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Deep Learning (DL) methods have emerged as one of the most powerful tools for functional approximation and prediction. While the representation properties of DL have been well studied, uncertainty quantification remains challenging and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-25 Yuexi Wang , Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim O. Sokolov

Financial forecasting is a difficult task due to the intrinsic complexity of the financial system. In the present paper we relate our experience using neural nets as financial time series forecast method. In particular we show that a neural…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Filippo Castiglione

MAE, MSE and RMSE performance indicators are used to analyze the performance of different stocks predicted by LSTM and ARIMA models in this paper. 50 listed company stocks from finance.yahoo.com are selected as the research object in the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-09-07 Ruochen Xiao , Yingying Feng , Lei Yan , Yihan Ma

Deep Learning is applied to energy markets to predict extreme loads observed in energy grids. Forecasting energy loads and prices is challenging due to sharp peaks and troughs that arise due to supply and demand fluctuations from intraday…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-11 Michael Polson , Vadim Sokolov

This study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Large Language Model (LLM) with a Transformer architecture for stock price forecasting. The research addresses a critical theoretical gap in existing approaches…

This paper presents a comparative analysis evaluating the accuracy of Large Language Models (LLMs) against traditional macro time series forecasting approaches. In recent times, LLMs have surged in popularity for forecasting due to their…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-25 Andrea Carriero , Davide Pettenuzzo , Shubhranshu Shekhar

This paper explores the use of deep residual networks for pricing European options on Petrobras, one of the world's largest oil and gas producers, and compares its performance with the Black-Scholes (BS) model. Using eight years of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-04-30 Joao Felipe Gueiros , Hemanth Chandravamsi , Steven H. Frankel

Financial forecasting is an example of a signal processing problem which is challenging due to Small sample sizes, high noise, non-stationarity, and non-linearity,but fast forecasting of stock market price is very important for strategic…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2015-03-13 Arka Ghosh

In this study, the performance of various predictive models, including probabilistic baseline, CNN, LSTM, and finetuned LLMs, in forecasting merchant categories from financial transaction data have been evaluated. Utilizing datasets from…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Halil Ibrahim Ergul , Selim Balcisoy , Burcin Bozkaya

Recent progress in the field of artificial intelligence, machine learning and also in computer industry resulted in the ongoing boom of using these techniques as applied to solving complex tasks in both science and industry. Same is, of…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-06-11 A Itkin

Trend following and momentum investing are common strategies employed by asset managers. Even though they can be helpful in the proper situations, they are limited in the sense that they work just by looking at past, as if we were driving…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-07-19 Fernando Berzal , Alberto Garcia

Deep learning based forecasting methods have become the methods of choice in many applications of time series prediction or forecasting often outperforming other approaches. Consequently, over the last years, these methods are now…

Forecasting stock prices can be interpreted as a time series prediction problem, for which Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks are often used due to their architecture specifically built to solve such problems. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-14 Akash Doshi , Alexander Issa , Puneet Sachdeva , Sina Rafati , Somnath Rakshit

There are inefficiencies in financial markets, with unexploited patterns in price, volume, and cross-sectional relationships. While many approaches use large-scale transformers, we take a domain-focused path: feed-forward and recurrent…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-10-15 Sid Ghatak , Arman Khaledian , Navid Parvini , Nariman Khaledian

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have become vital to remain competitive for financial services companies around the globe. The two models currently competing for the pole position in credit risk management are deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-24 Marc Schmitt

We applied Deep Q-Network with a Convolutional Neural Network function approximator, which takes stock chart images as input, for making global stock market predictions. Our model not only yields profit in the stock market of the country…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2019-11-27 Jinho Lee , Raehyun Kim , Yookyung Koh , Jaewoo Kang

Deep Learning and transfer learning models are being used to generate time series forecasts; however, there is scarce evidence about their performance prediction that it is more evident for monthly time series. The purpose of this paper is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-12 Martín Solís , Luis-Alexander Calvo-Valverde

This paper comprehensively reviews the application of machine learning (ML) and AI in finance, specifically in the context of asset pricing. It starts by summarizing the traditional asset pricing models and examining their limitations in…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-03-12 Junyi Ye , Bhaskar Goswami , Jingyi Gu , Ajim Uddin , Guiling Wang

We model short-duration (e.g. day) trading in financial markets as a sequential decision-making problem under uncertainty, with the added complication of continual concept-drift. We, therefore, employ meta reinforcement learning via the RL2…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-02-20 S I Harini , Gautam Shroff , Ashwin Srinivasan , Prayushi Faldu , Lovekesh Vig

Financial news contains useful information on public companies and the market. In this paper we apply the popular word embedding methods and deep neural networks to leverage financial news to predict stock price movements in the market.…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2015-06-25 Yangtuo Peng , Hui Jiang