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Evacuation is critical for disaster safety, yet agencies lack timely, accurate, and transparent tools for evacuation prediction. This study introduces Evac-Cast, an interpretable machine learning framework that predicts tract-level…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-08-04 Bo Li , Chenyue Liu , Ali Mostafavi

The multifaceted nature of disaster impact shows that densely populated areas contribute more to aggregate burden, while sparsely populated but heavily affected regions suffer disproportionately at the individual level. This study…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-09-09 Xiangpeng Li , Junwei Ma , Bo Li , Ali Mostafavi

Understanding the spatiotemporal road network accessibility during a hurricane evacuation, the level of ease of residents in an area in reaching evacuation destination sites through the road network, is a critical component of emergency…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-06-26 Yi-Jie Zhu , Yujie Hu , Jennifer M. Collins

Despite recognition of the relationship between infrastructure resilience and community recovery, very limited empirical evidence exists regarding the extent to which the disruptions in and restoration of infrastructure services contribute…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2023-09-20 Chia-Wei Hsu , Ali Mostafavi

Community resilience in the face of natural hazards relies on a community's potential to bounce back. A failure to integrate equity into resilience considerations results in unequal recovery and disproportionate impacts on vulnerable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-08 Ali Nejat , Laura Solitare , Edward Pettitt , Hamed Mohsenian-Rad

The objective of this study is to propose and test an adaptive reinforcement learning model that can learn the patterns of human mobility in a normal context and simulate the mobility during perturbations caused by crises, such as flooding,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-09-04 Chao Fan , Xiangqi Jiang , Ali Mostafavi

Natural disasters can significantly disrupt human mobility in urban areas. Studies have attempted to understand and quantify such disruptions using crowdsourced mobility data sets. However, limited research has studied the justice issues of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-03-26 Hengfang Deng , Qi Wang

Disaster-induced power outages create cascading disruptions across urban lifelines, yet the timed coupling between grid failure and essential service access remains poorly quantified. Focusing on Hurricane Beryl in Houston (2024), this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-20 Junwei Ma , Bo Li , Xiangpeng Li , Ali Mostafavi

Smart resilience is the beneficial result of the collision course of the fields of data science and urban resilience to flooding. The objective of this study is to propose and demonstrate a smart flood resilience framework that leverages…

Major disasters such as wildfire, tornado, hurricane, tropical storm, flooding cause disruptions in infrastructure systems such as power outage, disruption to water supply system, wastewater management, telecommunication failures, and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-02-24 Tasnuba Binte Jamal , Samiul Hasan

Housing instability is a persistent challenge faced by households in cities across the United States. In worst-case scenarios, households are displaced from their residences and forced to start anew. In an effort to mitigate the harms of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-09 Ameer Dharamshi , Mary Richards , Suzanne Childress , Brian Lee , Daniel Casey

We present a method for analysing mobile phone call detail records to identify individuals whom we believe to be have been internally displaced as a result of a sudden-onset disaster. We model each anonymous individual's movements…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-08-08 Tracey Li , Jesper Dejby , Maximilian Albert , Linus Bengtsson , Veronique Lefebvre

Accelerated sea level rise has resulted in recurrent flooding in coastal regions, increasingly impacting both transportation systems and local populations. Using the Hampton Roads region in Virginia as a case study, this study a. identifies…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-02-14 Luwei Zeng , T. Donna Chen , John S. Miller , Faria Tuz Zahura , Jonathan L. Goodall

Accurate prediction of evacuation behavior is critical for disaster preparedness, yet models trained in one region often fail elsewhere. Using a multi-state hurricane evacuation survey, we show this failure goes beyond feature distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Xiao Qian , Shangjia Dong

Gaining timely and reliable situation awareness after hazard events such as a hurricane is crucial to emergency managers and first responders. One effective way to achieve that goal is through damage assessment. Recently, disaster…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-12-17 Quoc Dung Cao , Youngjun Choe

Examining the impact of disasters on life activities of populations is critical for understanding community resilience dynamics, yet it remains insufficiently studied in the existing literature. In this study, we leveraged data from more…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Junwei Ma , Ali Mostafavi

This study investigates the spatial patterns and temporal variations in outage duration, intensity, and restoration/recovery following the 2024 Hurricane Beryl in Houston, Texas. This historic blackout caused widespread power disruptions…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-01-23 Xiangpeng Li , Junwei Ma , Ali Mostafavi

Understanding human mobility during emergencies is critical for strengthening urban resilience and guiding emergency management. This study examines transitions between returners, who repeatedly visit a limited set of locations, and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-10-02 Omid Armantalab , Jason Hawkins , Wissam Kontar

Hurricane evacuation, ordered to save lives of people of coastal regions, generates high traffic demand with increased crash risk. To mitigate such risk, transportation agencies need to anticipate highway locations with high crash risks to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-16 Zaheen E Muktadi Syed , Samiul Hasan

Timely evacuation is crucial to disaster response, as people can avoid suffering and loss of lives when a major disaster happens. With the development of sharing economy, ridesharing has the advantage of reducing congestion, saving travel…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-07-27 Lingyu Meng , Zhijie Sasha Dong