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The popularity of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), a risk functional from finance, has been growing in the control systems community due to its intuitive interpretation and axiomatic foundation. We consider a nonstandard optimal control…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-22 Margaret P. Chapman , Michael Fauss , Kevin M. Smith

Risk sensitive decision making finds important applications in current day use cases. Existing risk measures consider a single or finite collection of random variables, which do not account for the asymptotic behaviour of underlying…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-05-24 Shivam Patel , Vivek Borkar

The entropic value-at-risk (EVaR) is a new coherent risk measure, which is an upper bound for both the value-at-risk (VaR) and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). As important properties, the EVaR is strongly monotone over its domain and…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-04-17 Amir Ahmadi-Javid , Malihe Fallah-Tafti

This paper develops a safety analysis method for stochastic systems that is sensitive to the possibility and severity of rare harmful outcomes. We define risk-sensitive safe sets as sub-level sets of the solution to a non-standard optimal…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-28 Margaret P. Chapman , Riccardo Bonalli , Kevin M. Smith , Insoon Yang , Marco Pavone , Claire J. Tomlin

In safety-critical decision-making, the environment may evolve over time, and the learner adjusts its risk level accordingly. This work investigates risk-averse online optimization in dynamic environments with varying risk levels, employing…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-30 Siyi Wang , Zifan Wang , Karl H. Johansson

In a wide variety of sequential decision making problems, it can be important to estimate the impact of rare events in order to minimize risk exposure. A popular risk measure is the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), which is commonly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-11 Dylan Troop , Frédéric Godin , Jia Yuan Yu

Risk measures are important key figures to measure the adequacy of the reserves of a company. The most common risk measures in practice are Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). Recently, quantum-based algorithms are…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-01-29 Christian Laudagé , Ivica Turkalj

In several real-world applications involving decision making under uncertainty, the traditional expected value objective may not be suitable, as it may be necessary to control losses in the case of a rare but extreme event. Conditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-08-07 Ravi Kumar Kolla , Prashanth L. A. , Sanjay P. Bhat , Krishna Jagannathan

This thesis presents the Conditional Value-at-Risk concept and combines an analysis that covers its application as a risk measure and as a vector norm. For both areas of application the theory is revised in detail and examples are given to…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-11-03 Jakob Kisiala

We consider a liquidation problem in which a risk-averse trader tries to liquidate a fixed quantity of an asset in the presence of market impact and random price fluctuations. The trader encounters a trade-off between the transaction costs…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2022-01-31 Seungki Min , Ciamac C. Moallemi , Costis Maglaras

This paper proposes a safety analysis method that facilitates a tunable balance between the worst-case and risk-neutral perspectives. First, we define a risk-sensitive safe set to specify the degree of safety attained by a stochastic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-28 Margaret P. Chapman , Jonathan P. Lacotte , Kevin M. Smith , Insoon Yang , Yuxi Han , Marco Pavone , Claire J. Tomlin

We present the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) in the context of Markov chains and Markov decision processes with reachability and mean-payoff objectives. CVaR quantifies risk by means of the expectation of the worst p-quantile. As such it…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2018-05-09 Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer

Bayesian deep learning plays an important role especially for its ability evaluating epistemic uncertainty (EU). Due to computational complexity issues, approximation methods such as variational inference (VI) have been used in practice to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-12 Futoshi Futami , Tomoharu Iwata , Naonori Ueda , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

We propose a risk-averse statistical learning framework wherein the performance of a learning algorithm is evaluated by the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) of losses rather than the expected loss. We devise algorithms based on stochastic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-17 Tasuku Soma , Yuichi Yoshida

We study risk-sensitive planning under partial observability using the dynamic risk measure Iterated Conditional Value-at-Risk (ICVaR). A policy evaluation algorithm for ICVaR is developed with finite-time performance guarantees that do not…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Yaacov Pariente , Vadim Indelman

For many real-world decision-making problems subject to uncertainty, it may be essential to deal with multiple and often conflicting objectives while taking the decision-makers' risk preferences into account. Conditional value-at-risk…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-02-14 Najmesadat Nazemi , Sophie N. Parragh , Walter J. Gutjahr

In many sequential decision-making problems we may want to manage risk by minimizing some measure of variability in costs in addition to minimizing a standard criterion. Conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a relatively new risk measure that…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-07-14 Yinlam Chow , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

Value-at-Risk (VaR) is an institutional measure of risk favored by financial regulators. VaR may be interpreted as a quantile of future portfolio values conditional on the information available, where the most common quantile used is 95%.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-05-18 Khizar Qureshi

We consider an online stochastic game with risk-averse agents whose goal is to learn optimal decisions that minimize the risk of incurring significantly high costs. Specifically, we use the Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) as a risk measure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-17 Zifan Wang , Yi Shen , Michael M. Zavlanos

Conditional value-at-risk (CoVaR) is one of the most important measures of systemic risk. It is defined as the high quantile conditional on a related variable being extreme, widely used in the field of quantitative risk management. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Zhaowen Wang , Yutao Liu , Deyuan Li
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