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We revisit the classical causal inference problem of estimating the average treatment effect in the presence of fully observed confounding variables using two-stage semiparametric methods. In existing theoretical studies of methods such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-23 Steve Yadlowsky

Causal inference of exact individual treatment outcomes in the presence of hidden confounders is rarely possible. Recent work has extended prediction intervals with finite-sample guarantees to partially identifiable causal outcomes, by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-02 Myrl G. Marmarelis , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan , Fred Morstatter

Machine learning has shown much promise in helping improve the quality of medical, legal, and financial decision-making. In these applications, machine learning models must satisfy two important criteria: (i) they must be causal, since the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-12 Carolyn Kim , Osbert Bastani

Evaluation of treatment effects and more general estimands is typically achieved via parametric modelling, which is unsatisfactory since model misspecification is likely. Data-adaptive model building (e.g. statistical/machine learning) is…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-14 Oliver Hines , Oliver Dukes , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt

Traffic prediction is essential for intelligent transportation systems and urban computing. It aims to establish a relationship between historical traffic data X and future traffic states Y by employing various statistical or deep learning…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Jiahao Ji , Wentao Zhang , Jingyuan Wang , Chao Huang

We apply a Machine Learning technique known as Convolutional Denoising Autoencoder to denoise synthetic images of state-of-the-art radio telescopes, with the goal of detecting the faint, diffused radio sources predicted to characterise the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2021-11-03 Claudio Gheller , Franco Vazza

Unmeasured confounding presents a common challenge in observational studies, potentially making standard causal parameters unidentifiable without additional assumptions. Given the increasing availability of diverse data sources, exploiting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-18 Shanshan Luo , Yechi Zhang , Wei Li

For stochastic models with intractable likelihood functions, approximate Bayesian computation offers a way of approximating the true posterior through repeated comparisons of observations with simulated model outputs in terms of a small set…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-24 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Firat Ozdemir , Fernando Perez-Cruz , Antonietta Mira

Proximal causal learning is a promising framework for identifying the causal effect under the existence of unmeasured confounders. Within this framework, the doubly robust (DR) estimator was derived and has shown its effectiveness in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Yong Wu , Yanwei Fu , Shouyan Wang , Xinwei Sun

Assessing causal effects in the presence of unobserved confounding is a challenging problem. Existing studies leveraged proxy variables or multiple treatments to adjust for the confounding bias. In particular, the latter approach attributes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-17 Yong Wu , Mingzhou Liu , Jing Yan , Yanwei Fu , Shouyan Wang , Yizhou Wang , Xinwei Sun

In an industrial IoT setting, ensuring the quality of sensor data is a must when data-driven algorithms operate on the upper layers of the control system. Unfortunately, the common place in industrial facilities is to find sensor time…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-10-04 Saúl Langarica , Felipe Núñez

This paper introduces a framework specifically designed for sparse and irregular time series {risk estimation}. It is based on a Transformer Autoencoder with local attention, which leverages the powerful pattern identification capabilities…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Panteleimon Rodis

Estimating longitudinal treatment effects is essential for sequential decision-making but is challenging due to treatment-confounder feedback. While Iterative Conditional Expectation (ICE) G-computation offers a principled approach, its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Wenxin Chen , Weishen Pan , Kyra Gan , Fei Wang

Controlled Direct Effect (CDE) is one of the causal estimands used to evaluate both exposure and mediation effects on an outcome. When there are unmeasured confounders existing between the mediator and the outcome, the ordinary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-30 Shunichiro Orihara , Shinpei Imori , Kosuke Morikawa , Atsushi Goto , Masataka Taguri

Causal inference methods based on electronic health record (EHR) databases must simultaneously handle confounding and missing data. Vast scholarship exists aimed at addressing these two issues separately, but surprisingly few papers attempt…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-28 Luke Benz , Alexander Levis , Sebastien Haneuse

State-of-the-art methods for conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation make widespread use of representation learning. Here, the idea is to reduce the variance of the low-sample CATE estimation by a (potentially constrained)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Valentyn Melnychuk , Dennis Frauen , Stefan Feuerriegel

Training data attribution (TDA) techniques find influential training data for the model's prediction on the test data of interest. They approximate the impact of down- or up-weighting a particular training sample. While conceptually useful,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-01 Elisa Nguyen , Minjoon Seo , Seong Joon Oh

Standard imitation learning can fail when the expert demonstrators have different sensory inputs than the imitating agent. This is because partial observability gives rise to hidden confounders in the causal graph. In previous work, to work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-27 Risto Vuorio , Pim de Haan , Johann Brehmer , Hanno Ackermann , Daniel Dijkman , Taco Cohen

We develop an estimator for applications where the variable of interest is endogenous and researchers have access to aggregate instruments. Our method addresses the critical identification challenge -- unobserved confounding, which renders…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-19 Dmitry Arkhangelsky , Vasily Korovkin

This paper proposes a new method for estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATE) in randomized experiments. We adopt inverse probability weighting (IPW) for identification; however, IPW-transformed outcomes are known to be…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-14 Mingqian Guan , Komei Fujita , Naoya Sueishi , Shota Yasui