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Between 2003 and 2015 the prices of apartments in Hong Kong (adjusted for inflation) increased by a factor of 3.8. This is much higher than in the United States prior to the so-called subprime crisis of 2007. The analysis of this…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-08-16 Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

In recent years Australia has observed a growing, unexplained resilience of increasing house price trends. Here, we seek to understand what is driving Australia's indestructible asset using insights from market experts. We construct a…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-22 Grace Burtenshaw , Ashley Burtenshaw , Meagan Carney

This paper investigates some indicators of financial development in select countries with currency board systems and raises some questions about the connection between financial development and growth in currency board systems. Most of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-04 Yujuan Qiu

In a globalised world, inflation in a given country may be becoming less responsive to domestic economic activity, while being increasingly determined by international conditions. Consequently, understanding the international sources of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-30 Ignacio Garrón , C. Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero , Esther Ruiz

This paper combines and develops the models in Lastrapes (2002) and Mankiw & Weil (1989), which enables us to analyze the effects of interest rate and population growth shocks on housing price in one integrated framework. Based on this…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2017-01-04 Ling-Yun He , Xing-Chun Wen

The latest global financial tsunami and its follow-up global economic recession has uncovered the crucial impact of housing markets on financial and economic systems. The Chinese stock market experienced a markedly fall during the global…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-10-16 Hao Meng , Wen-Jie Xie , Wei-Xing Zhou

In recent years, real estate industry has captured government and public attention around the world. The factors influencing the prices of real estate are diversified and complex. However, due to the limitations and one-sidedness of their…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-02-23 Yiyang Gu

Rising demand for space cooling has been placing enormous strain on various technological, environmental, and societal dimensions, resulting in issues related to energy consumption, environmental sustainability, health and well-being,…

Regulation is a major driver of housing supply, yet often difficult to observe directly. This paper estimates frontier cost, the non-land cost of producing housing absent regulation, and regulatory tax, which quantifies regulation in money…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-11 Dan Ben-Moshe , David Genesove

This paper develops a microsimulation model to simulate the distributional impact of price changes using Household Budget Survey data, income survey data and an Input Output Model. The primary purpose is to describe the model components.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-26 Cathal ODonoghue , Beenish Amjad , Jules Linden , Nora Lustig , Denisa Sologon , Yang Wang

What causes house prices to rise and fall? Economists identify household access to credit as a crucial factor. "Loan-to-Value" and "Debt-to-GDP" ratios are the standard measures for credit access. However, these measures fail to explain the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-01-05 Menno Schellekens , Taha Yasseri

I propose an approach to quantify attention to inflation in the data and show that the decrease in the volatility and persistence of U.S. inflation after the Great Inflation period was accompanied by a decline in the public's attention to…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-24 Oliver Pfäuti

This paper explores whether unconventional monetary policy operations have redistributive effects on household wealth. Drawing on household balance sheet data from the Wealth and Asset Survey, we construct monthly time series indicators on…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-12-23 Anastasios Evgenidis , Apostolos Fasianos

Urban scaling laws summarize how urban attributes evolve with city size. Recent criticism questions notably the aggregate view of this approach, which leads to neglecting the internal structure of cities. This is all the more relevant for…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-05-24 Gaëtan Laziou , Rémi Lemoy , Marion Le Texier

In this paper, we investigate the cooling-off effect (opposite to the magnet effect) from two aspects. Firstly, from the viewpoint of dynamics, we study the existence of the cooling-off effect by following the dynamical evolution of some…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-11-06 Yu-Lei Wan , Gang-Jin Wang , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wen-Jie Xie , Wei-Xing Zhou

We study the effect of localized housing price hikes on renters' mobility, consumption, and credit outcomes. Consistent with a spatial equilibrium model, we find that the consumption responses vary greatly for movers and stayers. While…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-10 Giacomo De Giorgi , Enrico Moretti , Harrison Wheeler

I show that house prices can be modeled using machine learning (kNN and tree-bagging) and a small dataset composed of macro-economic factors (MEF), including an inflation metric (CPI), US treasury rates (10-yr), Gross Domestic Product…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-05-16 Nicolas Houlié

In this paper, we develop an expected utility model for the retirement behavior in the decumulation phase of Australian retirees with sequential family status subject to consumption, housing, investment, bequest and government provided…

经济学 · 定量金融 2016-06-30 Johan G. Andreasson , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Alex Novikov

First, we emphasize that the real estate price peaks which are currently under way in many industrialized countries (one important exception is Japan) share many of the characteristics of previous historical price peaks. In particular, we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Bertrand M. Roehner

Motivated by the current fears of a potentially stagflationary global economic environment, this paper uses new and recently introduced mathematical techniques to study multivariate time series pertaining to country inflation (CPI),…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-09-22 Nick James , Max Menzies , Kevin Chin
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