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Reliable uncertainty quantification is a first step towards building explainable, transparent, and accountable artificial intelligent systems. Recent progress in Bayesian deep learning has made such quantification realizable. In this paper,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-11-20 Yijun Xiao , William Yang Wang

Deep neural networks can be roughly divided into deterministic neural networks and stochastic neural networks.The former is usually trained to achieve a mapping from input space to output space via maximum likelihood estimation for the…

\textit{Graph neural networks} (GNNs) are effective models for many dynamical systems consisting of entities and relations. Although most GNN applications assume a single type of entity and relation, many situations involve multiple types…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-12 Ferran Alet , Erica Weng , Tomás Lozano Pérez , Leslie Pack Kaelbling

Neural processes are a family of probabilistic models that inherit the flexibility of neural networks to parameterize stochastic processes. Despite providing well-calibrated predictions, especially in regression problems, and quick…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-04 Peiman Mohseni , Nick Duffield , Bani Mallick , Arman Hasanzadeh

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have emerged as powerful representation learning tools for capturing complex dependencies within diverse graph-structured data. Despite their success in a wide range of graph mining tasks, GNNs have raised…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-19 Wenzhao Jiang , Hao Liu , Hui Xiong

Convolutional dictionary learning (CDL), the problem of estimating shift-invariant templates from data, is typically conducted in the absence of a prior/structure on the templates. In data-scarce or low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) regimes,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-29 Andrew H. Song , Bahareh Tolooshams , Demba Ba

Modelling uncertainty in Machine Learning models is essential for achieving safe and reliable predictions. Most research on uncertainty focuses on output uncertainty (predictions), but minimal attention is paid to uncertainty at inputs. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-28 Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Marco Zullich

Obtaining reliable uncertainty estimates of neural network predictions is a long standing challenge. Bayesian neural networks have been proposed as a solution, but it remains open how to specify their prior. In particular, the common…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-02 Danijar Hafner , Dustin Tran , Timothy Lillicrap , Alex Irpan , James Davidson

As a main field of artificial intelligence, natural language processing (NLP) has achieved remarkable success via deep neural networks. Plenty of NLP tasks have been addressed in a unified manner, with various tasks being associated with…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-06-08 Mengting Hu , Zhen Zhang , Shiwan Zhao , Minlie Huang , Bingzhe Wu

Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets, GFNs) are a generative framework for learning unnormalized probability mass functions over discrete spaces. Since their inception, GFlowNets have proven to be useful for learning generative models in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-17 Lazar Atanackovic , Emmanuel Bengio

Multi-modal learning focuses on training models by equally combining multiple input data modalities during the prediction process. However, this equal combination can be detrimental to the prediction accuracy because different modalities…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-07-25 Hu Wang , Jianpeng Zhang , Yuanhong Chen , Congbo Ma , Jodie Avery , Louise Hull , Gustavo Carneiro

The concept of world models has garnered significant attention due to advancements in multimodal large language models such as GPT-4 and video generation models such as Sora, which are central to the pursuit of artificial general…

Gaussian Process (GP) models are popular tools in uncertainty quantification (UQ) because they purport to furnish functional uncertainty estimates that can be used to represent model uncertainty. It is often difficult to state with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-22 Carlo Graziani , Marieme Ngom

Neural operators aim to approximate the solution operator of a system of differential equations purely from data. They have shown immense success in modeling complex dynamical systems across various domains. However, the occurrence of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

Uncertainty estimations for machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) are crucial for quantifying model error and identifying informative training samples in active learning strategies. In this study, we evaluate uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-10 Matthias Holzenkamp , Dongyu Lyu , Ulrich Kleinekathöfer , Peter Zaspel

Gaussian processes (GPs) are nonparametric priors over functions. Fitting a GP implies computing a posterior distribution of functions consistent with the observed data. Similarly, deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) should allow us to compute a…

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Country instability is a global issue, with unpredictably high levels of instability thwarting socio-economic growth and possibly causing a slew of negative consequences. As a result, uncertainty prediction models for a country are becoming…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Adam Zebrowski , Haithem Afli

Feedforward Convolutional Neural Networks (ffCNNs) have become state-of-the-art models both in computer vision and neuroscience. However, human-like performance of ffCNNs does not necessarily imply human-like computations. Previous studies…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2020-04-29 Adrien Doerig , Alban Bornet , Oh-Hyeon Choung , Micahel H. Herzog

The accelerating shift toward low and ultra-low fertility has intensified the debate over whether countries now undergoing rapid decline are approaching stabilization or entering a more persistent low-fertility regime. Existing projection…