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Goal-oriented conversational systems require making sequential decisions under uncertainty about the user's intent, where the algorithm must balance information acquisition and target commitment over multiple turns. Existing approaches…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Xinyi Ling , Ye Liu , Reza Averly , Xia Ning

Effective human-machine collaboration requires machine learning models to externalize uncertainty, so users can reflect and intervene when necessary. For language models, these representations of uncertainty may be impacted by sycophancy…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Anthony Sicilia , Mert Inan , Malihe Alikhani

During interactions with human consultants, people are used to providing partial and/or inaccurate information, and still be understood and assisted. We attempt to emulate this capability of human consultants; in computer consultation…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-26 Bhavani Raskutti , Ingrid Zukerman

Thematic maps are widely used to communicate spatial patterns to non-expert audiences. Although uncertainty is inherent in thematic map data, it is rarely visualized, raising questions about how its inclusion affects trust. Prior work…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Varun Srivastava , Fan Lei , Alan M. MacEachren , Ross Maciejewski

There are two major types of uncertainty one can model. Aleatoric uncertainty captures noise inherent in the observations. On the other hand, epistemic uncertainty accounts for uncertainty in the model -- uncertainty which can be explained…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-10-06 Alex Kendall , Yarin Gal

In this paper, a unified framework for representing uncertain information based on the notion of an interval structure is proposed. It is shown that the lower and upper approximations of the rough-set model, the lower and upper bounds of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-25 Michael S. K. M. Wong , L. S. Wang , Y. Y. Yao

Survival models are used in various fields, such as the development of cancer treatment protocols. Although many statistical and machine learning models have been proposed to achieve accurate survival predictions, little attention has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-26 Hrushikesh Loya , Pranav Poduval , Deepak Anand , Neeraj Kumar , Amit Sethi

Many applications of machine learning methods involve an iterative protocol in which data are collected, a model is trained, and then outputs of that model are used to choose what data to consider next. For example, one data-driven approach…

Advances in architectural design, data availability, and compute have driven remarkable progress in semantic segmentation. Yet, these models often rely on relaxed Bayesian assumptions, omitting critical uncertainty information needed for…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 M. M. A. Valiuddin , R. J. G. van Sloun , C. G. A. Viviers , P. H. N. de With , F. van der Sommen

In this paper, we present a unified framework for decision making under uncertainty. Our framework is based on the composite of two risk measures, where the inner risk measure accounts for the risk of decision given the exact distribution…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-01-07 Pengyu Qian , Zizhuo Wang , Zaiwen Wen

Multimodal foundation models offer a promising framework for robotic perception and planning by processing sensory inputs to generate actionable plans. However, addressing uncertainty in both perception (sensory interpretation) and…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-04-18 Neel P. Bhatt , Yunhao Yang , Rohan Siva , Daniel Milan , Ufuk Topcu , Zhangyang Wang

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

In responding to rating questions, an individual may give answers either according to his/her knowledge/awareness or to his/her level of indecision/uncertainty, typically driven by a response style. As ignoring this dual behaviour may lead…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-08 Roberto Colombi , Sabrina Giordano , Anna Gottard , Maria Iannario

Even though motion planning for automated vehicles has been extensively discussed for more than two decades, it is still a highly active field of research with a variety of different approaches having been published in the recent years.…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2020-05-11 Marcus Nolte , Susanne Ernst , Jan Richelmann , Markus Maurer

Policy decisions relevant to the environment rely on tools like dashboards, risk models, and prediction models to provide information and data visualizations that enable decision-makers to make trade-offs. The conventional paradigm of data…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-07-28 Eshta Bhardwaj , Han Qiao , Christoph Becker

ML models have errors when used for predictions. The errors are unknown but can be quantified by model uncertainty. When multiple ML models are trained using the same training points, their model uncertainties may be statistically…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Xiaoping Du

Accurate ocean modeling and coastal hazard prediction depend on high-resolution bathymetric data; yet, current worldwide datasets are too coarse for exact numerical simulations. While recent deep learning advances have improved earth…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Jose Marie Antonio Minoza

Predictive uncertainties in classification tasks are often a consequence of model inadequacy or insufficient training data. In popular applications, such as image processing, we are often required to scrutinise these uncertainties by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-10 Iker Perez , Piotr Skalski , Alec Barns-Graham , Jason Wong , David Sutton

Significant research has provided robust task and evaluation languages for the analysis of exploratory visualizations. Unfortunately, these taxonomies fail when applied to communicative visualizations. Instead, designers often resort to…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2020-09-16 Eytan Adar , Elsie Lee

Visual models play a crucial role in both science and science communication. However, the distinction between mere analogies and mathematically sound graphical representations is not easy and can be misunderstood not only by laypeople but…

物理教育 · 物理学 2025-09-12 Jonathan Dechert , Svetlana Gurevich , Stefan Heusler