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When training a predictive model over medical data, the goal is sometimes to gain insights about a certain disease. In such cases, it is common to use feature importance as a tool to highlight significant factors contributing to that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-16 Amnon Catav , Boyang Fu , Jason Ernst , Sriram Sankararaman , Ran Gilad-Bachrach

We present a novel extension of the influential changes-in-changes (CiC) framework of Athey and Imbens (2006) for estimating the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) and distributional causal effects in panel data with unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-20 Jinghao Sun , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

The ability to answer causal questions is crucial in many domains, as causal inference allows one to understand the impact of interventions. In many applications, only a single intervention is possible at a given time. However, in some…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-12 Olivier Jeunen , Ciarán M. Gilligan-Lee , Rishabh Mehrotra , Mounia Lalmas

The analysis of randomized trials is often complicated by the occurrence of intercurrent events and missing values. Even though there are different strategies to address missing values it is still common to require missing values…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-11 A. Ruiz de Villa , Ll. Badiella

Parkinson's disease (PD) is a chronic, degenerative neurological disorder. PD cannot be prevented, slowed or cured as of today but highly effective symptomatic treatments are available. We consider relevant estimands and treatment effect…

Our goal is to produce methods for observational causal inference that are auditable, easy to troubleshoot, accurate for treatment effect estimation, and scalable to high-dimensional data. We describe a general framework called…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-16 Quinn Lanners , Harsh Parikh , Alexander Volfovsky , Cynthia Rudin , David Page

Risk of suicide attempt varies over time. Understanding the importance of risk factors measured at a mental health visit can help clinicians evaluate future risk and provide appropriate care during the visit. In prediction settings where…

Estimating treatment effects from observational data is paramount in healthcare, education, and economics, but current deep disentanglement-based methods to address selection bias are insufficiently handling irrelevant variables. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-27 Ahmad Saeed Khan , Erik Schaffernicht , Johannes Andreas Stork

Difference-in-differences (DID) is one of the most popular tools used to evaluate causal effects of policy interventions. This paper extends the DID methodology to accommodate interval outcomes, which are often encountered in empirical…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-10 Daisuke Kurisu , Yuta Okamoto , Taisuke Otsu

In observational studies, treatments are typically not randomized and therefore estimated treatment effects may be subject to confounding bias. The instrumental variable (IV) design plays the role of a quasi-experimental handle since the IV…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-30 Lan Liu , Wang Miao , Baoluo Sun , James Robins , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

The No Unmeasured Confounding Assumption is widely used to identify causal effects in observational studies. Recent work on proximal inference has provided alternative identification results that succeed even in the presence of unobserved…

Experimental and observational studies often lead to spurious association between the outcome and independent variables describing the intervention, because of confounding to third-party factors. Even in randomized clinical trials,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-04 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

Interference occurs when a unit's treatment (or exposure) affects another unit's outcome. In some settings, units may be grouped into clusters such that it is reasonable to assume that interference, if present, only occurs between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-24 Chanhwa Lee , Donglin Zeng , Michael G. Hudgens

Patients often discontinue treatment in a clinical trial because their health condition is not improving. Consequently, the patients still in the study at the end of the trial have better health outcomes on average than the initial patient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-06 Alex Ocampo , Heinz Schmidli , Peter Quarg , Francesca Callegari , Marcello Pagano

Stepped wedge designs (SWDs) are increasingly used to evaluate longitudinal cluster-level interventions but pose substantial challenges for valid inference. Because crossover times are randomized, intervention effects are intrinsically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Fan Xia , K. C. Gary Chan , Emily Voldal , Avi Kenny , Patrick J. Heagerty , James P. Hughes

We consider the problem of inference in Difference-in-Differences (DID) when there are few treated units and errors are spatially correlated. We first show that, when there is a single treated unit, some existing inference methods designed…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-26 Luis Alvarez , Bruno Ferman

The creation of the ICH E9 (R1) estimands framework has led to more precise specification of the treatment effects of interest in the design and statistical analysis of clinical trials. However, it is unclear how the new framework relates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-20 Thomas Drury , Jonathan W. Bartlett , David Wright , Oliver N. Keene

Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz

Intercurrent (post-treatment) events occur frequently in randomized trials, and investigators often express interest in treatment effects that suitably take account of these events. A naive conditioning on intercurrent events does not have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-17 Mats J. Stensrud , Oliver Dukes

Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-19 Shu Yang , Peng Ding