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Prediction deviations of different uncertainties have varying impacts on downstream decision-making. Improving the prediction accuracy of critical uncertainties with significant impacts on decision-making quality yields better optimization…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-17 Yingrui Zhuang , Lin Cheng , Can Wan , Rui Xie , Ning Qi , Yue Chen

Achieving net zero carbon emissions by 2050 requires the integration of increasing amounts of wind power into power grids. This energy source poses a challenge to system operators due to its variability and uncertainty. Therefore, accurate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-23 Julie Keisler , Etienne Le Naour

Neural networks are increasingly being used in a variety of settings to predict wind direction and speed, two of the most important factors for estimating the potential power output of a wind farm. However, these predictions are arguably of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-06-22 Mariana C A Clare , Matthew D Piggott

This paper introduces a novel, deep learning-based predictive model tailored to address wind curtailment in contemporary power systems, while enhancing cybersecurity measures through the implementation of a Dynamic Defense Mechanism (DDM).…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-16 Ali Peivand , Seyyed Mostafa Nosratabadi

This paper presents a wide-area event classification in transmission power grids. The deep neural network (DNN) based classifier is developed based on the availability of data from time-synchronized phasor measurement units (PMUs). The…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-08-25 Iman Niazazari , Amir Ghasemkhani , Yunchuan Liu , Shuchismita Biswas , Hanif Livani , Lei Yang , Virgilio Centeno

Geometric deep learning has gained tremendous attention in both academia and industry due to its inherent capability of representing arbitrary structures. Due to exponential increase in interest towards renewable sources of energy,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-05 Neetesh Rathore , Pradeep Rathore , Arghya Basak , Sri Harsha Nistala , Venkataramana Runkana

Smart power grids are one of the most complex cyber-physical systems, delivering electricity from power generation stations to consumers. It is critically important to know exactly the current state of the system as well as its state…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-12 Shahrzad Hadayeghparast , Amir Namavar Jahromi , Hadis Karimipour

Accurate traffic prediction is a key task for intelligent transportation systems. The core difficulty lies in accurately modeling the complex spatial-temporal dependencies in traffic data. In recent years, improvements in network…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Sen Shi , Zhichao Zhang , Yangfan He

Power system emergency control is generally regarded as the last safety net for grid security and resiliency. Existing emergency control schemes are usually designed off-line based on either the conceived "worst" case scenario or a few…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-23 Qiuhua Huang , Renke Huang , Weituo Hao , Jie Tan , Rui Fan , Zhenyu Huang

Climate change is one of the most concerning issues of this century. Emission from electric power generation is a crucial factor that drives the concern to the next level. Renewable energy sources are widespread and available globally,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-27 Md Amimul Ehsan , Amir Shahirinia , Nian Zhang , Timothy Oladunni

The quantification of storm updrafts remains unavailable for operational forecasting despite their inherent importance to convection and its associated severe weather hazards. Updraft proxies, like overshooting top area from satellite…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-19 Randy J. Chase , Amy McGovern , Cameron Homeyer , Peter Marinescu , Corey Potvin

Within wind farms, wake effects between turbines can significantly reduce overall energy production. Wind farm flow control encompasses methods designed to mitigate these effects through coordinated turbine control. Wake steering, for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Elie Kadoche , Pascal Bianchi , Florence Carton , Philippe Ciblat , Damien Ernst

Wind power generated by wind has non-schedule nature due to stochastic nature of meteorological variable. Hence energy business and control of wind power generation requires prediction of wind speed (WS) from few seconds to different time…

Accurately predicting the wind power output of a wind farm across various time scales utilizing Wind Power Forecasting (WPF) is a critical issue in wind power trading and utilization. The WPF problem remains unresolved due to numerous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-29 Hongjin Song , Qianrun Chen , Tianqi Jiang , Yongfeng Li , Xusheng Li , Wenjun Xi , Songtao Huang

The increasing demand of large scale wind integration in the conventional power system brings a lot of challenges. One of them is the stability of the power system when subjected to a large disturbance, such as a fault. This paper proposes…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-10 Umair Shahzad

In this manuscript we continue the thread of [M. Chertkov, F. Pan, M. Stepanov, Predicting Failures in Power Grids: The Case of Static Overloads, IEEE Smart Grid 2011] and suggest a new algorithm discovering most probable extreme stochastic…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2011-09-08 Michael Chertkov , Mikhail Stepanov , Feng Pan , Ross Baldick

Weather foundation models (WFMs) have recently set new benchmarks in global forecast skill, yet their concrete value for the weather-sensitive infrastructure that powers modern society remains largely unexplored. In this study, we fine-tune…

The energy market relies on forecasting capabilities of both demand and power generation that need to be kept in dynamic balance. Today, when it comes to renewable energy generation, such decisions are increasingly made in a liberalized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-15 Odin Foldvik Eikeland , Finn Dag Hovem , Tom Eirik Olsen , Matteo Chiesa , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Machine learning models (e.g., neural networks) achieve high accuracy in wind power forecasting, but they are usually regarded as black boxes that lack interpretability. To address this issue, the paper proposes a glass-box approach that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Wenlong Liao , Fernando Porte-Agel , Jiannong Fang , Birgitte Bak-Jensen , Guangchun Ruan , Zhe Yang

As the penetration of wind generation increases, the uncertainty it brings has imposed great challenges to power system operation. To cope with the challenges, tremendous research work has been conducted, among which two aspects are of most…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-10-29 Bin Liu , Bingxu Zhai , Mengchen Liu , Feng Liu , Haibo Lan