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To estimate causal effects, analysts performing observational studies in health settings utilize several strategies to mitigate bias due to confounding by indication. There are two broad classes of approaches for these purposes: use of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-01 Roy S. Zawadzki , Joshua D. Grill , Daniel L. Gillen

Data-driven societal event forecasting methods exploit relevant historical information to predict future events. These methods rely on historical labeled data and cannot accurately predict events when data are limited or of poor quality.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-13 Songgaojun Deng , Huzefa Rangwala , Yue Ning

Estimating how a treatment affects units individually, known as heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) estimation, is an essential part of decision-making and policy implementation. The accumulation of large amounts of data in many domains,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-28 Christopher Tran , Elena Zheleva

Sparse autoencoders are a promising new approach for decomposing language model activations for interpretation and control. They have been applied successfully to vision transformer image encoders and to small-scale diffusion models.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-14 Stepan Shabalin , Ayush Panda , Dmitrii Kharlapenko , Abdur Raheem Ali , Yixiong Hao , Arthur Conmy

This paper analyzes the effect of a discrete treatment Z on a duration T. The treatment is not randomly assigned. The confounding issue is treated using a discrete instrumental variable explaining the treatment and independent of the error…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-23 Jad Beyhum , Jean-Pierre FLorens , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Counterfactual prediction is about predicting outcome of the unobserved situation from the data. For example, given patient is on drug A, what would be the outcome if she switch to drug B. Most of existing works focus on modeling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-29 Yanbo Xu , Cao Xiao , Jimeng Sun

The extraction of geoelectric structural information from airborne transient electromagnetic(ATEM)data primarily involves data processing and inversion. Conventional methods rely on empirical parameter selection, making it difficult to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-31 Shuang Wang , Xuben Wang , Fei Deng , Xiaodong Yu , Peifan Jiang , Lifeng Mao

In some causal inference scenarios, the treatment variable is measured inaccurately, for instance in epidemiology or econometrics. Failure to correct for the effect of this measurement error can lead to biased causal effect estimates.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-13 Antti Pöllänen , Pekka Marttinen

Estimating treatment effects is of great importance for many biomedical applications with observational data. Particularly, interpretability of the treatment effects is preferable for many biomedical researchers. In this paper, we first…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-28 Kan Chen , Qishuo Yin , Qi Long

While randomised controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for estimating causal treatment effects, their limited sample sizes and restrictive criteria make it difficult to extrapolate to a broader population. Observational data, while…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Stephanie Riley , Ricardo Silva , Matthew Sperrin

Understanding the effect of a particular treatment or a policy pertains to many areas of interest, ranging from political economics, marketing to healthcare. In this paper, we develop a non-parametric algorithm for detecting the effects of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-24 Davide Viviano , Jelena Bradic

A main research goal in various studies is to use an observational data set and provide a new set of counterfactual guidelines that can yield causal improvements. Dynamic Treatment Regimes (DTRs) are widely studied to formalize this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Soroush Saghafian

Direct effect analyses usually require deciding whether a focal variable is a pre-exposure confounder or a post-exposure mediator. In observational studies, that distinction may be unclear because timing is measured coarsely or the variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-13 AmirEmad Ghassami

Image-based precision medicine aims to personalize treatment decisions based on an individual's unique imaging features so as to improve their clinical outcome. Machine learning frameworks that integrate uncertainty estimation as part of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-11 Joshua Durso-Finley , Jean-Pierre Falet , Raghav Mehta , Douglas L. Arnold , Nick Pawlowski , Tal Arbel

Epidemiological studies are often concerned with estimating causal effects of a sequence of treatment decisions on survival outcomes. In many settings, treatment decisions do not occur at fixed, pre-specified followup times. Rather, timing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-23 Arman Oganisian

We provide new results for nonparametric identification, estimation, and inference of causal effects using `proxy controls': observables that are noisy but informative proxies for unobserved confounding factors. Our analysis applies to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-22 Ben Deaner

There is intense interest in applying machine learning to problems of causal inference in fields such as healthcare, economics and education. In particular, individual-level causal inference has important applications such as precision…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-17 Uri Shalit , Fredrik D. Johansson , David Sontag

Measuring treatment effects in observational studies is challenging because of confounding bias. Confounding occurs when a variable affects both the treatment and the outcome. Traditional methods such as propensity score matching estimate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Bevan I. Smith , Charles Chimedza

In this study, we focus on estimating the heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) for survival outcome. The outcome is subject to censoring and the number of covariates is high-dimensional. We utilize data from both the randomized controlled…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-21 Xin Ye , Shu Yang , Xiaofei Wang , Yanyan Liu

Diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) holds significant importance in clinical diagnosis and neuroscience research. However, conventional model-based fitting methods often suffer from sensitivity to noise, leading to decreased accuracy in…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-05 Jialong Li , Zhicheng Zhang , Yunwei Chen , Qiqi Lu , Ye Wu , Xiaoming Liu , QianJin Feng , Yanqiu Feng , Xinyuan Zhang