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Under losses which are potentially heavy-tailed, we consider the task of minimizing sums of the loss mean and standard deviation, without trying to accurately estimate the variance. By modifying a technique for variance-free robust mean…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-12 Matthew J. Holland

We study a problem of utility maximization under model uncertainty with information including jumps. We prove first that the value process of the robust stochastic control problem is described by the solution of a quadratic-exponential…

概率论 · 数学 2016-10-11 Monique Jeanblanc , Anis Matoussi , Armand Ngoupeyou

We propose a distributionally robust formulation of the traditional risk parity portfolio optimization problem. Distributional robustness is introduced by targeting the discrete probabilities attached to each observation used during…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-10-14 Giorgio Costa , Roy H. Kwon

We consider active learning (AL) in an uncertain environment in which trade-off between multiple risk measures need to be considered. As an AL problem in such an uncertain environment, we study Mean-Variance Analysis in Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-18 Shogo Iwazaki , Yu Inatsu , Ichiro Takeuchi

We revisit Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio selection model by considering a distributionally robust version, where the region of distributional uncertainty is around the empirical measure and the discrepancy between probability measures…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-15 Jose Blanchet , Lin Chen , Xun Yu Zhou

Stochastic multi-armed bandits solve the Exploration-Exploitation dilemma and ultimately maximize the expected reward. Nonetheless, in many practical problems, maximizing the expected reward is not the most desirable objective. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-10 Amir Sani , Alessandro Lazaric , Rémi Munos

In real-world decision-making problems, for instance in the fields of finance, robotics or autonomous driving, keeping uncertainty under control is as important as maximizing expected returns. Risk aversion has been addressed in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-09 Lorenzo Bisi , Luca Sabbioni , Edoardo Vittori , Matteo Papini , Marcello Restelli

This paper concerns the central issues of model robustness and sample efficiency in offline reinforcement learning (RL), which aims to learn to perform decision making from history data without active exploration. Due to uncertainties and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-01 Laixi Shi , Yuejie Chi

We consider the robust exponential utility maximization problem in discrete time: An investor maximizes the worst case expected exponential utility with respect to a family of nondominated probabilistic models of her endowment by…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2019-02-12 Daniel Bartl

Managing insurance and financial risk when data is limited is a key task in the insurance industry. In this paper, we focus on cases where the risk distribution is modeled as a mixture with some components estimable to high precision or…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-03 N. D. Shyamalkumar , Tianrun Wang

Decision making under uncertain environments in the maximization of expected reward while minimizing its risk is one of the ubiquitous problems in many subjects. Here, we introduce a novel problem setting in stochastic bandit optimization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Shunta Nonaga , Koji Tabata , Yuta Mizuno , Tamiki Komatsuzaki

We study mean-risk optimal portfolio problems where risk is measured by Recovery Average Value at Risk, a prominent example in the class of recovery risk measures. We establish existence results in the situation where the joint distribution…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-03-03 Cosimo Munari , Justin Plückebaum , Stefan Weber

We propose a data-driven portfolio selection model that integrates side information, conditional estimation and robustness using the framework of distributionally robust optimization. Conditioning on the observed side information, the…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2024-04-10 Viet Anh Nguyen , Fan Zhang , Shanshan Wang , Jose Blanchet , Erick Delage , Yinyu Ye

This paper compares the optimal investment problems based on monotone mean-variance (MMV) and mean-variance (MV) preferences in the L\'{e}vy market with an untradable stochastic factor. It is an open question proposed by Trybu{\l}a and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-11-08 Yuchen Li , Zongxia Liang , Shunzhi Pang

We study a speculative trading problem within the exploratory reinforcement learning (RL) framework of Wang et al. [2020]. The problem is formulated as a sequential optimal stopping problem over entry and exit times under general utility…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-03 Yun Zhao , Alex S. L. Tse , Harry Zheng

Distributionally robust policy learning aims to find a policy that performs well under the worst-case distributional shift, and yet most existing methods for robust policy learning consider the worst-case joint distribution of the covariate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Jingyuan Wang , Zhimei Ren , Ruohan Zhan , Zhengyuan Zhou

We study the out-of-sample properties of robust empirical optimization problems with smooth $\phi$-divergence penalties and smooth concave objective functions, and develop a theory for data-driven calibration of the non-negative "robustness…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-05-20 Jun-Ya Gotoh , Michael Jong Kim , Andrew E. B. Lim

Systematic investment strategies are exposed to a subtle but pervasive vulnerability: the progressive erosion of their effectiveness as market regimes change. Traditional risk measures, designed to capture volatility or drawdowns, overlook…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-04-10 Nolan Alexander , Frank Fabozzi

In this paper we investigate the expected terminal utility maximization approach for a dynamic stochastic portfolio optimization problem. We solve it numerically by solving an evolutionary Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation which is…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2018-10-30 Sona Kilianova , Daniel Sevcovic

This paper resolves a question proposed in Kardaras and Robertson [Ann. Appl. Probab. 22 (2012) 1576-1610]: how to invest in a robust growth-optimal way in a market where precise knowledge of the covariance structure of the underlying…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2013-09-09 Erhan Bayraktar , Yu-Jui Huang