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For any financial organization, computing accurate quarterly forecasts for various products is one of the most critical operations. As the granularity at which forecasts are needed increases, traditional statistical time series models may…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-28 Allison Koenecke , Amita Gajewar

This study enhances a Deep Q-Network (DQN) trading model by incorporating advanced techniques like Prioritized Experience Replay, Regularized Q-Learning, Noisy Networks, Dueling, and Double DQN. Extensive tests on assets like BTC/USD and…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-21 Gang Hu

This paper presents a method for time series forecasting with deep learning and its assessment on two datasets. The method starts with data preparation, followed by model training and evaluation. The final step is a visual inspection.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-24 Gissel Velarde

The task of financial analysis primarily encompasses two key areas: stock trend prediction and the corresponding financial question answering. Currently, machine learning and deep learning algorithms (ML&DL) have been widely applied for…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-03-20 Xiang Li , Zhenyu Li , Chen Shi , Yong Xu , Qing Du , Mingkui Tan , Jun Huang , Wei Lin

Accurate stock market predictions following earnings reports are crucial for investors. Traditional methods, particularly classical machine learning models, struggle with these predictions because they cannot effectively process and…

Stock market prediction has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention from both economists and computer scientists. With the purpose of building an effective prediction model, both linear and machine learning tools have…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-13 Weiwei Jiang

We predict asset returns and measure risk premia using a prominent technique from artificial intelligence -- deep sequence modeling. Because asset returns often exhibit sequential dependence that may not be effectively captured by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-23 Lin William Cong , Ke Tang , Jingyuan Wang , Yang Zhang

In this work we present a data-driven end-to-end Deep Learning approach for time series prediction, applied to financial time series. A Deep Learning scheme is derived to predict the temporal trends of stocks and ETFs in NYSE or NASDAQ. Our…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2017-11-15 Ariel Navon , Yosi Keller

Economy is severely dependent on the stock market. An uptrend usually corresponds to prosperity while a downtrend correlates to recession. Predicting the stock market has thus been a centre of research and experiment for a long time. Being…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-11-15 Shayan Halder

For a long-time, researchers have been developing a reliable and accurate predictive model for stock price prediction. According to the literature, if predictive models are correctly designed and refined, they can painstakingly and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-12-24 Ananda Chatterjee , Hrisav Bhowmick , Jaydip Sen

This research systematically develops and evaluates various hybrid modeling approaches by combining traditional econometric models (ARIMA and ARFIMA models) with machine learning and deep learning techniques (SVM, XGBoost, and LSTM models)…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-05-27 Dominik Stempień , Robert Ślepaczuk

The growing number of pretrained models in Machine Learning (ML) presents significant challenges for practitioners. Given a new dataset, they need to determine the most suitable deep learning (DL) pipeline, consisting of the pretrained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Fabio Ferreira

Although conventional machine learning algorithms have been widely adopted for stock-price predictions in recent years, the massive volume of specific labeled data required are not always available. In contrast, meta-learning technology…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-18 Shin-Hung Chang , Cheng-Wen Hsu , Hsing-Ying Li , Wei-Sheng Zeng , Jan-Ming Ho

Using a large-scale Deep Learning approach applied to a high-frequency database containing billions of electronic market quotes and transactions for US equities, we uncover nonparametric evidence for the existence of a universal and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-03-20 Justin Sirignano , Rama Cont

Algorithmic trading relies on extracting meaningful signals from diverse financial data sources, including candlestick charts, order statistics on put and canceled orders, traded volume data, limit order books, and news flow. While deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Kasymkhan Khubiev , Mikhail Semenov

Deep learning has been actively applied to time series forecasting, leading to a deluge of new methods, belonging to the class of historical-value models. Yet, despite the attractive properties of time-index models, such as being able to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-18 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Akshat Kumar , Steven Hoi

Building predictive models for robust and accurate prediction of stock prices and stock price movement is a challenging research problem to solve. The well-known efficient market hypothesis believes in the impossibility of accurate…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-10-12 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab

This paper contributes to the literature on parametric demand estimation by using deep learning to model consumer preferences. Traditional econometric methods often struggle with limited within-product price variation, a challenge addressed…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-16 Kirill Safonov

Midterm stock price prediction is crucial for value investments in the stock market. However, most deep learning models are essentially short-term and applying them to midterm predictions encounters large cumulative errors because they…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-08-06 Xinyi Li , Yinchuan Li , Xiao-Yang Liu , Christina Dan Wang

With increasing competition and pace in the financial markets, robust forecasting methods are becoming more and more valuable to investors. While machine learning algorithms offer a proven way of modeling non-linearities in time series,…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-07-09 Lukas Ryll , Sebastian Seidens