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Motivated by recent progress in data assimilation, we develop an algorithm to dynamically learn the parameters of a chaotic system from partial observations. Under reasonable assumptions, we rigorously establish the convergence of this…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2021-08-20 Elizabeth Carlson , Joshua Hudson , Adam Larios , Vincent R. Martinez , Eunice Ng , Jared P. Whitehead

We consider the parameter estimation of Markov chain when the unknown transition matrix belongs to an exponential family of transition matrices. Then, we show that the sample mean of the generator of the exponential family is an…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-28 Masahito Hayashi , Shun Watanabe

We propose a novel iterative algorithm for estimating a deterministic but unknown parameter vector in the presence of model uncertainties. This iterative algorithm is based on a system model where an overall noise term describes both, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Michael Lunglmayr , Mario Huemer

In probabilistic program analysis, quantitative analysis aims at deriving tight numerical bounds for probabilistic properties such as expectation and assertion probability. Most previous works consider numerical bounds over the whole…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Tengshun Yang , Shenghua Feng , Hongfei Fu , Naijun Zhan , Jingyu Ke , Shiyang Wu

This paper focuses on variable selection for a partially linear single-index varying-coefficient model. A regularized variable selection procedure by combining basis function approximations with SCAD penalty is proposed. It can…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-19 Lijuan Han , Liugen Xue , Junshan Xie

Piecewise Aggregate Approximation (PAA) is a competitive basic dimension reduction method for high-dimensional time series mining. When deployed, however, the limitations are obvious that some important information will be missed,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-02 Chunkai Zhang , Yingyang Chen , Ao Yin , Zhen Qin , Xing Zhang , Keli Zhang , Zoe L. Jiang

This paper introduces a new algorithm to approximate smoothed additive functionals for partially observed stochastic differential equations. This method relies on a recent procedure which allows to compute such approximations online, i.e.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-14 Pierre Gloaguen , Marie-Pierre Etienne , Sylvain Le Corff

We present the new Orthogonal Polynomials Approximation Algorithm (OPAA), a parallelizable algorithm that estimates probability distributions using functional analytic approach: first, it finds a smooth functional estimate of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-23 Lilian W. Bialokozowicz

Sparse parametric models are of great interest in statistical learning and are often analyzed by means of regularized estimators. Pathwise methods allow to efficiently compute the full solution path for penalized estimators, for any…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-06 Alessandro De Gregorio , Francesco Iafrate

We introduce a class of algorithms, termed proximal interacting particle Langevin algorithms (PIPLA), for inference and learning in latent variable models whose joint probability density is non-differentiable. Leveraging proximal Markov…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-05-30 Paula Cordero Encinar , Francesca R. Crucinio , O. Deniz Akyildiz

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

This article shows how coupled Markov chains that meet exactly after a random number of iterations can be used to generate unbiased estimators of the solutions of the Poisson equation. Through this connection, we re-derive known unbiased…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-12-10 Randal Douc , Pierre E. Jacob , Anthony Lee , Dootika Vats

We propose and analyze reliable and efficient a posteriori error estimators for an optimal control problem that involves a nondifferentiable cost functional, the Poisson problem as state equation and control constraints. To approximate the…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-01-14 Alejandro Allendes , Francisco Fuica , Enrique Otárola

Process monitoring and control requires detection of structural changes in a data stream in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed for learning unknown changepoints in continuous time. The…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-09-29 Melissa J. M. Turcotte , Nicholas A. Heard

We introduce a general framework that constructs estimators with reduced variance for random walk Metropolis and Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithms. The resulting estimators require negligible computational cost and are derived in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-07 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Michalis K. Titsias

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the process through a piecewise function defined by a sum of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-02 Nicolas Bianco , Lorenzo Cappello

For one-parameter continuous exponential families, we identify an unbiased estimator of the inverse of the natural parameter $\theta$ for cases where $\theta > 0$, extending an earlier result of \cite{voinov1985unbiased} applicable to a…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-25 Pankaj Bhagwat , Eric Marchand

We derive an efficient stochastic algorithm for inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a set of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of the problem is…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-09-17 Darko Volkov

In this paper we study variational inequalities (VI) defined by the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) of uncertain functions. We introduce stochastic approximation schemes that employ an empirical estimate of the CVaR at each iteration to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-08-28 Jasper Verbree , Ashish Cherukuri

In this work we propose and analyze a numerical method for electrical impedance tomography of recovering a piecewise constant conductivity from boundary voltage measurements. It is based on standard Tikhonov regularization with a…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-10-06 Bangti Jin , Yifeng Xu