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The human brain copes with sensory uncertainty in accordance with Bayes' rule. However, it is unknown how the brain makes predictions in the presence of parameter uncertainty. Here, we tested whether and how humans take parameter…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2020-07-01 Jannes Jegminat , Maya Jastrzebowska , Matt Pachai , Michael Herzog , Jean-Pascal Pfister

This article provides a central limit theorem for a consistent estimator of population eigenvalues with large multiplicities based on sample covariance matrices. The focus is on limited sample size situations, whereby the number of…

概率论 · 数学 2011-08-31 Jianfeng Yao , Romain Couillet , Jamal Najim , Merouane Debbah

This paper proposes an optimal policy that targets the average welfare of the worst-off $\alpha$-fraction of the post-treatment outcome distribution. We refer to this policy as the $\alpha$-Expected Welfare Maximization ($\alpha$-EWM) rule,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-02 Yanqin Fan , Yuan Qi , Gaoqian Xu

We derive the unique e-values with optimal (relative) growth rate in the worst case for testing the mean of a bounded random variable, hereby contributing with the first application beyond the assumption of mutually absolutely continuous…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-19 Sebastian Arnold , Eugenio Clerico

We consider component-wise estimation of order restricted location/scale parameters $\theta_1$ and $\theta_2$ ($\theta_1\leq \theta_2$) of a general bivariate distribution under the squared error loss function. To find improvements over the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-05 Naresh Garg , Neeraj Misra

Design of experiments, random search, initialization of population-based methods, or sampling inside an epoch of an evolutionary algorithm use a sample drawn according to some probability distribution for approximating the location of an…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-04-27 Laurent Meunier , Carola Doerr , Jeremy Rapin , Olivier Teytaud

This article addresses the problem of estimating the population mean in the presence of auxiliary information when study variable itself is qualitative in nature. Bias and mean squared error (MSE) expressions of the class of estimators are…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-12 Rajesh Singh , Prayas Sharma

We consider the classical problem of learning, with arbitrary accuracy, the natural parameters of a $k$-parameter truncated \textit{minimal} exponential family from i.i.d. samples in a computationally and statistically efficient manner. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-13 Abhin Shah , Devavrat Shah , Gregory W. Wornell

We consider the problem of estimating a random state vector when there is information about the maximum distances between its subvectors. The estimation problem is posed in a Bayesian framework in which the minimum mean square error (MMSE)…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-30 Dave Zachariah , Isaac Skog , Magnus Jansson , Peter Händel

In this paper, we explicitly derive unbiased estimators for various functions of the rate parameter of the exponential distribution in the absence of a location parameter, including powers of the rate parameter, the $q$th quantile, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-28 Roberto Vila , Eduardo Yoshio Nakano

In this article we have suggested an improved estimator for estimating the population mean in simple random sampling using auxiliary information under the presence of measurement errors. The mean square error (MSE) of the proposed estimator…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-12-05 Sachin Malik , Jayant Singh , Rajesh Singh

Let $\pi_1$ and $\pi_2$ be two independent populations, where the population $\pi_i$ follows a bivariate normal distribution with unknown mean vector $\boldsymbol{\theta}^{(i)}$ and common known variance-covariance matrix $\Sigma$, $i=1,2$.…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-29 Mohd. Arshad , Omer Abdalghani , Kalu Ram Meena

Our recently developed "unbiased" extremum seeking (uES) algorithms ensure perfect convergence to the optimum at a user-assigned exponential rate or, more powerfully, within a user-prescribed time. Unlike classical approach, these…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-08-01 Cemal Tugrul Yilmaz , Mamadou Diagne , Miroslav Krstic

This paper investigates estimation of the mean vector under invariant quadratic loss for a spherically symmetric location family with a residual vector with density of the form $ f(x,u)=\eta^{(p+n)/2}f(\eta\{\|x-\theta\|^2+\|u\|^2\}) $,…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-10 Yuzo Maruyama , William E. Strawderman

Incorporating a non-Euclidean variable metric to first-order algorithms is known to bring enhancement. However, due to the lack of an optimal choice, such an enhancement appears significantly underestimated. In this work, we establish a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-11-21 Yifan Ran

In this paper, we study the classical problem of estimating the proportion of a finite population. First, we consider a fixed sample size method and derive an explicit sample size formula which ensures a mixed criterion of absolute and…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-02-03 Xinjia Chen

The unit selection problem is to identify a group of individuals who are most likely to exhibit a desired mode of behavior, for example, selecting individuals who would respond one way if incentivized and a different way if not. The unit…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Ang Li , Song Jiang , Yizhou Sun , Judea Pearl

This paper considers a distributed adaptive optimization problem, where all agents only have access to their local cost functions with a common unknown parameter, whereas they mean to collaboratively estimate the true parameter and find the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-03 Yaqun Yang , Jinlong Lei , Guanghui Wen , Yiguang Hong

We develop a general framework for proving rigorous guarantees on the performance of the EM algorithm and a variant known as gradient EM. Our analysis is divided into two parts: a treatment of these algorithms at the population level (in…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-08-12 Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Martin J. Wainwright , Bin Yu

Parameters of sub-populations can be more relevant than super-population ones. For example, a healthcare provider may be interested in the effect of a treatment plan for a specific subset of their patients; policymakers may be concerned…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-22 Ying Jin , Dominik Rothenhäusler