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Counterfactual learning has become promising for understanding and modeling causality in complex and dynamic systems. This paper presents a novel method for counterfactual learning in the context of multivariate time series analysis and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Gianlucca Zuin , Adriano Veloso

Granger causality has become an indispensable tool for analyzing causal relationships between time series. In this paper, we provide a detailed overview of its mathematical foundations, trace its historical development, and explore how…

复变函数 · 数学 2024-12-30 Lasha Ephremidze

The paper reviews methods that seek to draw causal inference from observational data and demonstrates how they can be applied to empirical problems in engineering research. It presents a framework for causal identification based on the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-28 Daniel J Graham

Causal graphs are widely used in software engineering to document and explore causal relationships. Though widely used, they may also be wildly misleading. Causal structures generated from SE data can be highly variable. This instability is…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Jeremy Hulse , Nasir U. Eisty , Tim Menzies

The dramatic increase in the connectivity demand results in an excessive amount of Internet of Things (IoT) sensors. To meet the management needs of these large-scale networks, such as accurate monitoring and learning capabilities, Digital…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Kubra Duran , Matthew Broadbent , Gokhan Yurdakul , Berk Canberk

Foundational modelling of multi-dimensional time-series data in industrial systems presents a central trade-off: channel-dependent (CD) models capture specific cross-variable dynamics but lack robustness and adaptability as model layers are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Michael Mayr , Georgios C. Chasparis

Extracting causal connections can advance interpretable AI and machine learning. Granger causality (GC) is a robust statistical method for estimating directed influences (DC) between signals. While GC has been widely applied to analysing…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2024-08-06 Abdoreza Asadpour , KongFatt Wong-Lin

Industrial Control Systems (ICS) in water distribution and treatment face cyber-physical attacks exploiting network and physical vulnerabilities. Current water system anomaly detection methods rely on correlations, yielding high false…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Mohammadhossein Homaei , Mehran Tarif , Pablo Garcia Rodriguez , Andres Caro , Mar Avila

Inferring nonlinear and asymmetric causal relationships between multivariate longitudinal data is a challenging task with wide-ranging application areas including clinical medicine, mathematical biology, economics and environmental…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-25 Tom Edinburgh , Stephen J. Eglen , Ari Ercole

Neural processes in the brain operate at a range of temporal scales. Granger causality, the most widely-used neuroscientific tool for inference of directed functional connectivity from neurophsyiological data, is traditionally deployed in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-07-17 Lionel Barnett , Anil K. Seth

Causal discovery in time-series is a fundamental problem in the machine learning community, enabling causal reasoning and decision-making in complex scenarios. Recently, researchers successfully discover causality by combining neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-17 Yuxiao Cheng , Lianglong Li , Tingxiong Xiao , Zongren Li , Qin Zhong , Jinli Suo , Kunlun He

We derive a set of causal deep neural networks whose architectures are a consequence of tensor (multilinear) factor analysis, a framework that facilitates causal inference. Forward causal questions are addressed with a neural network…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 M. Alex O. Vasilescu

Despite the essential need for comprehensive considerations in responsible AI, factors like robustness, fairness, and causality are often studied in isolation. Adversarial perturbation, used to identify vulnerabilities in models, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-07 Ahmad-Reza Ehyaei , Golnoosh Farnadi , Samira Samadi

Information technology (IT) systems are vital for modern businesses, handling data storage, communication, and process automation. Monitoring these systems is crucial for their proper functioning and efficiency, as it allows collecting…

Cross-slice attack attribution in 6G networks faces the fundamental challenge of distinguishing genuine causal relationships from spurious correlations in shared infrastructure environments. We propose a theoretically-grounded…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-10-08 Minh K. Quan , Pubudu N. Pathirana

AI-based monitoring has become crucial for cloud-based services due to its scale. A common approach to AI-based monitoring is to detect causal relationships among service components and build a causal graph. Availability of domain…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2023-03-21 Sarthak Chakraborty , Shaddy Garg , Shubham Agarwal , Ayush Chauhan , Shiv Kumar Saini

The widespread applicability of analytics in cyber-physical systems has motivated research into causal inference methods. Predictive estimators are not sufficient when analytics are used for decision making; rather, the flow of causal…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-03-22 Roy Dong , Eric Mazumdar , S. Shankar Sastry

This paper is motivated by studies in neuroscience experiments to understand interactions between nodes in a brain network using different types of data modalities that capture different distinct facets of brain activity. To assess…

Causal inference aids researchers in discovering cause-and-effect relationships, leading to scientific insights. Accurate causal estimation requires identifying confounding variables to avoid false discoveries. Pearl's causal model uses…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Anna Zeng , Michael Cafarella , Batya Kenig , Markos Markakis , Brit Youngmann , Babak Salimi

We develop a multivariate functional autoregressive model (MFAR), which captures the cross-correlation among multiple functional time series and thus improves forecast accuracy. We estimate the parameters under the Bayesian dynamic linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-29 Rituparna Sen , Anandamayee Majumdar , Shubhangi Sikaria