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Unobserved confounding is one of the greatest challenges for causal discovery. The case in which unobserved variables have a widespread effect on many of the observed ones is particularly difficult because most pairs of variables are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-05-26 Alexis Bellot , Mihaela van der Schaar

The feed-forward relationship naturally observed in time-dependent processes and in a diverse number of real systems -such as some food-webs and electronic and neural wiring- can be described in terms of so-called directed acyclic graphs…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Joaquín Goñi , Bernat Corominas-Murtra , Ricard V. Solé , Carlos Rodríguez-Caso

We analyze the identifiability of directed acyclic graphs in the case of partial excitation and measurement. We consider an additive model where the nonlinear functions located in the edges depend only on a past input, and we analyze the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-09-06 Renato Vizuete , Julien M. Hendrickx

Selective conformal prediction can yield substantially tighter uncertainty sets when we can identify calibration examples that are exchangeable with the test example. In interventional settings, such as perturbation experiments in genomics,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Amir Asiaee , Kavey Aryan , James P. Long

We consider the problem of learning causal networks with interventions, when each intervention is limited in size under Pearl's Structural Equation Model with independent errors (SEM-IE). The objective is to minimize the number of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-11-03 Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Murat Kocaoglu , Alexandros G. Dimakis , Sriram Vishwanath

This paper deals with the estimation of exogeneous peer effects for partially observed networks under the new inferential paradigm of design identification, which characterizes the missing data challenge arising with sampled networks with…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-08-22 Mamadou Yauck

Randomized Controlled Trials are one of the pillars of science; nevertheless, they rely on hand-crafted hypotheses and expensive analysis. Such constraints prevent causal effect estimation at scale, potentially anchoring on popular yet…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-07 Tommaso Mencattini , Riccardo Cadei , Francesco Locatello

This paper describes a new algorithm to solve the decision making problem in Influence Diagrams based on algorithms for credal networks. Decision nodes are associated to imprecise probability distributions and a reformulation is introduced…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-06-18 Cassio Polpo de Campos , Qiang Ji

This article introduces a causal discovery method to learn nonlinear relationships in a directed acyclic graph with correlated Gaussian errors due to confounding. First, we derive model identifiability under the sublinear growth assumption.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-01 Chunlin Li , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

Methods for inferring average causal effects have traditionally relied on two key assumptions: (i) the intervention received by one unit cannot causally influence the outcome of another; and (ii) units can be organized into non-overlapping…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-23 Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , Isabel Fulcher , Ilya Shpitser

We investigate the problem of statistical inference for logistic regression with high-dimensional covariates in settings where dependence among individuals is induced by an underlying Markov random field. Going beyond the pairwise…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-23 Josh Miles , Sohom Bhattacharya

This paper addresses the problem of data-driven model discrimination for unknown switched systems with unknown linear temporal logic (LTL) specifications, representing tasks, that govern their mode sequences, where only sampled data of the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-06-19 Zeyuan Jin , Nasim Baharisangari , Zhe Xu , Sze Zheng Yong

We consider graphs that represent pairwise marginal independencies amongst a set of variables (for instance, the zero entries of a covariance matrix for normal data). We characterize the directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) that faithfully…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-08-04 Johannes Textor , Alexander Idelberger , Maciej Liśkiewicz

The ability to conduct interventions plays a pivotal role in learning causal relationships among variables, thus facilitating applications across diverse scientific disciplines such as genomics, economics, and machine learning. However, in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-04 Abhinav Kumar , Kirankumar Shiragur , Caroline Uhler

This study considers testing the specification of spillover effects in causal inference. We focus on experimental settings in which the treatment assignment mechanism is known to researchers. We develop a new randomization test utilizing a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-27 Tadao Hoshino , Takahide Yanagi

Estimating the unknown causal dependencies among graph-connected time series plays an important role in many applications, such as sensor network analysis, signal processing over cyber-physical systems, and finance engineering. Inference of…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-02 Rohan Money , Joshin Krishnan , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Our aim is to detect mechanistic interaction between the effects of two causal factors on a binary response, as an aid to identifying situations where the effects are mediated by a common mechanism. We propose a formalization of mechanistic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-23 Carlo Berzuini , A. Philip Dawid

Causal discovery and inference from observational data is an essential problem in statistics posing both modeling and computational challenges. These are typically addressed by imposing strict assumptions on the joint distribution such as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-20 Enrico Giudice , Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

Deploying deep neural networks for risk-sensitive tasks necessitates an uncertainty estimation mechanism. This paper introduces hierarchical selective classification, extending selective classification to a hierarchical setting. Our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Shani Goren , Ido Galil , Ran El-Yaniv

We consider the problem of estimating causal DAG models from a mix of observational and interventional data, when the intervention targets are partially or completely unknown. This problem is highly relevant for example in genomics, since…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-23 Chandler Squires , Yuhao Wang , Caroline Uhler