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Many statistical models in cosmology can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihood functions. Likelihood-free inference methods allow us to perform Bayesian inference from these models using only forward simulations, free from…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2018-04-11 Justin Alsing , Benjamin Wandelt , Stephen Feeney

Likelihood-free inference provides a framework for performing rigorous Bayesian inference using only forward simulations, properly accounting for all physical and observational effects that can be successfully included in the simulations.…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2019-07-24 Justin Alsing , Tom Charnock , Stephen Feeney , Benjamin Wandelt

Many statistical models can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihoods. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are used to infer properties of these models from data. Traditionally these methods approximate the posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-04-03 George Papamakarios , Iain Murray

In many cosmological inference problems, the likelihood (the probability of the observed data as a function of the unknown parameters) is unknown or intractable. This necessitates approximations and assumptions, which can lead to incorrect…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2020-12-02 Niall Jeffrey , Justin Alsing , François Lanusse

Density-estimation likelihood-free inference (DELFI) has recently been proposed as an efficient method for simulation-based cosmological parameter inference. Compared to the standard likelihood-based Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2019-07-30 Peter L. Taylor , Thomas D. Kitching , Justin Alsing , Benjamin D. Wandelt , Stephen M. Feeney , Jason D. McEwen

Many cosmological models have only a finite number of parameters of interest, but a very expensive data-generating process and an intractable likelihood function. We address the problem of performing likelihood-free Bayesian inference from…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2018-09-14 Florent Leclercq

Cosmological inference becomes increasingly difficult when complex data-generating processes cannot be modeled by simple probability distributions. With the ever-increasing size of data sets in cosmology, there is increasing burden placed…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-05 Anja Weyant , Chad Schafer , W. Michael Wood-Vasey

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods, which are applicable when the likelihood is difficult or impossible to calculate, are an active topic of current research. Most current ABC algorithms directly approximate the posterior…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-12-10 Y. Fan , D. J. Nott , S. A. Sisson

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a popular computational method for likelihood-free Bayesian inference. The term "likelihood-free" refers to problems where the likelihood is intractable to compute or estimate directly, but where it…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-21 Stuart Barber , Jochen Voss , Mark Webster

Likelihood-free inference for simulator-based statistical models has developed rapidly from its infancy to a useful tool for practitioners. However, models with more than a handful of parameters still generally remain a challenge for the…

When the likelihood is analytically unavailable and computationally intractable, approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has emerged as a widely used methodology for approximate posterior inference; however, it suffers from severe…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-08 Wenhui Sophia Lu , Wing Hung Wong

Many models of interest in the natural and social sciences have no closed-form likelihood function, which means that they cannot be treated using the usual techniques of statistical inference. In the case where such models can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-07-19 Simon Barthelmé , Nicolas Chopin

Bayesian inference is often used in cosmology and astrophysics to derive constraints on model parameters from observations. This approach relies on the ability to compute the likelihood of the data given a choice of model parameters. In…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-09-16 Joel Akeret , Alexandre Refregier , Adam Amara , Sebastian Seehars , Caspar Hasner

We propose a new, likelihood-free approach to inferring the primordial matter power spectrum and cosmological parameters from arbitrarily complex forward models of galaxy surveys where all relevant statistics can be determined from…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2019-10-09 Florent Leclercq , Wolfgang Enzi , Jens Jasche , Alan Heavens

Likelihood-free methods are useful for parameter estimation of complex models with intractable likelihood functions for which it is easy to simulate data. Such models are prevalent in many disciplines including genetics, biology, ecology…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Christopher Drovandi , David T Frazier

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) enables parameter inference for complex physical systems in cases where the true likelihood function is unknown, unavailable, or computationally too expensive. It relies on the forward simulation of…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2019-08-13 E. E. O. Ishida , S. D. P. Vitenti , M. Penna-Lima , J. Cisewski , R. S. de Souza , A. M. M. Trindade , E. Cameron , V. C. Busti

Weak gravitational lensing is one of the few direct methods to map the dark-matter distribution on large scales in the Universe, and to estimate cosmological parameters. We study a Bayesian inference problem where the data covariance…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2023-03-01 Martin Kilbinger , Emille E. O. Ishida , Jessi Cisewski-Kehe

Bayesian inference is a principled framework for dealing with uncertainty. The practitioner can perform an initial assumption for the physical phenomenon they want to model (prior belief), collect some data and then adjust the initial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-10 Vasileios Gkolemis , Michael Gutmann

Likelihood-free methods perform parameter inference in stochastic simulator models where evaluating the likelihood is intractable but sampling synthetic data is possible. One class of methods for this likelihood-free problem uses a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-21 Conor Durkan , Iain Murray , George Papamakarios

Bayesian Likelihood-Free Inference (LFI) approaches allow to obtain posterior distributions for stochastic models with intractable likelihood, by relying on model simulations. In Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC), a popular LFI method,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-08 Lorenzo Pacchiardi , Ritabrata Dutta
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