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Mechanistic models of single-neuron dynamics have been extensively studied in computational neuroscience. However, identifying which models can quantitatively reproduce empirically measured data has been challenging. We propose to overcome…

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) can be viewed as an analytic approximation of an intractable likelihood coupled with an elementary simulation step. Such a view, combined with a suitable instrumental prior distribution permits…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-01-04 F. J. Rubio , Adam M. Johansen

The abundance of galaxy clusters as a function of mass and redshift is a well-established and powerful cosmological probe. Cosmological analyses based on galaxy cluster number counts have traditionally relied on explicitly computed…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-04-15 Íñigo Zubeldia , Boris Bolliet , Anthony Challinor , William Handley

Likelihood-free (a.k.a. simulation-based) inference problems are inverse problems with expensive, or intractable, forward models. ODE inverse problems are commonly treated as likelihood-free, as their forward map has to be numerically…

Parametric statistical models that are implicitly defined in terms of a stochastic data generating process are used in a wide range of scientific disciplines because they enable accurate modeling. However, learning the parameters from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-24 Traiko Dinev , Michael U. Gutmann

Approaches to Bayesian inference for problems with intractable likelihoods have become increasingly important in recent years. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) and "likelihood free" Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques are popular…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-10-03 Jamie Owen , Darren J. Wilkinson , Colin S. Gillespie

The likelihood-free sequential Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) algorithms, are increasingly popular inference tools for complex biological models. Such algorithms proceed by constructing a succession of probability distributions over…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-10-12 Daniel Silk , Saran Filippi , Michael P. H. Stumpf

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is commonly used for parameter estimation and model comparison for intractable simulator-based models whose likelihood function cannot be evaluated. In this paper we instead investigate the feasibility…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Marko Järvenpää , Jukka Corander

Accurate redshift calibration is required to obtain unbiased cosmological information from large-scale galaxy surveys. In a forward modelling approach, the redshift distribution n(z) of a galaxy sample is measured using a parametric galaxy…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2024-05-13 Beatrice Moser , Tomasz Kacprzak , Silvan Fischbacher , Alexandre Refregier , Dominic Grimm , Luca Tortorelli

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are commonly used to approximate posterior distributions in models with unknown or computationally intractable likelihoods. Classical ABC methods are based on nearest neighbor type algorithms…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Meili Baragatti , Casenave Céline , Bertrand Cloez , David Métivier , Isabelle Sanchez

Weak lensing convergence can be used directly to map and probe the dark mass distribution in the universe. Building on earlier studies, we recall how the statistics of the convergence field are related to the statistics of the underlying…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Andrew J. Barber , Dipak Munshi , Patrick Valageas

Powerful current and future cosmological constraints using high precision measurements of the large-scale structure of galaxies and its weak gravitational lensing effects rely on accurate characterization of the redshift distributions of…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2018-12-05 Carles Sánchez , Gary M. Bernstein

Precise cosmological inference from next-generation weak lensing surveys requires extracting non-Gaussian information beyond standard two-point statistics. We present a hybrid machine-learning (ML) framework that integrates field-level…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2026-05-19 Jiacheng Ding , Chen Su , Ji Yao , Le Zhang , Huanyuan Shan

Tree-based priors for probability distributions are usually specified using a predetermined, data-independent collection of candidate recursive partitions of the sample space. To characterize an unknown target density in detail over the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Li Ma , Benedetta Bruni

We consider the system identification problem of estimating a dynamical parameter of a Markovian quantum open system (the atom maser), by performing continuous time measurements in the system's output (outgoing atoms). Two estimation…

量子物理 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Catalin Catana , Theodore Kypraios , Madalin Guta

This preprint has been reviewed and recommended by Peer Community In Evolutionary Biology (http://dx.doi.org/10.24072/pci.evolbiol.100036). Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has grown into a standard methodology that manages Bayesian…

In this paper we develop a likelihood-free approach for population calibration, which involves finding distributions of model parameters when fed through the model produces a set of outputs that matches available population data. Unlike…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-07 Christopher Drovandi , Brodie Lawson , Adrianne L Jenner , Alexander P Browning

Performing exact posterior inference in complex generative models is often difficult or impossible due to an expensive to evaluate or intractable likelihood function. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is an inference framework that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-02-16 Jovana Mitrovic , Dino Sejdinovic , Yee Whye Teh

We develop a new method of combining cluster observables (number counts and cluster-cluster correlation functions) and stacked weak lensing signals of background galaxy shapes, both of which are available in a wide-field optical imaging…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-03-17 Masamune Oguri , Masahiro Takada

Bayesian analysis has become an indispensable tool across many different cosmological fields including the study of gravitational waves, the Cosmic Microwave Background and the 21-cm signal from the Cosmic Dawn among other phenomena. The…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2023-12-19 Harry T. J. Bevins , William J. Handley , Pablo Lemos , Peter H. Sims , Eloy de Lera Acedo , Anastasia Fialkov , Justin Alsing