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Bayesian analysis is widely used in science and engineering for real-time forecasting, decision making, and to help unravel the processes that explain the observed data. These data are some deterministic and/or stochastic transformations of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-02-24 Jiangjiang Zhang , Jasper A. Vrugt , Xiaoqing Shi , Guang Lin , Lingzao Zeng , Laosheng Wu

Bayesian inference is useful to obtain a predictive distribution with a small generalization error. However, since posterior distributions are rarely evaluated analytically, we employ the variational Bayesian inference or sampling method to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Yohei Saito , Shun Kimura , Koujin Takeda

Many problems in machine learning and statistics involve nested expectations and thus do not permit conventional Monte Carlo (MC) estimation. For such problems, one must nest estimators, such that terms in an outer estimator themselves…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-24 Tom Rainforth , Robert Cornish , Hongseok Yang , Andrew Warrington , Frank Wood

Bayesian modelling and computational inference by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a principled framework for large-scale uncertainty quantification, though is limited in practice by computational cost when implemented in the simplest…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-21 Colin Fox , Tiangang Cui , Markus Neumayer

Circular data are data measured in angles and occur in a variety of scientific disciplines. Bayesian methods promise to allow for flexible analysis of circular data. Three existing MCMC methods (Gibbs, Metropolis-Hastings, and Rejection)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-05-12 Kees Tim Mulder , Irene Klugkist

Divergence is not only an important mathematical concept in information theory, but also applied to machine learning problems such as low-dimensional embedding, manifold learning, clustering, classification, and anomaly detection. We…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-11-22 Kun Yang , Hao Su , Wing Hung Wong

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have a drawback when working with a target distribution or likelihood function that is computationally expensive to evaluate, specially when working with big data. This paper focuses on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-22 Asif J. Chowdhury , Gabriel Terejanu

We consider decentralized consensus optimization when workers sample data from non-identical distributions and perform variable amounts of work due to slow nodes known as stragglers. The problem of non-identical distributions and the…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2021-08-26 Tharindu Adikari , Stark Draper

Gradient descent (GD) methods are commonly employed in machine learning problems to optimize the parameters of the model in an iterative fashion. For problems with massive datasets, computations are distributed to many parallel computing…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-03-06 Emre Ozfatura , Deniz Gunduz , Sennur Ulukus

We develop a modular approach to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for unnormalized target densities. In this approach, Markov chains are constructed in parallel, each constrained to a subset of the target space. The Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Joonha Park

Many community detection algorithms are inherently stochastic, leading to variations in their output depending on input parameters and random seeds. This variability makes the results of a single run of these algorithms less reliable.…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Yasamin Tabatabaee , Eleanor Wedell , Minhyuk Park , Tandy Warnow

Symbolic regression is a powerful tool for discovering governing equations directly from data, but its sensitivity to noise hinders its broader application. This paper introduces a Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) framework for Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-12 Geoffrey F. Bomarito , Patrick E. Leser

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are widely used to draw samples from intractable target distributions. Particle degeneracy can hinder the use of SMC when the target distribution is highly constrained or multimodal. As a motivating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-26 Zhaoran Hou , Samuel W. K. Wong

Bayesian inference allows us to define a posterior distribution over the weights of a generic neural network (NN). Exact posteriors are usually intractable, in which case approximations can be employed. One such approximation - variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Peter Green , Simon Maskell

In this paper, we propose an approach for an application of Bayesian optimization using Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and concepts from the statistical physics of classical systems. Our method leverages the power of modern machine learning…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-06 Anton Lebedev , Thomas Warford , M. Emre Şahin

In statistical analysis, Monte Carlo (MC) stands as a classical numerical integration method. When encountering challenging sample problem, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a commonly employed method. However, the MCMC estimator is biased…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-05 Jiarui Du , Zhijian He

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have become a cornerstone of many modern scientific analyses by providing a straightforward approach to numerically estimate uncertainties in the parameters of a model using a sequence of random…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2020-03-10 Joshua S. Speagle

Many probabilistic models of interest in scientific computing and machine learning have expensive, black-box likelihoods that prevent the application of standard techniques for Bayesian inference, such as MCMC, which would require access to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-30 Luigi Acerbi

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are a popular technique in Bayesian statistical modeling. They have long been used to obtain samples from posterior distributions, but recent research has focused on the scalability of these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-02 Nicholas A. Johnson , Frank O. Kuehnel , Ali Nasiri Amini

Bayesian optimization through Gaussian process regression is an effective method of optimizing an unknown function for which every measurement is expensive. It approximates the objective function and then recommends a new measurement point…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-17 Hildo Bijl , Thomas B. Schön , Jan-Willem van Wingerden , Michel Verhaegen