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Accurate flight delay prediction is crucial for the secure and effective operation of the air traffic system. Recent advances in modeling inter-airport relationships present a promising approach for investigating flight delay prediction…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-07-23 Qihui Zhu , Shenwen Chen , Tong Guo , Yisheng Lv , Wenbo Du

Granger causal inference is a contentious but widespread method used in fields ranging from economics to neuroscience. The original definition addresses the notion of causality in time series by establishing functional dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-19 Noah D. Gade , Jordan Rodu

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is an essential problem in many fields. Accurate forecasting results can effectively help decision-making. To date, many MTS forecasting methods have been proposed and widely applied. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-16 Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Yida Huang , Jie Feng , Yueyang Wang

Identifying causality behind complex systems plays a significant role in different domains, such as decision making, policy implementations, and management recommendations. However, existing causality studies on temporal event sequences…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-06-14 Sujia Zhu , Yue Shen , Zihao Zhu , Wang Xia , Baofeng Chang , Ronghua Liang , Guodao Sun

Exploratory analysis of time series data can yield a better understanding of complex dynamical systems. Granger causality is a practical framework for analysing interactions in sequential data, applied in a wide range of domains. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-20 Ričards Marcinkevičs , Julia E. Vogt

We study Granger causality in the context of wide-sense stationary time series, where our focus is on the topological aspects of the underlying causality graph. We establish sufficient conditions (in particular, we develop the notion of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-19 R. J. Kinnear , R. R. Mazumdar

Introduced more than a half century ago, Granger causality has become a popular tool for analyzing time series data in many application domains, from economics and finance to genomics and neuroscience. Despite this popularity, the validity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-10 Ali Shojaie , Emily B. Fox

It is often useful in multivariate time series analysis to determine statistical causal relations between different time series. Granger causality is a fundamental measure for this purpose. Yet the traditional pairwise approach to Granger…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 Yonghong Chen , Steven L. Bressler , Mingzhou Ding

Causality in distributed systems is a concept that has long been explored and numerous approaches have been made to use causality as a way to trace distributed system execution. Traditional approaches usually used system profiling and newer…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2023-11-14 Ishaan Lagwankar , Kanishka Wijewardena

We study the problem of automatically discovering Granger causal relations from observational multivariate time-series data.Vector autoregressive (VAR) models have been time-tested for this problem, including Bayesian variants and more…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-27 He Zhao , Vassili Kitsios , Terence J. O'Kane , Edwin V. Bonilla

Identifying causal relations among simultaneously acquired signals is an important problem in multivariate time series analysis. For linear stochastic systems Granger proposed a simple procedure called the Granger causality to detect such…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Yonghong Chen , Govindan Rangarajan , Jianfeng Feng , Mingzhou Ding

Industrial processes generate vast amounts of time series data, yet extracting meaningful relationships and insights remains challenging. This paper introduces a framework for automated knowledge graph learning from time series data,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-03 Lolitta Ammann , Jorge Martinez-Gil , Michael Mayr , Georgios C. Chasparis

A vast amount of expert and domain knowledge is captured by causal structural priors, yet there has been little research on testing such priors for generalization and data synthesis purposes. We propose a novel model architecture, Causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-08 Jeffrey Jiang , Omead Pooladzandi , Sunay Bhat , Gregory Pottie

Understanding causal relationships among features is fundamental for explaining machine learning model decisions. However, traditional causal discovery methods face challenges with categorical variables due to numerical instability in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Henry Salgado , Meagan R. Kendall , Martine Ceberio

Learning about cause and effect is arguably the main goal in applied econometrics. In practice, the validity of these causal inferences is contingent on a number of critical assumptions regarding the type of data that has been collected and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-03-03 Paul Hünermund , Elias Bareinboim

Multivariate time series anomaly detection has numerous real-world applications and is being extensively studied. Modeling pairwise correlations between variables is crucial. Existing methods employ learnable graph structures and graph…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-24 Zehao Liu , Mengzhou Gao , Pengfei Jiao

We introduce a rigorous mathematical framework for Granger causality in extremes, designed to identify causal links from extreme events in time series. Granger causality plays a pivotal role in uncovering directional relationships among…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-21 Juraj Bodik , Olivier C. Pasche

The development of Internet of Things (IoT) technologies has led to the widespread adoption of monitoring networks for a wide variety of applications, such as smart cities, environmental monitoring, and precision agriculture. A major…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-03 Pau Ferrer-Cid , Jose M. Barcelo-Ordinas , Jorge Garcia-Vidal

Granger causality is a widely-used criterion for analyzing interactions in large-scale networks. As most physical interactions are inherently nonlinear, we consider the problem of inferring the existence of pairwise Granger causality…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-15 Saurabh Khanna , Vincent Y. F. Tan

Dataflow computing was shown to bring significant benefits to multiple niches of systems engineering and has the potential to become a general-purpose paradigm of choice for data-driven application development. One of the characteristic…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2023-04-25 Andrei Paleyes , Neil D. Lawrence