigm preserving stakeholders' data ownership while improving performance and generalization. However, statistical heterogeneity among client datasets degrades system…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-09 Vasilis Siomos , Jonathan Passerat-Palmbach , Giacomo Tarroni