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Functional data analysis, which models data as realizations of random functions over a continuum, has emerged as a useful tool for time series data. Often, the goal is to infer the dynamic connections (or time-varying conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Chunshan Liu , Daniel R. Kowal , James Doss-Gollin , Marina Vannucci

We develop a method for reconstructing regulatory interconnection networks between variables evolving according to a linear dynamical system. The work is motivated by the problem of gene regulatory network inference, that is, finding causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-19 Atte Aalto , Jorge Goncalves

Implementing Bayesian variable selection for linear Gaussian regression models for analysing high dimensional data sets is of current interest in many fields. In order to make such analysis operational, we propose a new sampling algorithm…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-02-16 Leonardo Bottolo , Sylvia Richardson

We propose a variance-penalized formulation of Bayesian optimal experimental design for nonlinear models that augments the classical expected utility criterion with a penalty on utility variability, yielding a mean--variance objective that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Wanggang Shen , Xun Huan

Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) seeks to maximize the expected information gain (EIG) of experiments. This requires a likelihood estimate, which in many settings is intractable. Simulation-based inference (SBI) provides powerful…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Samuel Klein , Willie Neiswanger , Daniel Ratner , Michael Kagan , Sean Gasiorowski

In this work, we developed a new Bayesian method for variable selection in function-on-scalar regression (FOSR). Our method uses a hierarchical Bayesian structure and latent variables to enable an adaptive covariate selection process for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Pedro Henrique T. O. Sousa , Camila P. E. de Souza , Ronaldo Dias

We present a theoretical application of an optimal experiment design (OED) methodology to the development of mathematical models to describe the stimulus-response relationship of sensory neurons. Although there are a few related studies in…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2016-10-19 R. Ozgur Doruk , Kechen Zhang

Dynamic flux balance analysis of a bioreactor is based on the coupling between a dynamic problem, which models the evolution of biomass, feeding substrates and metabolites, and a linear program, which encodes the metabolic activity inside…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-07-07 Roberta Ghezzi , Benedetto Piccoli

Randomized controlled experiments assess new policy impacts on performance metrics to inform launch decisions. Traditional approaches evaluate metrics independently despite correlations, and mixed results (e.g., positive revenue impact,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-29 Hoiyi Ng , Guido Imbens

Bayesian experimental design (BED) provides a principled framework for optimizing data collection by choosing experiments that are maximally informative about unknown parameters. However, existing methods cannot deal with the joint…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-30 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Sahel Iqbal , Simo Särkkä , Dominik Baumann

Considering the context of functional data analysis, we developed and applied a new Bayesian approach via Gibbs sampler to select basis functions for a finite representation of functional data. The proposed methodology uses Bernoulli latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-13 Pedro Henrique T. O. Sousa , Camila P. E. de Souza , Ronaldo Dias

The generation of decision-theoretic Bayesian optimal designs is complicated by the significant computational challenge of minimising an analytically intractable expected loss function over a, potentially, high-dimensional design space. A…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-07 Antony M. Overstall , James M. McGree , Christopher C. Drovandi

Model-based reinforcement learning is a powerful tool, but collecting data to fit an accurate model of the system can be costly. Exploring an unknown environment in a sample-efficient manner is hence of great importance. However, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-27 Matthieu Blanke , Marc Lelarge

Data generated from dynamical systems with unknown dynamics enable the learning of state observers that are: robust to modeling error, computationally tractable to design, and capable of operating with guaranteed performance. In this paper,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-06-28 Ankush Chakrabarty , Mouhacine Benosman

Complex models used to describe biological processes in epidemiology and ecology often have computationally intractable or expensive likelihoods. This poses significant challenges in terms of Bayesian inference but more significantly in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-12 Mahasen Dehideniya , Antony M. Overstall , Chris C. Drovandi , James M. McGree

In this study, we demonstrate a sequential experimental design for spectral measurements by active learning using parametric models as predictors. In spectral measurements, it is necessary to reduce the measurement time because of sample…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-15 Tomohiro Nabika , Kenji Nagata , Shun Katakami , Masaichiro Mizumaki , Masato Okada

This article focuses on the estimation and design aspects of a bivariate collocated cokriging experiment. For a large class of covariance matrices, a linear dependency criterion is identified, which allows the best linear unbiased estimator…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-15 Subhadra Dasgupta , Siuli Mukhopadhyay , Jonathan Keith

Our paper deals with inferring simulator-based statistical models given some observed data. A simulator-based model is a parametrized mechanism which specifies how data are generated. It is thus also referred to as generative model. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-01-01 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

In the context of a high-dimensional linear regression model, we propose the use of an empirical correlation-adaptive prior that makes use of information in the observed predictor variable matrix to adaptively address high collinearity,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-04 Chang Liu , Yue Yang , Howard Bondell , Ryan Martin

Model-based experimental design is attracting increasing attention in chemical process engineering. Typically, an iterative procedure is pursued: an approximate model is devised, prescribed experiments are then performed and the resulting…

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